Torino 3-2 Monza: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 23, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Torino 3-2 Monza.

90+4'

N. Patterson

Goal! Torino 3-2 Monza. Own goal by N. Patterson.

90+3'

Z. Aboukhlal

Attempt saved. Z. Aboukhlal (Torino), left-footed shot. xG 0.13.

90+3'

Torino

Corner, Torino.

90+1'

Z. Aboukhlal

Attempt blocked. Z. Aboukhlal (Torino), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

90+1'

N. Patterson

Attempt missed. N. Patterson (Torino), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

89'

C. Adams

Attempt missed. C. Adams (Torino), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

85'

A. Carboni

Substitution, Monza: M. Mout comes on for A. Carboni.

84'

R. Belghali

Substitution, Torino: Z. Aboukhlal comes on for R. Belghali.

83'

Monza

Offside, Monza.

80'

Monza

Offside, Monza.

79'

M. Folorunsho

Attempt missed. M. Folorunsho (Monza), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

79'

D. Mota

Substitution, Monza: C. Ngonge comes on for D. Mota.

79'

J. Robinson

Substitution, Monza: P. Cutrone comes on for J. Robinson.

76'

C. Adams

Attempt missed. C. Adams (Torino), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

72'

N. Vlašić

Goal! Torino 3-1 Monza. N. Vlašić (Torino) scores.

71'

G. Simeone

Substitution, Torino: S. Kulenović comes on for G. Simeone.

71'

K. Fitz-Jim

Substitution, Torino: D. Bragança comes on for K. Fitz-Jim.

71'

A. Cacciamani

Substitution, Torino: N. Patterson comes on for A. Cacciamani.

70'

G. Simeone

Attempt missed. G. Simeone (Torino), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.14.

68'

R. Mangas

Attempt saved. R. Mangas (Monza), header. xG 0.06.

67'

C. Adams

Attempt saved. C. Adams (Torino), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

64'

J. Robinson

Attempt saved. J. Robinson (Monza), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

63'

L. Lucchesi

Substitution, Monza: E. Kouadio comes on for L. Lucchesi.

63'

M. Foe Ondoa

Substitution, Monza: M. Folorunsho comes on for M. Foe Ondoa.

61'

R. Belghali

Goal! Torino 2-1 Monza. R. Belghali (Torino) scores, assisted by G. Gineitis.

61'

P. Comuzzo

Attempt saved. P. Comuzzo (Torino), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

60'

Torino

Corner, Torino.

55'

C. Adams

Attempt missed. C. Adams (Torino), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

54'

R. Belghali

Attempt saved. R. Belghali (Torino), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

51'

R. Mandragora

Substitution, Torino: G. Gineitis comes on for R. Mandragora.

47'

G. Varela

Goal! Torino 1-1 Monza. G. Varela (Monza) scores.

46'

S. Birindelli

Attempt missed. S. Birindelli (Monza), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Torino 1-0 Monza.

45'

1 minute of added time.

39'

K. Fitz-Jim

Goal! Torino 1-0 Monza. K. Fitz-Jim (Torino) scores, assisted by G. Simeone.

38'

G. Simeone

Attempt blocked. G. Simeone (Torino), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

36'

Monza

Corner, Monza.

34'

A. Ismajli

Yellow card for A. Ismajli (Torino) for foul.

32'

G. Varela

Attempt blocked. G. Varela (Monza), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

30'

Monza

Corner, Monza.

23'

Monza

Corner, Monza.

20'

Torino

Offside, Torino.

12'

A. Ismajli

Attempt missed. A. Ismajli (Torino), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

11'

Torino

Corner, Torino.

11'

R. Mandragora

Attempt blocked. R. Mandragora (Torino), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

2'

D. Mota

Attempt missed. D. Mota (Monza), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

2'

R. Mandragora

Attempt missed. R. Mandragora (Torino), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

1'

Kick-off: Torino vs Monza.

Where the money is

1185754 EUR matched · captured 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 631030 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

