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Henry van der Vegt
PEC Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2
NEC Nijmegen
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
131678 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
84.2%
-14.8 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
9.5%
+9.4 vs price
Draw
310.0 · implied 0.3%
6.6%
+6.3 vs price
Half time
379 EUR · live
Away
1.05 · implied 95.2%
68.8%
-26.5 vs price
Draw
25.0 · implied 4.0%
20.0%
+16.0 vs price
Home
20.0 · implied 5.0%
11.1%
+6.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
8072 EUR · live
Over
1.1 · implied 90.9%
75.5%
-15.4 vs price
Under
9.8 · implied 10.2%
24.9%
+14.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
836 EUR · live
Under
2.2 · implied 45.5%
54.2%
+8.7 vs price
Over
1.79 · implied 55.9%
45.7%
-10.2 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
5'
⚽
T. Chery (pen)0–1
23'
⚽
T. Chery (pen)0–2
39'
VAR
Goal not given after review · S. Floranus
Half-time · 1–2
45'+1
⚽
K. Kostons (pen)1–2
46'
🔁
A. Kabar ◂ D. Fonville
58'
VAR
Goal not given after review · K. Kostons
63'
A. Kabar · Foul
64'
🔁
G. Reiziger ◂ T. Oosting
64'
🔁
I. Cissoko ◂ E. Sørensen
67'
🔁
E. Mor ◂ A. Tahaui
67'
🔁
W. Willumsson ◂ C. Bischoff
70'
D. Tadić · Argument
73'
T. Storm · Foul
80'
🔁
P. Schuurs ◂ B. Nuytinck
80'
🔁
B. Pereira ◂ B. Linssen
83'
⚽
P. Schuurs · assist D. Tadić1–3
86'
🔁
O. Velanas ◂ T. Sommer
Full-time · 1–3
90'+3
O. Aertssen · Foul
Coaches
Dick Schreuder 
Recent form
WASC Heerenveen2-0
LAFC Twente1-3
LHAFC Ajax0-2
LAHannover 960-3
LHAEK Athens2-3
LABodø/Glimt0-3
LHBodø/Glimt1-3
WAWillem II Tilburg4-1
WHOlympiacos FC2-1
LHSC Telstar1-2
Where to watch
ESPN Extra
ESPN Extra
ESPN Extra
ESPN Extra
Match facts
Stadium
Mac3Park Stadion
City
Zwolle
Kickoff
29 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Highlights & clips
1
J. Schendelaar
5.3
3
O. Aertssen
6.6
28
S. Graves
7.0
24
N. Viergever
5.9
2
S. Floranus
5.9
30
R. Thomas
6.4
18
O. Velanas
6.7
↑ 86'
11
D. Mbayo
6.8
20
G. Reiziger
6.4
↑ 64'
22
I. Cissoko
7.1
↑ 64'
10
K. Kostons
5.8
1
G. Crettaz
6.2
21
T. Storm
6.3
2
B. Pereira
6.8
↑ 80'
66
A. Kabar
7.3
↑ 46'
11
W. Willumsson
6.8
↑ 67'
35
J. Monteiro
6.2
20
N. Lebreton
6.6
7
E. Mor
6.5
↑ 67'
10
D. Tadić
6.4
9
T. Chery
8.4
4
P. Schuurs
7.7
↑ 80'
Substitutes
16GT. d. Graaff
41GD. Verduin
33DD. v. d. Haar
4DT. Velthuis
9ME. Sørensen↓ 64'6.6
8MT. Sommer↓ 86'6.5
25MT. Oosting↓ 64'6.0
37MG. v. d. Wal
26MJ. P. d. Gama
34MN. Fichtinger
Coach: Henry van der Vegt
Top stats
52%Possession48%
1.98Expected goals (xG)1.98
9Total shots8
2Shots on target4
2Big chances3
6Corners7
Shots
5Shots off target2
2Blocked shots2
7Shots inside box6
2Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed1
-0.83Goals prevented0.03
Attack
23Touches in box21
61Final third entries47
4Offsides0
10Free kicks15
4Fouled in final third4
Passing
375Passes341
259Accurate passes227
24/64 (38%)Long balls16/59 (27%)
2/16 (13%)Crosses6/14 (43%)
32Throw-ins18
Duels
47Duels53
33/67 (49%)Ground duels34/67 (51%)
17/40 (43%)Aerial duels23/40 (57%)
3/8 (38%)Dribbles7/16 (44%)
7Dispossessed9
Defending
18Tackles12
50Tackles won67
11Interceptions17
17Clearances23
48Recoveries60
Discipline
17Fouls12
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
1Saves1
10Goal kicks5
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2NEC to win 55% · 1.96 @ Unibet
Who winsNEC to win (DNB) 61% · 1.45 @ Betano
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 66% · 3.00 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 65% · 2.55 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 85% · 1.67 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.35 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 22% · 3.10 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 2.17 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 56% · 1.79 @ Pinnacle
1X2PEC Zwolle to win 22% · 4.20 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.30
PEC Zwolle
4.25
Draw
1.69
NEC Nijmegen
Double Chanceconsensus
2.15
PEC Zwolle or Draw
1.20
PEC Zwolle or NEC Nijmegen
1.20
Draw or NEC Nijmegen
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.40
Yes
2.75
No
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.20
YES
1.30
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
10.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.55
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
20.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.10
Over 1.50
6.39
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.40
Over 2.50
2.85
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.08
Over 3.50
1.75
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.40
Over 4.50
1.30
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.62
PEC Zwolle
1.44
NEC Nijmegen
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
3.95
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.34
Over 8.50
2.85
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.63
Over 9.50
2.15
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.01
Over 10.50
1.72
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
85% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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