Monza 1-4 SSC Napoli: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 28, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Monza 1-4 SSC Napoli.

90'

2 minutes of added time.

88'

L. Colombo

Yellow card for L. Colombo (Monza) for foul.

84'

L. Lucca

Attempt missed. L. Lucca (SSC Napoli), header. xG 0.04.

81'

R. Højlund

Substitution, SSC Napoli: L. Lucca comes on for R. Højlund.

79'

S. McTominay

Attempt blocked. S. McTominay (SSC Napoli), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.08.

74'

L. Lucchesi

Substitution, Monza: V. Antov comes on for L. Lucchesi.

72'

S. McTominay

Attempt saved. S. McTominay (SSC Napoli), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

71'

S. McTominay

Attempt missed. S. McTominay (SSC Napoli), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

69'

J. Robinson

Substitution, Monza: E. Zeballos comes on for J. Robinson.

67'

K. De Bruyne

Goal! Monza 1-4 SSC Napoli. K. De Bruyne (SSC Napoli) scores, assisted by N. Lang.

66'

S. McTominay

Attempt missed. S. McTominay (SSC Napoli), header. xG 0.15.

63'

F. Anguissa

Substitution, SSC Napoli: K. De Bruyne comes on for F. Anguissa.

63'

M. Politano

Substitution, SSC Napoli: A. Vergara comes on for M. Politano.

62'

R. Marín

Goal! Monza 1-3 SSC Napoli. R. Marín (SSC Napoli) scores, assisted by M. Politano.

62'

SSC Napoli

Corner, SSC Napoli.

61'

A. Colpani

Attempt missed. A. Colpani (Monza), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

61'

R. Højlund

Attempt saved. R. Højlund (SSC Napoli), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

60'

C. Ngonge

Substitution, Monza: A. Colpani comes on for C. Ngonge.

60'

M. Foe Ondoa

Substitution, Monza: E. Akinsanmiro comes on for M. Foe Ondoa.

54'

M. Foe Ondoa

Attempt saved. M. Foe Ondoa (Monza), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

53'

SSC Napoli

Offside, SSC Napoli.

52'

M. Foe Ondoa

Yellow card for M. Foe Ondoa (Monza) for foul.

48'

M. Politano

Goal! Monza 1-2 SSC Napoli. M. Politano (SSC Napoli) scores.

48'

G. Varela

Attempt missed. G. Varela (Monza), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.11.

47'

F. Anguissa

Attempt blocked. F. Anguissa (SSC Napoli), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

46'

S. Goglichidze

Substitution, Monza: A. Carboni comes on for S. Goglichidze.

46'

A. Rrahmani

Substitution, SSC Napoli: L. Marianucci comes on for A. Rrahmani.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Monza 1-1 SSC Napoli.

45+2'

SSC Napoli

Corner, SSC Napoli.

45+1'

G. Varela

Attempt blocked. G. Varela (Monza), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

43'

G. Varela

Goal! Monza 1-1 SSC Napoli. G. Varela (Monza) scores, assisted by J. Robinson.

36'

R. Højlund

Attempt blocked. R. Højlund (SSC Napoli), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

36'

SSC Napoli

Offside, SSC Napoli.

32'

N. Lang

Attempt saved. N. Lang (SSC Napoli), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

31'

Monza

Offside, Monza.

29'

L. Colombo

Attempt missed. L. Colombo (Monza), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

28'

Monza

Corner, Monza.

28'

G. Varela

Attempt saved. G. Varela (Monza), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

27'

M. Foe Ondoa

Attempt blocked. M. Foe Ondoa (Monza), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

27'

Monza

Corner, Monza.

25'

I. Jurić

Yellow card for I. Jurić (Monza) for argument.

25'

SSC Napoli

Offside, SSC Napoli.

24'

G. Varela

Attempt saved. G. Varela (Monza), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

23'

M. Olivera

Attempt missed. M. Olivera (SSC Napoli), header. xG 0.09.

19'

M. Foe Ondoa

Attempt missed. M. Foe Ondoa (Monza), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

18'

M. Politano

Attempt blocked. M. Politano (SSC Napoli), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

18'

S. McTominay

Attempt missed. S. McTominay (SSC Napoli), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

17'

S. Lobotka

Substitution, SSC Napoli: B. Gilmour comes on for S. Lobotka.

