Auxerre vs Nice — live & stats

Where the money is

424492 EUR matched · captured 2 days, 21 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 239850 EUR · live

Home 1.03 · implied 97.1%

45.0%

-52.1 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

35.9%

+35.8 vs price

Draw 17.5 · implied 5.7%

19.2%

+13.5 vs price

Half time 2661 EUR · live

Draw 1.24 · implied 80.6%

91.5%

+10.8 vs price

Away 7.0 · implied 14.3%

6.0%

-8.3 vs price

Home 8.4 · implied 11.9%

2.5%

-9.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 44401 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

72.4%

-26.6 vs price

Over 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

27.6%

+27.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1529 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

89.4%

-9.6 vs price

Over 80.0 · implied 1.2%

10.5%

+9.3 vs price

12 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

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Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

44' K. Danois · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

71' 🔁 R. Faivre ◂ R. Lascary

72' 🔁 A. Abdi ◂ N. Nkounkou

74' ⚽ C. Archer · assist C. Makosso1–0

74' D. Coulibaly · Foul

81' 🔁 N. Ahamada ◂ D. Namaso

82' 🔁 P. Ekwah ◂ A. Piedfort

86' 🔁 I. Jansson ◂ M. Abdelmonem

86' 🔁 H. Boudaoui ◂ A. Witsel

86' 🔁 N. Ngoumou ◂ M. E. A. Amoura

86' 🔁 S. Diop ◂ E. Wahi

87' 🔁 R. Mandengue ◂ C. Archer

Full-time · 1–0

Coaches

Will Still

Olivier Pantaloni

Recent form

Auxerre

LAOlympique Lyonnais1-3

LHAngers1-3

LARC Lens2-5

WASV Werder Bremen1-0

DHTroyes1-1

Nice

DHLe Mans1-1

LAParis FC0-3

DHLorient0-0

DAHull City0-0

DACagliari0-0

About this match

**Auxerre's in a rough patch, and Nice can't seem to find a win.** This is a clash between two teams badly needing three points — one's bleeding goals, the other can't stop drawing. 🎭

Auxerre have only won once in five and shipped 11 in their last three games at home. Nice, meanwhile, look utterly stuck: four draws in five with barely any attacking punch. Both lineups are decimated by injury, so whoever stays healthier might steal this one.

Key storylines:

- **Auxerre's leaky defense** meets a **Nice side** that can't finish — expect a messy, low-scoring affair
- **Romain Faivre** and **Evann Pereira** carry creative burden for their respective sides in midfield
- Auxerre's home record is dire; Nice haven't won anywhere, making this genuinely a coin flip

Expected lineups:

- **Auxerre**: M. Diop, E. Legros, C. Akpa, S. Diomandé, R. Faivre, K. Danois, N. Ahamada, A. Zossou, A. Piedfort, D. Namaso
- **Nice**: Y. Diouf, X. Mandza, Y. Ndayishimiye, A. Witsel, E. Pereira, J. Clauss, S. Diop, E. Wahi, N. Ngoumou

Prediction:

**1-1** — both teams are too fractured to break through cleanly; a draw feels inevitable. 🤝

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 5beIN Sports Xtra

Match facts

Stadium

Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

City

Auxerre

Referee

François Letexier

3.90 yellows/match · 48 matches

Kickoff

12 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Competition

Ligue 1

Highlights & clips

Auxerre 3-4-3 · 3-4-2-1 Nice

23 M. Diop 7.7 15 C. Makosso 7.9 4 A. Tuanzebe 7.0 92 C. Akpa 7.3 27 L. Sy 6.9 17 P. Ekwah 6.6 ↑ 82' 5 K. Danois 8.0 22 F. Oppegård 6.7 8 N. Ahamada 6.5 ↑ 81' 32 R. Mandengue 6.6 ↑ 87' 21 R. Faivre 6.8 ↑ 71' 23 Y. Diouf 6.6 6 H. Boudaoui 6.6 ↑ 86' 55 Y. Ndayishimiye 8.1 35 X. Mandza 6.9 92 J. Clauss 6.6 39 D. Coulibaly 6.3 29 N. Ngoumou 6.5 ↑ 86' 2 A. Abdi 6.0 ↑ 72' 7 G. Hein 6.8 10 S. Diop 6.4 ↑ 86' 21 I. Jansson 6.8 ↑ 86'

Substitutes

1GP. Nardi 20DS. Diomandé 35DE. Legros 46MA. Piedfort↓ 82'7.1 77MA. Zossou 34ML. Dioubaté 9FC. Archer↓ 87'7.6 10FD. Namaso↓ 81'7.2 3FR. Lascary↓ 71'6.7

Coach: Will Still

Substitutes

77GT. Boulhendi 27DN. Nkounkou↓ 72'7.7 5DM. Abdelmonem↓ 86'6.8 28MA. Witsel↓ 86'6.8 38MA. Camara 87ME. Pereira 9FM. E. A. Amoura↓ 86'6.6 11FE. Wahi↓ 86'6.4 41FD. Morana

Coach: Olivier Pantaloni

Top stats

30%Possession70%

1.74Expected goals (xG)1.08

11Total shots12

7Shots on target4

3Big chances0

3Corners8

Shots

3Shots off target5

1Blocked shots3

11Shots inside box7

0Shots outside box5

1Big chances scored0

2Big chances missed0

1.09Goals prevented0.47

Attack

24Touches in box28

66Final third entries79

0Offsides3

7Free kicks9

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

302Passes695

207Accurate passes611

18/56 (32%)Long balls26/64 (41%)

1/8 (13%)Crosses3/27 (11%)

9Throw-ins19

Duels

53Duels47

43/70 (61%)Ground duels27/70 (39%)

7/24 (29%)Aerial duels17/24 (71%)

15/20 (75%)Dribbles5/13 (38%)

8Dispossessed14

Defending

22Tackles13

55Tackles won54

11Interceptions12

34Clearances19

65Recoveries59

Discipline

9Fouls7

1Yellow cards1

Goalkeeping

4Saves4

2Big saves0

9Goal kicks7

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 21 bookmakers

Auxerre 37%

28%

Nice 35%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.39 @ 1xBet

1X2Nice to win 35% · 3.20 @ 888Sport

1X2Draw 28% · 2.48 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.30 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.18 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.34 @ Pinnacle

Who winsAuxerre to win (DNB) 57% · 2.05 @ Betsson

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.16 @ 1xBet

1X2Auxerre to win 37% · 2.87 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.72 @ Unibet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.55

Auxerre

3.35

Draw

2.70

Nice

Double Chanceconsensus

1.44

Auxerre or Draw

1.33

Auxerre or Nice

1.45

Draw or Nice

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.70

Yes

2.05

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

3.20

YES

1.30

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

3.35

YES

1.28

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.33

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.67

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.05

Over 0.50

9.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.30

Over 1.50

3.38

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.95

Over 2.50

1.86

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.40

Over 3.50

1.31

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.50

Over 4.50

1.10

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.01

Auxerre

1.74

Nice

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.20

Over 7.50

3.61

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.38

Over 8.50

2.67

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.69

Over 9.50

2.04

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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