**Genoa's the heavy favorite here — they've got a brutal recent run but own the head-to-head record, and Venezia are coming in ice-cold despite the odd upset (looking at you, Napoli). 🔥**

Both sides are 2W-3L over five games, but the underlying vibe is totally different. Genoa have injury chaos but play at home with a winning record vs. these guys; Venezia pulled off a shock against Napoli but got hammered by Atalanta right after.

Key storylines:

- **Genoa's missing five key players** — Sow, Havel, Meichtry, Colombo, Otoa all out — but they've still got **Messias** and **Baldanzi** to create chaos in that 3-4-2-1
- **Venezia's defensive shape** under **Jesus** and **Moreno** is untested against a full-strength Genoa press; they'll need **Adams** and **Yeboah** to stay compact and hit on the break
- Home comforts matter: Genoa haven't lost at Luigi Ferraris to Venezia in their head-to-head stretch

Expected lineups:

- **Genoa**: Bijlow, Puczka, Østigård, Drameh, Frendrup, Baldanzi, Messias, and company
- **Venezia**: Stanković, Halhal, Moreno, Haps, Pérez, Adams, Yeboah

Prediction:

**Genoa 2–0 Venezia**

Despite the injury toll, Genoa's got the edge at home and the head-to-head record. Venezia's solidity wears down but doesn't break through.

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