Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Napoli's mojo is back — and Frosinone's fairy tale is about to hit reality.** The hosts are shaking off a rough patch at home, while the visitors arrive riding a stunning 3-win streak that frankly looks too good to last. 🔵
Napoli have been shaky domestically (1W in 5), but they're at the Maradona where the pressure to deliver is real. Frosinone, meanwhile, are punching way above their weight — 3 wins and 2 draws is the kind of form that normally gets exposed by a big side at full strength. This feels like a reckoning.
Key storylines:
- **K. De Bruyne** and **S. Lobotka** need to control the midfield and break down Frosinone's compact shape before it gets ugly
- **G. Kvernadze** and **F. Ghedjemis** will probe for set-piece chances; Frosinone thrive on organisation, not flair
- Napoli's injury list (A. Buongiorno, A. Meret, A. Santos) is a worry, but **R. Marín** and **V. Milinković-Savić** must step up in their absence
Expected lineups:
- **SSC Napoli**: V. Milinković-Savić, G. Di Lorenzo, A. Rrahmani, R. Marín, D. Neres, S. Lobotka, K. De Bruyne, B. Gilmour, R. Højlund, L. Lucca, M. Politano
- **Frosinone**: L. Palmisani, G. Bracaglia, G. Calvani, I. Monterisi, A. Oyono, G. Calò, P. Masini, A. Zerbin, R. Schmid, F. Ghedjemis, G. Kvernadze
Prediction:
**Napoli 2–0 Frosinone.** Slight favorite at home; Frosinone's run ends here. ⚪
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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