Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Como are absolutely cooking right now** — back-to-back victories over Fiorentina and Manchester United have got them buzzing, while Sassuolo are limping into Lombardy without key defenders. 🔥
Como's form is genuinely elite for a newly-promoted side; Sassuolo meanwhile have dropped points to Monza and Frosinone and look short-staffed at the back. The hosts' recent pedigree against Sassuolo helps too.
Key storylines:
- **Como's attack vs Sassuolo's injury crisis** — with D. Ćaleta-Car and C. Odenthal forced to shoulder the load, A. Douvikas and L. Milla should find space
- **Midfield control** — N. Matić will try to steady Sassuolo's ship, but L. Da Cunha and N. Paz can dominate the centre for Como
- **D. Berardi's last hope** — Sassuolo's winger needs to create something from nothing, or this gets ugly fast
Expected lineups:
- **Como**: J. Butez, J. Ramón, Á. Valle, W. Kambwala, Kaiki, N. Paz, L. Da Cunha, A. Douvikas, L. Milla, J. Addai, M. Liberali
- **Sassuolo**: A. Murić, J. Doig, C. Odenthal, D. Ćaleta-Car, S. Cinquegrano, A. Ghion, N. Matić, D. Bakola, A. Laurienté, K. Bowie, D. Berardi
Prediction:
**Como 2–0 Sassuolo**. Home advantage, form, and Sassuolo's battered squad spell a comfortable win. 🎯
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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