Udinese 0-3 Lecce: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 18, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Udinese 0-3 Lecce.

90+2'

Lecce

Corner, Lecce.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

90'

O. Solet

Attempt blocked. O. Solet (Udinese), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

90'

U. Gómez

Attempt missed. U. Gómez (Udinese), header from a throw-in. xG 0.16.

86'

J. Siebert

Goal! Udinese 0-3 Lecce. J. Siebert (Lecce) scores.

84'

M. Palma

Attempt missed. M. Palma (Udinese), header. xG 0.10.

84'

P. Esteban

Off the woodwork! P. Esteban (Lecce), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.13.

82'

K. N’Dri

Substitution, Lecce: J. Monteiro comes on for K. N’Dri.

82'

Y. Maleh

Substitution, Lecce: J. Siebert comes on for Y. Maleh.

80'

Lecce

Offside, Lecce.

75'

Lecce

Offside, Lecce.

74'

M. Palma

Attempt missed. M. Palma (Udinese), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

74'

P. Esteban

Attempt saved. P. Esteban (Lecce), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

73'

J. Piotrowski

Attempt blocked. J. Piotrowski (Udinese), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

73'

J. Piotrowski

Attempt blocked. J. Piotrowski (Udinese), header. xG 0.03.

72'

J. Piotrowski

Attempt blocked. J. Piotrowski (Udinese), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

70'

W. Geubbels

Substitution, Lecce: P. Esteban comes on for W. Geubbels.

69'

A. Fatah

Substitution, Lecce: S. Pierotti comes on for A. Fatah.

69'

Lecce

Offside, Lecce.

67'

J. Arizala

Attempt missed. J. Arizala (Udinese), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

65'

Lecce

Corner, Lecce.

65'

W. Geubbels

Attempt saved. W. Geubbels (Lecce), right-footed shot. xG 0.52.

64'

G. Chakvetadze

Substitution, Udinese: U. Gómez comes on for G. Chakvetadze.

64'

E. Ebosse

Substitution, Udinese: A. Zanoli comes on for E. Ebosse.

62'

Udinese

Offside, Udinese.

59'

J. Piotrowski

VAR check complete: the goal for Udinese stands.

58'

J. Arizala

Attempt blocked. J. Arizala (Udinese), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

57'

K. N’Dri

Attempt missed. K. N’Dri (Lecce), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

55'

W. Geubbels

Attempt saved. W. Geubbels (Lecce), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.27.

55'

J. Ekkelenkamp

Attempt missed. J. Ekkelenkamp (Udinese), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

52'

K. Davis

Attempt missed. K. Davis (Udinese), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

52'

Udinese

Corner, Udinese.

50'

Lecce

Offside, Lecce.

50'

Lecce

Offside, Lecce.

46'

K. N’Dri

Attempt saved. K. N’Dri (Lecce), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

46'

D. Alaba

Substitution, Udinese: M. Palma comes on for D. Alaba.

46'

H. Kamara

Substitution, Udinese: J. Arizala comes on for H. Kamara.

46'

O. Zarraga

Substitution, Udinese: J. Piotrowski comes on for O. Zarraga.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Udinese 0-2 Lecce.

45+1'

A. Fatah

Attempt blocked. A. Fatah (Lecce), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

45+1'

W. Geubbels

Attempt missed. W. Geubbels (Lecce), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.54.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

Lecce

Corner, Lecce.

45'

M. Kaba

Attempt saved. M. Kaba (Lecce), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

45'

Lecce

Corner, Lecce.

44'

K. N’Dri

Attempt saved. K. N’Dri (Lecce), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

44'

W. Geubbels

Attempt saved. W. Geubbels (Lecce), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.25.

43'

H. Kamara

Yellow card for H. Kamara (Udinese) for foul.

41'

L. Coulibaly

Substitution, Lecce: M. Kaba comes on for L. Coulibaly.

