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Liam Rosenior
Paris FC
Nice
Paris FC
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Nice
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
253342 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.3%
-11.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.7%
+6.6 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.1%
+6.0 vs price
Half time
1488 EUR · live
Draw
6.4 · implied 15.6%
58.3%
+42.6 vs price
Away
4.8 · implied 20.8%
24.9%
+4.0 vs price
Home
1.22 · implied 82.0%
16.8%
-65.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
98478 EUR · live
Over
4.9 · implied 20.4%
69.0%
+48.6 vs price
Under
1.25 · implied 80.0%
31.0%
-49.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2314 EUR · live
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
78.6%
-11.5 vs price
Over
8.6 · implied 11.6%
21.4%
+9.8 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
18'
Y. Ndayishimiye · Foul
21'
⚽
L. Sinayoko (pen)1–0
Half-time · 1–0
51'
⚽
S. S. Chergui · assist I. Kebbal2–0
63'
🔁
R. Matondo ◂ M. Simon
63'
🔁
E. Wahi ◂ N. Ngoumou
72'
🔁
Zabi ◂ P. Pagis
73'
🔁
A. Mendy ◂ M. Abdelmonem
73'
🔁
I. Jansson ◂ A. Witsel
82'
🔁
D. Morana ◂ M. Bard
82'
🔁
H. Koutoune ◂ J. Clauss
83'
🔁
V. Marchetti ◂ Otávio
83'
🔁
H. Traoré ◂ I. Kebbal
89'
⚽
V. Marchetti · assist Zabi3–0
Full-time · 3–0
Coaches
Liam RoseniorOlivier Pantaloni 
Recent form
Paris FCDATroyes0-0
LAAngers2-3
LA1. FSV Mainz 050-4
DHVfB Stuttgart2-2
DAComo2-2
NiceDHLorient0-0
DAHull City0-0
DACagliari0-0
LAJuventus0-2
WAOlympique de Marseille3-0
Where to watch
ESPN 4 SurESPN4 Argentina
DAZN Belgium
Canal+ Sport 2
Canal+ Sport 2
Canal+ Sport 2
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 4 Sur
BetanoXsports
Canal+ Sport 2
Canal+ Sport 2
Canal+ Sport 2
DAZN
Canal+ Sport 2
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 4 Sur
Canal+ Sport 2
ESPN 4 Sur
ESPN 4 Sur
Canal+ Sport 2
DAZN
Canal+ Sport 2
Viaplay
ESPN 4 Sur
ESPN 4 Sur
Ligue 1+
Canal+ Sport 2
Canal+ Sport 2
Viaplay
Canal+ Sport 2
Canal+ Sport 2
Canal+ Sport 2
ESPN 4 Sur
Canal+ Sport 2
ESPN 4 Sur
Arena Sport 4 HR
Arena 5 Premium
Canal+ Sport 2
Canal+ Sport 2
Canal+ Sport 2
Canal+ Sport 2
ESPN 4 Sur
Viaplay Netherlands
TV2 PlayViaplay
ESPN 4 Sur
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 4 Sur
Eleven Sports 3 HD
Sport TV3
ESPN 4 SurESPN4 Argentina
Arena 5 Premium
Canal+ Sport 2
Viaplay
Canal+ Sport 2
Canal+ Sport 2
ESPN 4 Sur
Canal+ Sport 2
Canal+ Sport 2
ESPN 4 SurESPN4 Argentina
Disney+ Premium SurESPN 4 Sur
Match facts
Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin
City
Issy-les-Moulineaux
Kickoff
30 Aug, 13:00 UTC
Competition
Ligue 1
Highlights & clips
Paris FC
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Nice
1
K. Trapp
7.3
17
A. Camara
31
S. S. Chergui
7.8
42
D. Coppola
7.5
14
H. Traoré
6.8
↑ 83'
20
M. López
7.6
33
P. Lees Melou
8.4
4
V. Marchetti
7.4
↑ 83'
8
Zabi
7.2
↑ 72'
23
R. Matondo
7.6
↑ 63'
9
L. Sinayoko
6.8
23
Y. Diouf
6.7
33
A. Mendy
5.7
↑ 73'
55
Y. Ndayishimiye
6.3
35
X. Mandza
6.6
84
H. Koutoune
6.1
↑ 82'
39
D. Coulibaly
6.1
21
I. Jansson
6.6
↑ 73'
41
D. Morana
6.5
↑ 82'
7
G. Hein
6.3
10
S. Diop
6.9
11
E. Wahi
6.5
↑ 63'
Substitutes
16GO. Nkambadio
6DOtávio↓ 83'7.0
5DM. Mbow
28DT. De Smet
10MI. Kebbal↓ 83'7.1
7FP. Pagis↓ 72'6.8
27FM. Simon↓ 63'6.5
18FO. Sissoko
11FJ. Krasso
Coach: Liam Rosenior
Substitutes
77GT. Boulhendi
5DM. Abdelmonem↓ 73'7.1
26DM. Bard↓ 82'6.7
92MJ. Clauss↓ 82'6.5
28MA. Witsel↓ 73'6.4
29MN. Ngoumou↓ 63'6.1
87ME. Pereira
38MA. Camara
44FZ. Diallo
Coach: Olivier Pantaloni
Top stats
45%Possession55%
2.38Expected goals (xG)0.78
15Total shots16
4Shots on target4
5Big chances2
2Corners4
Shots
7Shots off target6
4Blocked shots6
10Shots inside box9
5Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed2
0.39Goals prevented-1.0
Attack
22Touches in box24
40Final third entries68
2Offsides1
6Free kicks7
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
584Passes691
523Accurate passes617
15/35 (43%)Long balls21/43 (49%)
2/8 (25%)Crosses6/23 (26%)
12Throw-ins13
Duels
46Duels54
29/60 (48%)Ground duels31/60 (52%)
4/12 (33%)Aerial duels8/12 (67%)
8/15 (53%)Dribbles8/16 (50%)
9Dispossessed7
Defending
15Tackles16
60Tackles won63
13Interceptions17
27Clearances12
61Recoveries58
Discipline
7Fouls7
0Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
8Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.82 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
Who winsParis to win (DNB) 67% · 1.50 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.16 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.48 @ Unibet
1X2Paris to win 46% · 2.50 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.50 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.31 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.25 @ 1xBet
1X2Nice to win 26% · 3.84 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.05
Paris FC
3.38
Draw
3.62
Nice
Double Chanceconsensus
1.28
Paris FC or Draw
1.29
Paris FC or Nice
1.75
Draw or Nice
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.80
Yes
1.93
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.65
YES
1.42
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.75
YES
1.22
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.47
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.88
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.23
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50
1.81
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.47
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.46
Paris FC
2.55
Nice
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.26
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.48
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.79
Over 9.50
1.94
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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