Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Lazio rolls into this one as heavy favorites** — they're unbeaten in five and sit atop the form table, while Monza are desperately hunting for wins in a messy campaign. 🔵
The Biancocelesti have been clinical at home, racking up clean sheets, but injuries to Guðmundsson, Cataldi, and Rovella will force some creativity in midfield. Monza, meanwhile, are patchy — one win in their last five is the kind of record that gets managers sweating.
Key storylines:
- **Lazio's midfield reshuffle** around R. Belahyane and K. Taylor without Rovella could either unlock something fresh or expose a soft spot
- **Monza's search for consistency** — they've drawn and lost more than they've won; a trip to the Stadio Olimpico is exactly the kind of banana skin fixture they collapse in
- **M. Zaccagni and T. Noslin** leading the attack will face a Monza back three that's been breached regularly this season
Expected lineups:
- **Lazio**: C. Mandas, N. Tavares, O. Provstgaard, D. Doekhi, A. Marušić, R. Belahyane, K. Taylor, D. Frattesi, M. Zaccagni, T. Noslin, M. Cancellieri
- **Monza**: D. Thiam, L. Lucchesi, E. Kouadio, A. Carboni, A. Bakoune, S. Birindelli, M. Folorunsho, E. Akinsanmiro, J. Robinson, G. Varela, E. Zeballos
Prediction:
**Lazio 2–0 Monza**. Lazio's form and home fortress trump Monza's brittle traveling record. Lean Lazio.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.