39'

K. N’Dri

Attempt saved. K. N’Dri (Lecce), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

38'

K. Davis

Attempt missed. K. Davis (Udinese), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

37'

Lecce

Offside, Lecce.

36'

A. Fatah

Off the woodwork! A. Fatah (Lecce), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.17.

33'

T. Gabriel

Attempt blocked. T. Gabriel (Lecce), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

33'

K. N’Dri

Goal! Udinese 0-2 Lecce. K. N’Dri (Lecce) scores, assisted by T. Gabriel.

32'

Lecce

Corner, Lecce.

28'

Lecce

Offside, Lecce.

23'

O. Solet

Attempt saved. O. Solet (Udinese), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

22'

Udinese

Offside, Udinese.

17'

Udinese

Offside, Udinese.

14'

Lecce

Offside, Lecce.

11'

K. Gaspar

Goal! Udinese 0-1 Lecce. K. Gaspar (Lecce) scores, assisted by A. Gallo.

11'

Lecce

Corner, Lecce.

7'

G. Chakvetadze

Attempt saved. G. Chakvetadze (Udinese), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

1'

Kick-off: Udinese vs Lecce.

Where the money is

2888370 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 2280626 EUR · live

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

50.1%

+50.0 vs price

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

45.5%

-53.5 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

4.4%

+4.3 vs price

Half time 932 EUR

Draw 2.26 · implied 44.2%

40.4%

-3.9 vs price

Home 2.56 · implied 39.1%

37.0%

-2.0 vs price

Away 5.7 · implied 17.5%

22.3%

+4.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 211131 EUR · live

Under 1.52 · implied 65.8%

52.7%

-13.1 vs price

Over 2.96 · implied 33.8%

47.3%

+13.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1742 EUR

Under 1.11 · implied 90.1%

78.4%

-11.7 vs price

Over 9.8 · implied 10.2%

21.6%

+11.4 vs price

17 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

11' ⚽ K. Gaspar · assist A. Gallo0–1

33' ⚽ K. N’Dri · assist T. Gabriel0–2

41' 🔁 M. Kaba ◂ L. Coulibaly

43' H. Kamara · Foul

Half-time · 0–2

46' 🔁 J. Piotrowski ◂ O. Zarraga

46' 🔁 J. Arizala ◂ H. Kamara

46' 🔁 M. Palma ◂ D. Alaba

59' VAR Goal not given after review · J. Piotrowski

64' 🔁 A. Zanoli ◂ E. Ebosse

64' 🔁 U. Gómez ◂ G. Chakvetadze

69' 🔁 S. Pierotti ◂ A. Fatah

70' 🔁 P. Esteban ◂ W. Geubbels

82' 🔁 J. Siebert ◂ Y. Maleh

82' 🔁 J. Monteiro ◂ K. N’Dri

86' ⚽ J. Siebert0–3

Full-time · 0–3

Coaches

Kosta Runjaic

Eusebio Di Francesco

Recent form

Udinese

LATorino1-2

DAPogoń Szczecin1-1

LHCagliari0-1

LAInter3-5

LHLazio1-2

Lecce

LHBologna1-2

LAAC Milan0-3

WHMonza3-2

LACagliari0-1

LHAS Roma0-4

About this match

**Udinese are limping, Lecce are falling apart — this is a match neither side particularly wants.** Both sit in the bottom half of Serie A looking for their first real run, and with key names missing from both camps, we're bracing for a **gritty, low-key affair** at the Bluenergy. 🏟️

Udinese have gone winless in five (1 draw, 4 losses) and are missing Gueye, Zaniolo, and Bayo — the spine's been yanked out. Lecce snatched one win against Monza but then ate a 3-0 at Milan; they're down Ilić and Berisha too. This screams "whoever makes fewer mistakes wins."

