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Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Lazio
Lazio
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Alberto Aquilani
Sassuolo
Lazio
Sassuolo
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Lazio
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Sassuolo 2-6 Lazio.
90'
2 minutes of added time.
89'
Sassuolo
Corner, Sassuolo.
87'
Sassuolo
Offside, Sassuolo.
82'
Lazio
Corner, Lazio.
82'
Attempt blocked. M. Cancellieri (Lazio), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.29.
81'
Lazio
Offside, Lazio.
72'
Sassuolo
Offside, Sassuolo.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Sassuolo 2-4 Lazio.
45'
6 minutes of added time.
43'
Goal! Sassuolo 2-3 Lazio. S. Esposito (Sassuolo) scores, assisted by S. Cinquegrano.
36'
Sassuolo
Offside, Sassuolo.
36'
Sassuolo
Offside, Sassuolo.
29'
Attempt missed. A. Laurienté (Sassuolo), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.
26'
Sassuolo
Corner, Sassuolo.
16'
Goal! Sassuolo 1-3 Lazio. R. F. Mussolini (Lazio) scores, assisted by K. Taylor.
7'
Attempt missed. K. Thorstvedt (Sassuolo), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.25.
1'
Kick-off: Sassuolo vs Lazio.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1347422 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.0%
-12.0 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.7%
+6.6 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.4%
+6.3 vs price
Half time
1511 EUR
Away
2.62 · implied 38.2%
56.4%
+18.2 vs price
Home
4.3 · implied 23.3%
28.8%
+5.5 vs price
Draw
2.58 · implied 38.8%
14.9%
-23.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
53424 EUR · live
Over
1.07 · implied 93.5%
78.8%
-14.6 vs price
Under
16.5 · implied 6.1%
23.8%
+17.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
764 EUR
Under
1.2 · implied 83.3%
80.1%
-3.2 vs price
Over
6.0 · implied 16.7%
19.9%
+3.2 vs price
18 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
2'
⚽
K. Taylor0–1
7'
⚽
K. Thorstvedt · assist J. Doig1–1
13'
⚽
G. Isaksen · assist M. Zaccagni1–2
16'
⚽
R. F. Mussolini · assist K. Taylor1–3
16'
VAR
Goal check · R. F. Mussolini
28'
K. Taylor · Foul
31'
K. Thorstvedt · Foul
43'
⚽
S. Esposito · assist S. Cinquegrano2–3
Half-time · 2–4
45'+1
⚽
M. Zaccagni · assist G. Isaksen2–4
46'
🔁
F. Dele-Bashiru ◂ K. Taylor
46'
🔁
I. Sulemana ◂ D. Bakola
47'
VAR
Penalty check · M. Zaccagni
50'
🚫
Penalty missed · M. Zaccagni
54'
D. Berardi · Argument
55'
⚽
T. Noslin · assist M. Zaccagni2–5
61'
🚫
Penalty missed · D. Frattesi
62'
🔁
M. Lazzari ◂ R. F. Mussolini
63'
🔁
F. Candé ◂ D. Berardi
63'
🔁
K. Bowie ◂ S. Esposito
63'
🔁
M. Cancellieri ◂ G. Isaksen
63'
🔁
A. Pedraza ◂ N. Tavares
65'
⚽
T. Noslin · assist F. Dele-Bashiru2–6
70'
🔁
A. Ghion ◂ A. Laurienté
71'
🔁
A. Pinamonti ◂ T. Noslin
82'
🔁
S. Walukiewicz ◂ D. Ćaleta-Car
Full-time · 2–6
Coaches
Alberto AquilaniGennaro Gattuso 
Recent form
SassuoloLAComo0-2
LAFrosinone2-4
DHAC Milan1-1
LAMonza1-2
WHJuventus3-2
LazioWHParma2-1
WAJuventus3-0
WHMonza3-1
DHJuve Stabia3-3
WHArezzo2-0
About this match
**Lazio's flying high, and Sassuolo's held together by duct tape.** The Aquile are on a tear while the Neroverdi are crumbling under a pile of injuries — this screams mismatch on paper. 🟦
Sassuolo have won just once in five, leaking goals and bleeding personnel. Lazio meanwhile just demolish Juve 3-0 and haven't dropped a match in ages. The form gap is basically a chasm.
