Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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**Both teams are limping in, but Parma at least has a home-field emergency kit ready.** Udinese's injury list reads like a medical waiting room, while the hosts have just one win in five to lean on. 🏥
Parma's struggling but catching Udinese at exactly the right time — the Friuli side has shipped 5 goals in their last two home matches and is missing half its defensive spine. Udinese's injury crisis is real: **D. Alaba, I. Gueye, N. Zaniolo** and four others out. Parma should smell blood here.
Key storylines:
- **Parma's home advantage** in a fixture they historically own (22 wins vs 19 in 52 meetings)
- **Udinese's defensive carnage** — too many key absences to patch over at Tardini
- **S. Britschgi and E. Touré** need a breakthrough for the hosts after three straight defeats
Expected lineups:
- **Parma**: E. Corvi, M. Troilo, D. Carlos, A. Bernabé, M. Keita, C. Ordoñez, S. Lontani, E. Touré, S. Britschgi
- **Udinese**: M. Okoye, J. Arizala, E. Ebosse, C. Kabasele, J. Piotrowski, L. Miller, J. Ekkelenkamp, K. Davis, U. Gómez
Prediction:
**Parma 2–0 Udinese**
Lean toward a Parma bounce-back win. Udinese's injury toll is too steep to overcome away from home. ⚽
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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