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NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
FC Groningen
FC Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
FC Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
FC Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
FC Groningen
Dick Schreuder
NEC Nijmegen
FC Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
FC Groningen
Commentary
90'
Full-time. NEC Nijmegen 2-2 FC Groningen.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
89'
NEC Nijmegen
Corner, NEC Nijmegen.
81'
NEC Nijmegen
Corner, NEC Nijmegen.
81'
Attempt saved. N. Lebreton (NEC Nijmegen), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.
81'
NEC Nijmegen
Corner, NEC Nijmegen.
78'
FC Groningen
Offside, FC Groningen.
78'
FC Groningen
Offside, FC Groningen.
70'
NEC Nijmegen
Corner, NEC Nijmegen.
62'
FC Groningen
Offside, FC Groningen.
57'
Goal! NEC Nijmegen 1-2 FC Groningen. C. Bischoff (NEC Nijmegen) scores, assisted by D. Nejašmić.
55'
Attempt blocked. J. Monteiro (NEC Nijmegen), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.
55'
NEC Nijmegen
Corner, NEC Nijmegen.
51'
NEC Nijmegen
Corner, NEC Nijmegen.
50'
NEC Nijmegen
Corner, NEC Nijmegen.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. NEC Nijmegen 0-2 FC Groningen.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
43'
NEC Nijmegen
Corner, NEC Nijmegen.
34'
Goal! NEC Nijmegen 0-2 FC Groningen. B. Darri Willumsson (FC Groningen) scores, assisted by T. v. Bergen.
31'
NEC Nijmegen
Offside, NEC Nijmegen.
29'
FC Groningen
Corner, FC Groningen.
26'
Attempt missed. T. d. Jonge (FC Groningen), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
23'
NEC Nijmegen
Corner, NEC Nijmegen.
19'
Attempt blocked. C. Bischoff (NEC Nijmegen), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
19'
Cleared off the line! B. Linssen (NEC Nijmegen), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.08.
19'
NEC Nijmegen
Corner, NEC Nijmegen.
15'
Attempt blocked. B. Linssen (NEC Nijmegen), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.12.
14'
NEC Nijmegen
Corner, NEC Nijmegen.
11'
Goal! NEC Nijmegen 0-1 FC Groningen. B. Darri Willumsson (FC Groningen) scores, assisted by M. Rente.
10'
FC Groningen
Corner, FC Groningen.
1'
Kick-off: NEC Nijmegen vs FC Groningen.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
225255 EUR · live
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
35.9%
+35.8 vs price
Draw
1.35 · implied 74.1%
34.2%
-39.9 vs price
Home
3.85 · implied 26.0%
30.0%
+4.0 vs price
Half time
326 EUR
Home
2.62 · implied 38.2%
65.7%
+27.6 vs price
Away
3.75 · implied 26.7%
22.0%
-4.7 vs price
Draw
2.8 · implied 35.7%
12.3%
-23.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
31083 EUR · live
Over
1.2 · implied 83.3%
85.6%
+2.2 vs price
Under
6.0 · implied 16.7%
14.4%
-2.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
138 EUR
Under
1.28 · implied 78.1%
76.9%
-1.2 vs price
Over
4.8 · implied 20.8%
23.1%
+2.3 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
11'
⚽
B. Darri Willumsson · assist M. Rente0–1
34'
⚽
B. Darri Willumsson · assist T. v. Bergen0–2
42'
B. Darri Willumsson · Foul
Half-time · 0–2
46'
🔁
T. Storm ◂ P. Schuurs
56'
🔁
K. Sierhuis ◂ A. Kaplan
56'
🔁
M. Bakker ◂ D. Fonville
56'
D. v. d. Werff · Time wasting
57'
⚽
C. Bischoff · assist D. Nejašmić1–2
58'
VAR
Goal check · C. Bischoff
68'
🔁
A. Tahaui ◂ K. Kers
71'
⚽
N. Lebreton2–2
72'
🔁
W. Prins ◂ M. Csinger
73'
🔁
T. Land ◂ T. d. Jonge
73'
🔁
N. Eggens ◂ B. Darri Willumsson
77'
🔁
T. Hernes ◂ D. v. d. Werff
79'
H. Hateboer · Foul
Full-time · 2–2
Coaches
Dick SchreuderDick Lukkien 
Recent form
NEC NijmegenWAGNK Dinamo Zagreb4-2
DHFortuna Sittard2-2
DHLevski Sofia1-1
DAAFC Ajax1-1
DHGo Ahead Eagles1-1
FC GroningenLHAFC Ajax2-5
WAExcelsior5-1
WHPEC Zwolle3-0
DAGo Ahead Eagles1-1
DHFC Twente2-2
About this match
**NEC's on a mad draw streak at home — can they break the pattern against a Groningen side that swings wildly between hammerings and clinic performances?** 🎯
NEC are stuck in the draw trap (1W, 4D from their last five), though that 4-2 away win over Zagreb shows they can explode offensively when it clicks. Groningen look bipolar: battered 5-2 by Ajax then turned around and demolished Excelsior 5-1. This fixture has **drawn 18 times in 52 meetings** — so yeah, another stalemate wouldn't shock anyone.