Key storylines:
- **Lazio's attack** keeps finding space — three wins in a row with multiple goals in each, so Sassuolo's makeshift defense will be tested hard
- **Berardi and Laurienté** need to create chaos on the counter because sitting deep and soaking pressure usually ends badly for Sassuolo
- **Injury chaos favors the visitor** — Lazio missing three, Sassuolo missing five including key defenders; Boloca, Leysen, and Koné out is brutal for midfield and depth
Expected lineups:
- **Sassuolo**: A. Murić, J. Doig, S. Cinquegrano, C. Odenthal, D. Ćaleta-Car, N. Matić, D. Bakola, V. Adžić, A. Laurienté, D. Berardi, K. Bowie
- **Lazio**: C. Mandas, N. Tavares, O. Provstgaard, D. Doekhi, M. Lazzari, R. Belahyane, K. Taylor, D. Frattesi, M. Zaccagni, G. Isaksen, T. Noslin
Prediction:
**1-3 Lazio.** Sassuolo's injury list is too long and their form too fragile to stop a Lazio side that's simply clicking right now. 🟦
Where to watch
Disney+ Premium ArgentinaESPN 3 Argentina
Paramount+
DAZN Belgium
Sporty TVSporty TV App
Astro Go
Disney+ BrazilESPN 3
StarTimes App
Sporty TVSporty TV AppStarTimes App
StarTimes App
ESPN 2 Colombia
DAZN
TV2 PlayTV2 Play Denmark
DAZN ES
MTV KatsomoMTV Urheilu 2
TV2 Play Denmark
DAZN UK
Sporty TVSporty TV AppStarTimes App
Sporty TVSporty TV AppStarTimes App
Arena Sport 1 HR
Sport 3
DAZN
Sporty TVSporty TV AppStarTimes App
StarTimes App
StarTimes App
StarTimes App
ESPN 2 Norte
Astro GoAstro Stadiumsooka
Sporty TVSporty TV AppStarTimes App
Sporty TVSporty TV AppStarTimes App
TV2 PlayVG TV
Eleven Sports 1 HD
Sport TV2
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Prima Sport 2
Sporty TVSporty TV AppStarTimes App
TV4 Play SportTV4 Sport Live 2
Sporty TVSporty TV AppStarTimes App
DAZN
Sporty TVSporty TV AppStarTimes App
Sporty TVSporty TV AppStarTimes App
NBC UNIVERSOParamount+PeacockUniversofuboTV
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Sporty TVSporty TV AppStarTimes App
StarTimes App
Match facts
Stadium
Mapei Stadium
City
Reggio Emilia
Kickoff
27 Oct, 17:30 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Highlights & clips
Sassuolo
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Lazio
80
S. Turati
5.7
46
S. Cinquegrano
5.2
26
C. Odenthal
5.3
6
S. Walukiewicz
7.1
↑ 82'
3
J. Doig
5.7
35
L. Lipani
6.1
55
I. Sulemana
6.7
↑ 46'
5
F. Candé
6.2
↑ 63'
42
K. Thorstvedt
6.2
8
A. Ghion
7.1
↑ 70'
9
K. Bowie
6.4
↑ 63'
35
C. Mandas
6.0
29
M. Lazzari
6.5
↑ 62'
37
J. Šutalo
6.6
2
D. Leite
7.1
23
A. Pedraza
7.0
↑ 63'
16
D. Frattesi
6.4
21
R. Belahyane
7.0
7
F. Dele-Bashiru
6.8
↑ 46'
22
M. Cancellieri
6.8
↑ 63'
9
A. Pinamonti
6.6
↑ 71'
10
M. Zaccagni
9.6
Top stats
42%Possession58%
0.76Expected goals (xG)3.57
9Total shots16
1Shots on target8
2Big chances7
2Corners1
Shots
6Shots off target4
2Blocked shots4
2Shots inside box11
7Shots outside box5
1Big chances scored3
1Big chances missed4
-1.38Goals prevented-1.75
Attack
11Touches in box27
37Final third entries53
3Offsides1
13Free kicks5
1Fouled in final third3
Passing
449Passes622
395Accurate passes570
18/41 (44%)Long balls16/28 (57%)
0/7 (0%)Crosses2/9 (22%)
10Throw-ins15
Duels
55Duels45
35/63 (56%)Ground duels28/63 (44%)
6/12 (50%)Aerial duels6/12 (50%)
9/16 (56%)Dribbles9/14 (64%)
6Dispossessed9
Defending
14Tackles13
50Tackles won23
9Interceptions4
16Clearances12
33Recoveries37
Discipline
7Fouls13
1Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves0
6Goal kicks3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 22 bookmakers
1X2Lazio to win 44% · 2.50 @ William Hill
Who winsLazio to win (DNB) 50% · 1.46 @ Bwin
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.80 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 3.75 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.73 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.89 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.65 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.39 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.73 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
1X2Sassuolo to win 29% · 3.38 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.20
Sassuolo
3.60
Draw
2.15
Lazio
Double Chanceconsensus
1.66
Sassuolo or Draw
1.27
Sassuolo or Lazio
1.35
Draw or Lazio
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.53
Yes
2.36
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.20
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.21
Over 1.50
4.42
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.67
Over 2.50
2.20
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.65
Over 3.50
1.47
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.00
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.56
Sassuolo
1.46
Lazio
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.35
Over 7.50
2.83
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.66
Over 8.50
2.11
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.10
Over 9.50
1.68
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.77
Over 10.50
1.36
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.85
Over 11.50
1.19
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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