69.3%

-29.7 vs price

Draw 140.0 · implied 0.7%

17.0%

+16.2 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

13.8%

+13.7 vs price

Half time 1379 EUR

Draw 2.42 · implied 41.3%

82.7%

+41.4 vs price

Away 4.2 · implied 23.8%

10.8%

-13.0 vs price

Home 2.76 · implied 36.2%

10.0%

-26.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 188744 EUR · live

Over 1.58 · implied 63.3%

61.1%

-2.2 vs price

Under 2.7 · implied 37.0%

38.9%

+1.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 319 EUR

Under 1.14 · implied 87.7%

100.0%

+12.3 vs price

Over 7.8 · implied 12.8%

5.1%

-7.8 vs price

17 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

34' A. Ismajli · Foul

39' ⚽ K. Fitz-Jim · assist G. Simeone1–0

Half-time · 1–0

47' ⚽ G. Varela1–1

51' 🔁 G. Gineitis ◂ R. Mandragora

61' ⚽ R. Belghali · assist G. Gineitis2–1

63' 🔁 M. Folorunsho ◂ M. Foe Ondoa

63' 🔁 E. Kouadio ◂ L. Lucchesi

71' 🔁 N. Patterson ◂ A. Cacciamani

71' 🔁 D. Bragança ◂ K. Fitz-Jim

71' 🔁 S. Kulenović ◂ G. Simeone

72' ⚽ N. Vlašić3–1

79' 🔁 P. Cutrone ◂ J. Robinson

79' 🔁 C. Ngonge ◂ D. Mota

84' 🔁 Z. Aboukhlal ◂ R. Belghali

85' 🔁 M. Mout ◂ A. Carboni

Full-time · 3–2

90'⁺⁴ ⚽ N. Patterson3–2

Coaches

Ignazio Abate

Ivan Jurić

Recent form

Torino

WAParma3-0

WHUdinese2-1

DABologna1-1

LHAS Roma0-2

WAFiorentina2-1

Monza

WHCagliari4-0

LALazio1-3

DAStade Brestois2-2

LHCremonese2-3

WHSassuolo2-1

About this match

**Torino's rolling 🔥 while Monza's in a wobble — this is a home fixture the Granata should absolutely take.**

Torino have won 3 of their last 5 and look sharp at the Olimpico. Monza flipped a coin lately: hammered Cagliari 4-0, then lost 3-1 to Lazio. The away form is sketchy, and they're missing a chunk of midfield.

Key storylines:

- **Torino's attack** has found rhythm with **G. Simeone** and **S. Kulenović** clicking; they've scored in most recent outings
- **Monza's injury pile** (Touré, Ziółkowski, Pessina out) leaves the midfield thin — **E. Akinsanmiro** will carry real load
- Head-to-head slightly favors Torino (3 wins vs 1 in their last seven), though **3 draws** suggest these teams know how to cancel each other out

Expected lineups:

- **Torino**: L. Perri, P. Comuzzo, S. Coco, A. Ismajli, R. Belghali, N. Vlašić, R. Mandragora, G. Gineitis, G. Simeone, S. Kulenović, C. Adams
- **Monza**: N. Törnqvist, R. Mangas, E. Kouadio, L. Lucchesi, A. Bakoune, S. Birindelli, E. Akinsanmiro, M. Mout, G. Varela, J. Robinson, E. Zeballos

Prediction:

**Torino 2–0 Monza**

Home advantage, form, and Monza's defensive strain point to a Granata win.

Where to watch

Disney+ (AR)Disney+ Premium ArgentinaESPN 4 SurESPN4 Argentina

Match facts

Stadium

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

City

Turin

Referee

Andrea Zanotti

0.96 yellows/match · 24 matches

Kickoff

23 Oct, 18:45 UTC

Competition

Serie A

Highlights & clips

Torino 3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1 Monza

20 L. Perri 7.2 23 S. Coco 6.4 44 A. Ismajli 6.8 15 P. Comuzzo 6.1 66 G. Gineitis 6.6 ↑ 51' 7 Z. Aboukhlal 7.0 ↑ 84' 10 N. Vlašić 8.0 2 N. Patterson 5.9 ↑ 71' 21 D. Bragança 6.6 ↑ 71' 17 S. Kulenović 6.6 ↑ 71' 19 C. Adams 6.2 1 N. Törnqvist 5.7 2 S. Goglichidze 6.1 60 E. Kouadio 6.4 ↑ 63' 80 M. Mout 6.8 ↑ 85' 19 S. Birindelli 6.6 90 M. Folorunsho 6.2 ↑ 63' 14 E. Akinsanmiro 7.1 7 R. Mangas 6.6 10 P. Cutrone 6.5 ↑ 79' 16 C. Ngonge 6.6 ↑ 79' 9 G. Varela 7.6

Top stats

51%Possession49%

1.36Expected goals (xG)0.65

17Total shots7

7Shots on target3

3Big chances1

3Corners4

Shots

7Shots off target3

3Blocked shots1

8Shots inside box3

9Shots outside box4

1Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed0

-0.7Goals prevented-1.54

Attack

26Touches in box13

69Final third entries56

1Offsides2

4Free kicks8

0Fouled in final third2

Passing

456Passes441

360Accurate passes366

27/53 (51%)Long balls18/53 (34%)

3/13 (23%)Crosses1/11 (9%)

20Throw-ins29

Duels

52Duels48

29/59 (49%)Ground duels30/59 (51%)

22/39 (56%)Aerial duels17/39 (44%)

11/20 (55%)Dribbles8/14 (57%)

5Dispossessed8

Defending

14Tackles14

79Tackles won57

8Interceptions16

21Clearances19

50Recoveries43

Discipline

8Fouls4

1Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves4

1Big saves2

7Goal kicks9

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Torino 45%

28%

Monza 27%

Who winsMonza to win (DNB) 59% · 2.50 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.25 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 28% · 2.53 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.38 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.67 @ 1xBet

1X2Torino to win 45% · 2.45 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.60 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.77 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.38 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.10 @ William Hill

1X2Monza to win 27% · 3.60 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.10

Torino

3.40

Draw

3.50

Monza

Double Chanceconsensus

1.29

Torino or Draw

1.29

Torino or Monza

1.71

Draw or Monza

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.67

Yes

2.10

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.80

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

11.30

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.28

Over 1.50

3.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.90

Over 2.50

1.94

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.18

Over 3.50

1.35

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.50

Over 4.50

1.11

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.50

Torino

2.45

Monza

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.44

Over 7.50

2.60

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.75

Over 8.50

2.04

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.25

Over 9.50

1.63

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.89

Over 10.50

1.34

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

4.04

Over 11.50

1.17

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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