Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
**Bologna rolls, Monza's in freefall** — the hosts are **3W-1D in their last five**, while Monza just shipped four goals to Napoli and three to Torino. This should be pretty lopsided. 🎯
Bologna's clicking at home despite missing **Holm** and **Orsolini**, while Monza are down five players and leaking goals for fun. The visitors' injury list is almost as long as their recent form is bad.
Key storylines:
- **Dovbyk** and **Cambiaghi** face a Monza backline stretched thin by absences; Bologna's attack should have room to operate
- **Pobega** and **Ferguson** anchor a Bologna midfield that's been rock-solid; Monza's engine room is understaffed
- Head-to-head favors Bologna **4-1-2** in the last seven meetings — hostile territory for the Brianza club
Expected lineups:
- **Bologna**: Skorupski, Miranda, Zortea, Theate, Heggem, Ferguson, Pobega, Cambiaghi, Odgaard, Bernardeschi, Dovbyk
- **Monza**: Törnqvist, Mangas, Kouadio, Lucchesi, Bakoune, Carboni, Akinsanmiro, Folorunsho, Robinson, Varela, Zeballos
Prediction:
**Bologna 3–0 Monza**. Clinical home performance against injury-ravaged opposition. 🔴
Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 87.0% of these turn out right.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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