12'

G. Varela

Attempt blocked. G. Varela (Monza), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

10'

R. Højlund

Goal! Monza 0-1 SSC Napoli. R. Højlund (SSC Napoli) scores, assisted by G. Di Lorenzo.

8'

S. Goglichidze

Yellow card for S. Goglichidze (Monza) for foul.

6'

SSC Napoli

Offside, SSC Napoli.

2'

Monza

Corner, Monza.

1'

S. Birindelli

Attempt saved. S. Birindelli (Monza), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

1'

Kick-off: Monza vs SSC Napoli.

Where the money is

1123765 EUR matched · captured 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 751008 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

86.4%

-12.6 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

7.0%

+6.9 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

6.7%

+6.6 vs price

Half time 1722 EUR

Draw 2.7 · implied 37.0%

51.9%

+14.8 vs price

Away 2.18 · implied 45.9%

36.2%

-9.7 vs price

Home 5.9 · implied 16.9%

12.0%

-5.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 121398 EUR · live

Over 1.2 · implied 83.3%

77.4%

-5.9 vs price

Under 5.9 · implied 16.9%

22.6%

+5.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 489 EUR

Over 6.4 · implied 15.6%

50.5%

+34.8 vs price

Under 1.19 · implied 84.0%

49.6%

-34.5 vs price

18 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 3 clips

Player of the match

Match events

8' S. Goglichidze · Foul

10' ⚽ R. Højlund · assist G. Di Lorenzo0–1

17' 🔁 B. Gilmour ◂ S. Lobotka

25' I. Jurić · Argument

43' ⚽ G. Varela · assist J. Robinson1–1

Half-time · 1–1

46' 🔁 L. Marianucci ◂ A. Rrahmani

46' 🔁 A. Carboni ◂ S. Goglichidze

48' ⚽ M. Politano1–2

52' M. Foe Ondoa · Foul

60' 🔁 E. Akinsanmiro ◂ M. Foe Ondoa

60' 🔁 A. Colpani ◂ C. Ngonge

62' ⚽ R. Marín · assist M. Politano1–3

63' 🔁 A. Vergara ◂ M. Politano

63' 🔁 K. De Bruyne ◂ F. Anguissa

67' ⚽ K. De Bruyne · assist N. Lang1–4

69' 🔁 E. Zeballos ◂ J. Robinson

74' 🔁 V. Antov ◂ L. Lucchesi

81' 🔁 L. Lucca ◂ R. Højlund

88' L. Colombo · Foul

Full-time · 1–4

Coaches

Ivan Jurić

Massimiliano Allegri

Recent form

Monza

LATorino2-3

WHCagliari4-0

LALazio1-3

DAStade Brestois2-2

LHCremonese2-3

SSC Napoli

DHAS Roma3-3

WHBodø/Glimt4-3

LAVenezia0-1

LAVillarreal1-3

WHFrosinone3-0

About this match

**Napoli roll into Monza's house looking to put a dent in a team that's been all over the place.** This is the kind match where the difference in squad depth and firepower feels pretty stark. 🔴🔵

Monza are gutted by injuries and sliding — just one win in five — while Napoli's bounced back with wins in their last two despite a shaky Rome draw. The visitors have absolutely dominated the head-to-head (4 wins in 6) and have way more to play for here.

Key storylines:

- **K. De Bruyne** and **S. Lobotka** anchor a Napoli midfield that should control the tempo against a Monza team missing midfield depth
- **R. Højlund** leads Napoli's attack with fresh legs; Monza's back line will be tested early and often
- **D. Mota** spearheads Monza's push, but without **M. Pessina** and key defenders, they're stretched thin

Expected lineups:

- **Monza**: N. Törnqvist, S. Goglichidze, E. Kouadio, A. Bakoune, S. Birindelli, E. Akinsanmiro, M. Mout, G. Varela, J. Robinson, D. Mota
- **SSC Napoli**: A. Meret, G. Di Lorenzo, R. Marín, A. Rrahmani, L. Spinazzola, K. De Bruyne, S. Lobotka, M. Politano, R. Højlund, N. Lang, Giovane

Prediction:

**Napoli 2–0 Monza.** Napoli have the edge — better form, better squad, and a brutal home-record advantage for the visitors. Expect a composed away performance.

