Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Atalanta host a misfiring Frosinone side looking to snap a rough patch** — the hosts have lost three of their last five, but still sit heavy favorites in Bergamo. 🔵
Atalanta's injury list is brutal (five players out), yet they remain the clear class act here. Frosinone, meanwhile, are riding a decent run — three wins in five — but that 0-3 hammering from Napoli last time out is a sobering reminder of the gap.
Key storylines:
- **Atalanta's depth under pressure**: Missing Kessié, Raspadori, Scalvini, and others, the midfield and defense are stretched thin. Can youth and rotation hold the line?
- **Frosinone's road woes**: They've looked solid at home but crumble away; Napoli exposed that fragility badly.
- **Scamacca leading the charge**: The striker will be central to Atalanta's attack with key players sidelined.
Expected lineups:
- **Atalanta**: M. Carnesecchi, T. Kristensen, R. Obrić, M. Plaia, I. Hien, Éderson, R. Bellanova, G. Gaetano, C. De Ketelaere, G. Scamacca, N. Krstović
- **Frosinone**: L. Palmisani, G. Bracaglia, G. Calvani, G. Cittadini, A. Oyono, G. Calò, P. Masini, G. Kvernadze, R. Schmid, F. Ghedjemis, A. Raimondo
Prediction:
**Atalanta 2–0 Frosinone**. Injuries sting, but Atalanta's edge at home and Frosinone's away-day fragility tip the scales. 🎯
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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