Key storylines:
- **B. Linssen** leading the NEC attack will need space against Groningen's back line, especially with D. Fonville and P. Schuurs holding the flank defense
- Groningen's **T. d. Jonge and P. Clement** midfield pairing has to stifle NEC's creative outlets **D. Nejašmić and T. Chery** or face another home frustration
- NEC without **B. Nuytinck** (ankle) could invite more pressure down the wings
Expected lineups:
- **NEC Nijmegen**: Crettaz, Storm, Fonville, Brás, Schuurs, Nejašmić, Chery, Tadić, Thomas, Linssen, Lebreton
- **FC Groningen**: Vaessen, Prins, Blokzijl, Csinger, Schreuders, d. Jonge, Clement, Darri Willumsson, Land, v. d. Werff, v. Bergen
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — NEC's home record screams stalemate, and this fixture loves a share of the spoils 📍
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Stadion de Goffert
City
Nijmegen
Kickoff
25 Oct, 13:30 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Highlights & clips
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
FC Groningen
1
G. Crettaz
6.0
21
T. Storm
7.2
↑ 46'
5
M. Bakker
6.9
↑ 56'
14
K. Sierhuis
6.8
↑ 56'
19
A. Tahaui
6.6
↑ 68'
6
D. Nejašmić
9.0
35
J. Monteiro
7.2
99
C. Bischoff
7.7
9
T. Chery
6.4
20
N. Lebreton
7.8
30
B. Linssen
6.4
1
E. Vaessen
7.8
33
H. Hateboer
7.7
3
T. Blokzijl
6.7
5
M. Rente
6.6
2
W. Prins
6.7
↑ 72'
24
P. Clement
6.8
18
T. Land
6.8
↑ 73'
14
J. Schreuders
6.5
26
T. v. Bergen
7.3
7
T. Hernes
6.7
↑ 77'
20
N. Eggens
6.6
↑ 73'
Substitutes
12GN. Polster
36GF. Entius
22DA. Kaplan↓ 56'6.9
24DD. Fonville↓ 56'6.6
4DP. Schuurs↓ 46'6.5
73DG. Brás
66DA. Kabar
34MK. Kers↓ 68'7.1
8MI. H. Aarøen
11MW. Willumsson
18MD. Geiger
Coach: Dick Schreuder
Top stats
59%Possession41%
1.8Expected goals (xG)1.45
22Total shots9
9Shots on target3
5Big chances4
11Corners2
Shots
7Shots off target5
6Blocked shots1
16Shots inside box5
6Shots outside box4
1Big chances scored2
4Big chances missed2
-0.27Goals prevented0.64
Attack
41Touches in box20
81Final third entries54
2Offsides3
13Free kicks9
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
473Passes342
395Accurate passes262
26/60 (43%)Long balls23/61 (38%)
9/30 (30%)Crosses3/8 (38%)
23Throw-ins20
Duels
55Duels45
42/76 (55%)Ground duels34/76 (45%)
15/28 (54%)Aerial duels13/28 (46%)
6/17 (35%)Dribbles4/16 (25%)
10Dispossessed13
Defending
25Tackles21
56Tackles won57
11Interceptions12
9Clearances34
48Recoveries52
Discipline
9Fouls13
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
0Big saves1
8Goal kicks6
0Punches3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 66% · 2.90 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 67% · 2.40 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 85% · 1.62 @ William Hill
1X2Groningen to win 34% · 3.00 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.33 @ betfair
Who winsNEC to win (DNB) 61% · 1.70 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 25% · 2.85 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.73 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 2.17 @ Pinnacle
1X2NEC to win 41% · 2.50 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 54% · 1.81 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.29
NEC Nijmegen
3.90
Draw
2.75
FC Groningen
Double Chanceconsensus
1.40
NEC Nijmegen or Draw
1.23
NEC Nijmegen or FC Groningen
1.60
Draw or FC Groningen
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.35
Yes
2.98
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
15.30
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.11
Over 1.50
6.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.41
Over 2.50
2.80
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.05
Over 3.50
1.73
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.40
Over 4.50
1.30
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.63
NEC Nijmegen
2.10
FC Groningen
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
4.27
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50
2.89
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.66
Over 9.50
2.13
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.03
Over 10.50
1.71
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.68
Over 11.50
1.39
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
85% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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