Paris FC 4-3 Stade Rennais: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Paris FC 4-3 Stade Rennais.

90+7'

L. Sinayoko

Goal! Paris FC 4-3 Stade Rennais. L. Sinayoko (Paris FC) converts the penalty.

90+3'

L. Sinayoko

VAR: no penalty for Paris FC.

90+1'

E. Lepaul

Substitution, Stade Rennais: ? comes on for E. Lepaul.

90'

6 minutes of added time.

90'

H. Traoré

Yellow card for H. Traoré (Paris FC) for argument.

89'

Stade Rennais

Corner, Stade Rennais.

89'

M. Tamari

Attempt saved. M. Tamari (Stade Rennais), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.19.

89'

M. Camara

Attempt blocked. M. Camara (Stade Rennais), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

88'

E. Lepaul

Goal! Paris FC 3-3 Stade Rennais. E. Lepaul (Stade Rennais) converts the penalty.

86'

Stade Rennais

Corner, Stade Rennais.

86'

L. Koleosho

Substitution, Paris FC: M. Mbow comes on for L. Koleosho.

86'

S. S. Chergui

Substitution, Paris FC: E. Mbemba comes on for S. S. Chergui.

84'

M. Tamari

Attempt missed. M. Tamari (Stade Rennais), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

79'

H. Traoré

Substitution, Paris FC: Otávio comes on for H. Traoré.

79'

I. Soumaré

Substitution, Stade Rennais: B. Dia comes on for I. Soumaré.

79'

I. Kebbal

Substitution, Paris FC: M. Simon comes on for I. Kebbal.

76'

L. Sinayoko

Goal! Paris FC 3-2 Stade Rennais. L. Sinayoko (Paris FC) scores.

76'

L. Sinayoko

Attempt blocked. L. Sinayoko (Paris FC), header. xG 0.11.

74'

E. Lepaul

Goal! Paris FC 2-2 Stade Rennais. E. Lepaul (Stade Rennais) converts the penalty.

72'

M. Camara

Attempt saved. M. Camara (Stade Rennais), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

70'

P. Pagis

Substitution, Paris FC: R. Matondo comes on for P. Pagis.

67'

I. Kebbal

Yellow card for I. Kebbal (Paris FC) for foul.

62'

D. Cissé

Substitution, Stade Rennais: M. Camara comes on for D. Cissé.

61'

Paris FC

Offside, Paris FC.

61'

L. Koleosho

Cleared off the line! L. Koleosho (Paris FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.21.

56'

P. Pagis

Attempt blocked. P. Pagis (Paris FC), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

51'

S. Szymański

VAR check complete: the goal for Stade Rennais stands.

49'

Paris FC

Corner, Paris FC.

47'

Stade Rennais

Corner, Stade Rennais.

47'

B. Reynolds

Attempt saved. B. Reynolds (Stade Rennais), right-footed shot. xG 0.34.

46'

A. Thomasson

Substitution, Stade Rennais: V. Rongier comes on for A. Thomasson.

46'

L. Blas

Substitution, Stade Rennais: M. Tamari comes on for L. Blas.

46'

P. Frankowski

Substitution, Stade Rennais: M. Nagida comes on for P. Frankowski.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Paris FC 2-1 Stade Rennais.

45+4'

L. Sinayoko

Attempt missed. L. Sinayoko (Paris FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

45+4'

M. López

Goal! Paris FC 2-1 Stade Rennais. M. López (Paris FC) scores, assisted by L. Sinayoko.

45+1'

Stade Rennais

Corner, Stade Rennais.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

44'

H. Traoré

Attempt saved. H. Traoré (Paris FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

43'

L. Koleosho

Attempt missed. L. Koleosho (Paris FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

42'

S. S. Chergui

Yellow card for S. S. Chergui (Paris FC) for argument.

41'

L. Sinayoko

Attempt missed. L. Sinayoko (Paris FC), header. xG 0.25.

39'

L. Blas

Attempt saved. L. Blas (Stade Rennais), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

36'

A. Thomasson

Yellow card for A. Thomasson (Stade Rennais) for foul.

36'

A. Rouault

Yellow card for A. Rouault (Stade Rennais) for foul.

36'

L. Koleosho

Attempt blocked. L. Koleosho (Paris FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

32'

D. Cissé

Yellow card for D. Cissé (Stade Rennais) for foul.

29'

E. Lepaul

Goal! Paris FC 1-1 Stade Rennais. E. Lepaul (Stade Rennais) converts the penalty.