Key storylines:

- **U. Gómez and J. Ekkelenkamp** carrying Udinese's attacking hopes with half the usual squad firepower
- **Lecce's defense** (Siebert, Gabriel, Veiga) has to stay compact or Udinese's tempo will punish them
- **Midfield grit** — Karlström and Miller vs Gaspar, Maleh and Coulibaly in a battle for control

Expected lineups:

- **Udinese**: Okoye, Kamara, Solet, Ebosse, Vojvoda, Karlström, Miller, Piotrowski, Ekkelenkamp, Davis, Gómez
- **Lecce**: Falcone, Gallo, Siebert, Gabriel, Veiga, Gaspar, Coulibaly, Maleh, Fatah, Geubbels, Pierotti

Prediction:

**Udinese 1–0 Lecce.** Udinese's home fortress and slight H2H edge tips it, but don't expect fireworks. 🔥

Where to watch

Disney+ Premium Argentina

Match facts

Stadium

Bluenergy Stadium

City

Udine

Referee

Marco Guida

3.30 yellows/match · 44 matches

Kickoff

18 Oct, 10:30 UTC

Competition

Serie A

Highlights & clips

Udinese 3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3 Lecce

40 M. Okoye 7.5 28 O. Solet 6.0 16 M. Palma 7.1 ↑ 46' 59 A. Zanoli 6.3 ↑ 64' 23 M. Vojvoda 6.5 8 J. Karlström 6.5 24 J. Piotrowski 6.5 ↑ 46' 20 J. Arizala 6.6 ↑ 46' 32 J. Ekkelenkamp 6.2 46 U. Gómez 6.6 ↑ 64' 9 K. Davis 7.4 30 W. Falcone 7.1 17 D. Veiga 7.8 4 K. Gaspar 8.3 44 T. Gabriel 7.5 25 A. Gallo 7.3 77 M. Kaba 6.8 ↑ 41' 79 O. Ngom 6.8 5 J. Siebert 8.0 ↑ 82' 99 J. Monteiro 6.6 ↑ 82' 22 P. Esteban 7.2 ↑ 70' 50 S. Pierotti 6.5 ↑ 69'

Top stats

67%Possession33%

0.54Expected goals (xG)3.47

14Total shots17

2Shots on target11

1Big chances8

1Corners4

Shots

7Shots off target4

5Blocked shots2

7Shots inside box15

7Shots outside box2

0Hit woodwork2

1Big chances scored3

1Big chances missed5

0.34Goals prevented0.09

Attack

22Touches in box30

68Final third entries37

3Offsides8

11Free kicks10

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

520Passes258

435Accurate passes182

14/38 (37%)Long balls15/43 (35%)

7/26 (27%)Crosses4/13 (31%)

24Throw-ins20

Duels

46Duels54

26/58 (45%)Ground duels32/58 (55%)

12/24 (50%)Aerial duels12/24 (50%)

3/13 (23%)Dribbles2/7 (29%)

11Dispossessed9

Defending

14Tackles21

71Tackles won43

8Interceptions13

14Clearances36

55Recoveries63

Discipline

10Fouls11

1Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

8Saves2

3Big saves0

5Goal kicks12

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Udinese 52%

27%

Lecce 22%

Who winsUdinese to win (DNB) 72% · 1.35 @ William Hill

1X2Udinese to win 52% · 2.20 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.17 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.31 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 27% · 2.50 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 3.60 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.21 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.86 @ 1xBet

1X2Lecce to win 22% · 4.45 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.83

Udinese

3.59

Draw

4.38

Lecce

Double Chanceconsensus

1.20

Udinese or Draw

1.27

Udinese or Lecce

1.91

Draw or Lecce

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.85

Yes

1.87

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.90

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

7.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.06

Over 0.50

9.65

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.32

Over 1.50

3.25

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.02

Over 2.50

1.79

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.50

Over 3.50

1.29

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.38

Over 4.50

1.06

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.33

Udinese

3.10

Lecce

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.27

Over 7.50

3.08

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.57

Over 8.50

2.29

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.92

Over 9.50

1.84

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.52

Over 10.50

1.48

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.24

Over 11.50

1.26

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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