Where to watch

Disney+ (AR)

Match facts

Stadium

U-Power Stadium

City

Monza

Referee

Giovanni Ayroldi

3.10 yellows/match · 29 matches

Kickoff

28 Oct, 19:45 UTC

Competition

Serie A

Highlights & clips

Monza 3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3 SSC Napoli

1 N. Törnqvist 6.1 19 S. Birindelli 5.8 44 A. Carboni 6.4 ↑ 46' 6 V. Antov 6.9 ↑ 74' 24 A. Bakoune 5.9 14 E. Akinsanmiro 6.5 ↑ 60' 21 L. Colombo 6.2 7 R. Mangas 5.6 28 A. Colpani 6.2 ↑ 60' 22 E. Zeballos 6.9 ↑ 69' 9 G. Varela 7.5 32 V. Milinković-Savić 7.6 22 G. Di Lorenzo 7.6 35 L. Marianucci 7.0 ↑ 46' 16 R. Marín 7.9 17 M. Olivera 6.6 11 K. De Bruyne 8.1 ↑ 63' 6 B. Gilmour 7.3 ↑ 17' 8 S. McTominay 6.3 26 A. Vergara 6.6 ↑ 63' 20 L. Lucca 6.6 ↑ 81' 70 N. Lang 8.0

Substitutes

20GD. Thiam 43GA. Strajnar 2DS. Goglichidze↓ 46'6.4 3DL. Lucchesi↓ 74'6.0 60DE. Kouadio 8MM. Foe Ondoa↓ 60'6.6 80MM. Mout 27MI. Touré 46FJ. Robinson↓ 69'7.6 16FC. Ngonge↓ 60'6.8 47FD. Mota 11FO. Forson 26FP. Ciurria 10FP. Cutrone

Coach: Ivan Jurić

Substitutes

1GA. Meret 14GN. Contini 13DA. Rrahmani↓ 46'6.6 31DS. Beukema 21MM. Politano↓ 63'8.8 68MS. Lobotka↓ 17'6.7 99MF. Anguissa↓ 63'6.6 19FR. Højlund↓ 81'8.1 23FGiovane

Coach: Massimiliano Allegri

Top stats

35%Possession65%

1.14Expected goals (xG)1.78

12Total shots16

5Shots on target7

1Big chances4

2Corners2

Shots

4Shots off target5

3Blocked shots4

3Shots inside box12

9Shots outside box4

1Big chances scored2

0Big chances missed2

-0.49Goals prevented0.56

Attack

12Touches in box20

34Final third entries66

1Offsides4

6Free kicks14

1Fouled in final third2

Passing

334Passes631

273Accurate passes556

15/29 (52%)Long balls45/73 (62%)

2/10 (20%)Crosses7/12 (58%)

17Throw-ins13

Duels

46Duels54

30/65 (46%)Ground duels35/65 (54%)

10/22 (45%)Aerial duels12/22 (55%)

6/14 (43%)Dribbles6/12 (50%)

8Dispossessed12

Defending

18Tackles16

28Tackles won63

5Interceptions4

14Clearances14

35Recoveries40

Discipline

14Fouls6

3Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves4

2Big saves2

7Goal kicks6

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 22 bookmakers

Monza 22%

24%

Napoli 54%

1X2Napoli to win 54% · 2.15 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.10 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 3.90 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.95 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.71 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 24% · 2.71 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.82 @ Pinnacle

Who winsMonza to win (DNB) 53% · 3.50 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle

1X2Monza to win 22% · 4.30 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

4.33

Monza

3.90

Draw

1.75

SSC Napoli

Double Chanceconsensus

2.05

Monza or Draw

1.22

Monza or SSC Napoli

1.20

Draw or SSC Napoli

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.65

Yes

2.15

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

7.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.40

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

12.30

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.20

Over 1.50

4.33

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.68

Over 2.50

2.20

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.73

Over 3.50

1.44

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.00

Over 4.50

1.16

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

3.23

Monza

1.30

SSC Napoli

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.39

Over 7.50

2.60

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.61

Over 8.50

2.25

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.02

Over 9.50

1.75

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.60

Over 10.50

1.44

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.58

Over 11.50

1.21

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Report a data issue