27'

D. Cissé

Attempt blocked. D. Cissé (Stade Rennais), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

27'

E. Lepaul

Attempt blocked. E. Lepaul (Stade Rennais), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

25'

D. Cissé

Attempt blocked. D. Cissé (Stade Rennais), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

23'

P. Frankowski

Yellow card for P. Frankowski (Stade Rennais) for handball.

22'

I. Kebbal

Attempt saved. I. Kebbal (Paris FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

19'

P. Pagis

Attempt blocked. P. Pagis (Paris FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

19'

P. Lees Melou

Attempt blocked. P. Lees Melou (Paris FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

14'

M. López

Goal! Paris FC 1-0 Stade Rennais. M. López (Paris FC) scores, assisted by L. Sinayoko.

12'

L. Sinayoko

Attempt blocked. L. Sinayoko (Paris FC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.

12'

S. S. Chergui

Attempt blocked. S. S. Chergui (Paris FC), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

12'

A. Camara

Attempt saved. A. Camara (Paris FC), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

12'

Paris FC

Corner, Paris FC.

11'

P. Pagis

Attempt saved. P. Pagis (Paris FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

11'

Paris FC

Corner, Paris FC.

1'

Kick-off: Paris FC vs Stade Rennais.

Where the money is

389241 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 331730 EUR · live

Home 1.03 · implied 97.1%

71.8%

-25.3 vs price

Draw 36.0 · implied 2.8%

20.0%

+17.2 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

11.7%

+11.6 vs price

Half time 1976 EUR · live

Home 2.68 · implied 37.3%

64.9%

+27.6 vs price

Away 4.2 · implied 23.8%

31.9%

+8.1 vs price

Draw 2.56 · implied 39.1%

3.0%

-36.0 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

14' ⚽ M. López · assist L. Sinayoko1–0

23' P. Frankowski · Handball

29' ⚽ E. Lepaul (pen)1–1

32' D. Cissé · Foul

36' A. Rouault · Foul

36' A. Thomasson · Foul

42' S. S. Chergui · Argument

Half-time · 2–1

45'⁺⁴ ⚽ M. López · assist L. Sinayoko2–1

46' 🔁 M. Nagida ◂ P. Frankowski

46' 🔁 M. Tamari ◂ L. Blas

46' 🔁 V. Rongier ◂ A. Thomasson

51' VAR Goal not given after review · S. Szymański

62' 🔁 M. Camara ◂ D. Cissé

67' I. Kebbal · Foul

70' 🔁 R. Matondo ◂ P. Pagis

74' ⚽ E. Lepaul (pen)2–2

76' ⚽ L. Sinayoko3–2

79' 🔁 M. Simon ◂ I. Kebbal

79' 🔁 B. Dia ◂ I. Soumaré

79' 🔁 Otávio ◂ H. Traoré

86' 🔁 E. Mbemba ◂ S. S. Chergui

86' 🔁 M. Mbow ◂ L. Koleosho

88' ⚽ E. Lepaul (pen)3–3

Full-time · 4–3

90' H. Traoré · Argument

90'⁺¹ 🔁 ◂ E. Lepaul

90'⁺³ VAR Penalty check · L. Sinayoko

90'⁺⁷ ⚽ L. Sinayoko (pen)4–3

Coaches

Liam Rosenior

Franck Haise

Recent form

Paris FC

LALorient0-1

WHRC Strasbourg2-1

DHOlympique Lyonnais0-0

WAOlympique de Marseille3-2

WHNice3-0

Stade Rennais

WHOFI Crete2-1

WHAuxerre4-1

LAStade Lavallois0-1

LAOlympique Lyonnais0-4

DASK Sturm Graz0-0

About this match

**Paris FC host a Rennais side that's been all over the map — and with three key defenders out, the home side's backline could get properly tested.** 🔴

Paris FC have been solid at Jean Bouin (mixed the wins with a stalemate), but losing E. Mbemba, J. Ikoné, and N. Sangui leaves some real holes. Rennais meanwhile are streaky — battered Auxerre 4-1 at home, then folded to Lavallois. The H2H favors **Stade Rennais heavily** (4 wins in their last 6 head-to-heads), which is worth flagging.

