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Frederik Vanderbiest
KV Mechelen
Standard Liège
KV Mechelen
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Standard Liège
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
150978 EUR · live
Away
110.0 · implied 0.9%
94.8%
+93.9 vs price
Draw
1.01 · implied 99.0%
7.3%
-91.7 vs price
Home
970.0 · implied 0.1%
2.5%
+2.4 vs price
Half time
4132 EUR · live
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
95.1%
-2.9 vs price
Draw
2.08 · implied 48.1%
4.4%
-43.6 vs price
Home
920.0 · implied 0.1%
0.4%
+0.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
12190 EUR · live
Over
1.24 · implied 80.6%
84.5%
+3.9 vs price
Under
5.4 · implied 18.5%
15.5%
-3.0 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
9'
⚽
B. Nguene · assist M. Fossey0–1
24'
⚽
A. Abid · assist C. Nielsen0–2
33'
G. Mortensen · Foul
38'
🔁
C. J. V. Meirvenne ◂ L. F. Hjelde
Half-time · 1–2
45'+4
⚽
T. Koudou · assist M. Lohunanu-Mbasi1–2
46'
🔁
B. Raman ◂ D. Salifou
62'
🔁
R. Fosso ◂ R. Touzghar
62'
🔁
H. Lawrence ◂ M. Fossey
65'
⚽
A. Abid · assist C. Nielsen1–3
70'
🔁
D. Dierckx ◂ B. Nguene
70'
🔁
T. Nkada ◂ A. Trouillet
75'
🔁
I. Struyf ◂ L. Marijnissen
80'
🔁
A. Ayodele ◂ T. Koudou
80'
🔁
B. Bafdili ◂ D. Praet
85'
VAR
Penalty check · J. Marsa
89'
🔁
T. Mohr ◂ G. Mortensen
89'
⚽
M. Van Brederode (pen)2–3
Full-time · 3–3
90'+5
R. Fosso · Foul
90'+7
VAR
Penalty check · A. Ayodele
90'+11
M. Epolo · Foul
90'+12
⚽
M. Van Brederode (pen)3–3
Coaches
Frederik VanderbiestVincent Euvrard 
Recent form
KV MechelenLAKAA Gent0-2
DAUSL Dunkerque0-0
LAWillem II Tilburg0-1
LHADO Den Haag2-3
WAKSK Heist1-0
Standard LiègeDHCercle Brugge2-2
LHFC Viktoria Köln0-3
WHRFC Seraing2-1
LHJuventus0-1
LAUSL Dunkerque0-2
Match facts
Stadium
Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne
City
Mechelen
Kickoff
16 Aug, 16:30 UTC
Competition
Pro League
Highlights & clips
KV Mechelen
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Standard Liège
13
N. Miras
6.9
39
M. Decoene
6.7
18
I. Struyf
6.9
↑ 75'
17
C. J. V. Meirvenne
7.7
↑ 38'
3
J. Marsa
6.3
14
B. Raman
7.3
↑ 46'
6
F. Hammar
6.8
11
B. Bafdili
6.8
↑ 80'
16
A. Ayodele
6.8
↑ 80'
9
M. Van Brederode
7.6
19
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi
6.5
1
M. Epolo
5.6
18
H. Lawrence
6.3
↑ 62'
20
I. Karamoko
6.5
25
I. Hautekiet
6.3
7
T. Mohr
6.6
↑ 89'
94
C. Nielsen
7.1
29
D. Dierckx
6.2
↑ 70'
80
R. Fosso
6.2
↑ 62'
59
T. Nkada
6.4
↑ 70'
10
D. Eckert Ayensa
6.6
11
A. Abid
9.2
Substitutes
1GO. De Wolf
5DL. F. Hjelde↓ 38'6.3
2DL. Marijnissen↓ 75'6.3
20DK. Corbanie
7MT. Koudou↓ 80'7.9
8MD. Salifou↓ 46'6.5
26MD. Praet↓ 80'6.4
40MA. Ouahabi
10FM. Kireev
Coach: Frederik Vanderbiest
Substitutes
21GL. Pirard
13DM. Fossey↓ 62'7.0
3DG. Mortensen↓ 89'6.5
22MA. Trouillet↓ 70'6.8
84MR. Touzghar↓ 62'6.2
19MS. Jasper
15MS. Drammeh
17FB. Nguene↓ 70'7.0
77FB. Nsimba
Coach: Vincent Euvrard
Top stats
53%Possession47%
2.75Expected goals (xG)1.64
19Total shots16
4Shots on target7
3Big chances1
5Corners2
Shots
11Shots off target7
4Blocked shots2
13Shots inside box10
6Shots outside box6
2Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored1
-0.23Goals prevented-0.72
Attack
36Touches in box30
56Final third entries65
4Offsides2
15Free kicks8
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
435Passes403
327Accurate passes287
25/62 (40%)Long balls24/64 (38%)
7/29 (24%)Crosses4/14 (29%)
24Throw-ins24
Duels
54Duels46
42/82 (51%)Ground duels40/82 (49%)
26/44 (59%)Aerial duels18/44 (41%)
11/20 (55%)Dribbles6/15 (40%)
17Dispossessed8
Defending
17Tackles26
65Tackles won62
6Interceptions8
31Clearances28
54Recoveries47
Discipline
8Fouls17
0Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
2Big saves0
8Goal kicks12
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.85 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.55 @ Interwetten
1X2Standard Liège to win 35% · 3.10 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.52 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.84 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.05 @ Novibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 1.91 @ betinasia
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 1.41 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
Who winsMechelen to win (DNB) 50% · 1.92 @ merkurxtip
1X2Mechelen to win 36% · 3.13 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.75
KV Mechelen
3.15
Draw
2.52
Standard Liège
Double Chanceconsensus
1.43
KV Mechelen or Draw ▼
1.34
KV Mechelen or Standard Liège ▲
1.46
Draw or Standard Liège ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.82
Yes
1.93
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.77
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.34
Over 1.50
3.12
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.10
Over 2.50
1.70
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.78
Over 3.50
1.24
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.84
KV Mechelen ▼
1.89
Standard Liège ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
13.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
9.47
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50 ▲
5.84
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50
3.66
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.43
Over 8.50
2.59
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.78
Over 9.50
1.92
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.20
Over 10.50 ▼
1.60
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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