Key storylines:

- **K. Trapp** faces an Auxerre-inspired Rennais attack after a clean sheet vs Lyon
- **P. Lees Melou** and **M. López** holding the midfield without three defensive reinforcements
- **E. Lepaul** leads the line for visitors who've shown they can explode offensively, but also crack under pressure

Expected lineups:

- **Paris FC**: K. Trapp, T. De Smet, D. Coppola, S. S. Chergui, H. Traoré, P. Lees Melou, M. López, L. Koleosho, I. Kebbal, P. Pagis, L. Sinayoko
- **Stade Rennais**: B. Samba, M. Nagida, C. Cresswell, A. Rouault, B. Reynolds, V. Rongier, Q. Merlin, A. Thomasson, M. Camara, P. Frankowski, E. Lepaul

Prediction:

**2-1 Paris FC.** Home side edges it on the back of solid recent form, but Rennais' historical edge and firepower keeps it tight. 📊

Where to watch

TODbeIN Sports Xtra

Match facts

Stadium

Stade Jean Bouin

City

Issy-les-Moulineaux

Referee

Bastien Dechepy

4.58 yellows/match · 31 matches

Kickoff

18 Oct, 15:15 UTC

Competition

Ligue 1

Highlights & clips

Paris FC 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3 Stade Rennais

1 K. Trapp 6.7 17 A. Camara 7.3 5 M. Mbow 6.8 ↑ 86' 42 D. Coppola 6.4 6 Otávio 6.2 ↑ 79' 20 M. López 8.4 33 P. Lees Melou 6.4 27 M. Simon 6.7 ↑ 79' 23 R. Matondo 6.2 ↑ 70' 3 E. Mbemba 6.3 ↑ 86' 9 L. Sinayoko 9.7 30 B. Samba 6.2 14 B. Reynolds 7.0 4 C. Cresswell 6.8 24 A. Rouault 6.2 18 M. Nagida 5.9 ↑ 46' 17 S. Szymański 6.6 45 M. Camara 6.6 ↑ 62' 21 V. Rongier 6.5 ↑ 46' 11 M. Tamari 7.4 ↑ 46' 9 E. Lepaul 8.6 22 B. Dia 6.5 ↑ 79'

Substitutes

16GO. Nkambadio 14DH. Traoré↓ 79'6.5 31DS. S. Chergui↓ 86'5.7 10MI. Kebbal↓ 79'7.8 8MZabi 7FP. Pagis↓ 70'7.7 15FL. Koleosho↓ 86'6.6 11FJ. Krasso 18FO. Sissoko

Coach: Liam Rosenior

Substitutes

60GK. Belazzoug 48DA. A. Boudlal 6MD. Cissé↓ 62'6.7 28MA. Thomasson↓ 46'6.4 10ML. Blas↓ 46'6.4 95MP. Frankowski↓ 46'6.3 90FI. Soumaré↓ 79'6.5 12FE. Mayenda 70FA. Nordin

Coach: Franck Haise

Top stats

52%Possession48%

3.62Expected goals (xG)3.35

19Total shots12

9Shots on target7

3Big chances5

3Corners4

Shots

3Shots off target1

7Blocked shots4

14Shots inside box7

5Shots outside box5

3Big chances scored3

0Big chances missed2

0.18Goals prevented-0.38

Attack

42Touches in box25

36Final third entries48

1Offsides0

15Free kicks10

2Fouled in final third4

Passing

521Passes464

445Accurate passes385

17/43 (40%)Long balls24/52 (46%)

4/13 (31%)Crosses0/18 (0%)

18Throw-ins18

Duels

56Duels44

37/70 (53%)Ground duels33/70 (47%)

15/23 (65%)Aerial duels8/23 (35%)

9/14 (64%)Dribbles8/18 (44%)

9Dispossessed5

Defending

15Tackles14

60Tackles won43

6Interceptions6

29Clearances24

47Recoveries45

Discipline

13Fouls16

3Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves4

0Big saves1

8Goal kicks4

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Paris 42%

27%

Rennes 31%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.85 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.80 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.80 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.86 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 27% · 2.67 @ 1xBet

Who winsParis to win (DNB) 59% · 1.55 @ 10bet

1X2Rennes to win 31% · 3.34 @ 1xBet

1X2Paris to win 42% · 2.50 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.59 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.23

Paris FC

3.54

Draw

3.10

Stade Rennais

Double Chanceconsensus

1.34

Paris FC or Draw

1.25

Paris FC or Stade Rennais

1.62

Draw or Stade Rennais

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.54

Yes

2.38

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.40

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

14.75

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.18

Over 1.50

4.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.65

Over 2.50

2.25

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.59

Over 3.50

1.49

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.00

Over 4.50

1.16

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.55

Paris FC

2.33

Stade Rennais

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.21

Over 7.50

3.25

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.44

Over 8.50

2.50

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.79

Over 9.50

1.95

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.23

Over 10.50

1.58

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.75

Over 11.50

1.34

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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