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Mattia Croci-Torti
FC Lugano
FC Zürich
FC Lugano
3-4-2-1 · 4-1-4-1
FC Zürich
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
33268 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
89.2%
-9.8 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.5%
+7.4 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.3%
+3.1 vs price
Half time
337 EUR · live
Home
1.14 · implied 87.7%
56.5%
-31.3 vs price
Away
7.0 · implied 14.3%
30.6%
+16.3 vs price
Draw
7.6 · implied 13.2%
12.5%
-0.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
8668 EUR · live
Over
1.21 · implied 82.6%
78.7%
-3.9 vs price
Under
5.5 · implied 18.2%
21.3%
+3.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1241 EUR · live
Under
1.22 · implied 82.0%
68.0%
-14.0 vs price
Over
6.0 · implied 16.7%
31.9%
+15.2 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
16'
⚽
K. Behrens · assist H. Delcroix1–0
20'
S. Hodza · Foul
33'
V. Berisha · Foul
34'
⚽
K. Behrens · assist A. Grgić2–0
44'
🔁
K. Spadanuda ◂ V. Berisha
44'
🔁
J. Perea ◂ B. Krasniqi
Half-time · 2–0
45'+1
L. Comenencia · Foul
52'
⚽
R. Steffen · assist D. von Ballmoos3–0
62'
🔁
D. Dos Santos ◂ E. Pihlstrom
67'
🔁
M. Bangoura ◂ L. Schödler
67'
🔁
N. D. Giusto ◂ U. Emmanuel
70'
🔁
D. Moncada ◂ K. Behrens
70'
🔁
A. Kendouci ◂ U. Bislimi
79'
⚽
D. Dos Santos · assist M. Zanotti4–0
80'
🔁
D. Kelvin ◂ H. Delcroix
80'
🔁
M. Marques ◂ R. Steffen
89'
⚽
D. Moncada5–0
Full-time · 5–0
Coaches
Mattia Croci-TortiMarcel Koller 
Recent form
FC LuganoWHNSÍ Runavík2-0
WAGrasshopper Club Zürich4-1
WADukagjini5-1
WHFC Vaduz2-1
WHDukagjini1-0
FC ZürichWHServette FC2-1
LAFC St. Gallen 18791-2
LHSpVgg Greuther Fürth2-3
LHFC Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy1-2
LHSochaux1-2
Where to watch
Blue Sport 1
VeikkausTV
Sportklub 9 Croatia
Match facts
Stadium
Cornaredo
City
Lugano
Kickoff
09 Aug, 12:00 UTC
Competition
Super League
Highlights & clips
FC Lugano
3-4-2-1 · 4-1-4-1
FC Zürich
16
D. von Ballmoos
7.6
6
A. Papadopoulos
7.6
17
L. Mai
7.2
4
D. Kelvin
6.7
↑ 80'
46
M. Zanotti
6.9
8
A. Grgić
7.3
30
D. Moncada
7.8
↑ 70'
21
Y. Cimignani
7.7
26
M. Marques
6.7
↑ 80'
27
D. Dos Santos
7.8
↑ 62'
14
A. Kendouci
7.0
↑ 70'
13
H. Lindner
5.8
3
S. Hodza
5.7
2
L. Kamberi
6.2
27
I. Sauter
5.7
43
N. Volken
5.5
18
M. Bangoura
5.8
↑ 67'
17
K. Spadanuda
6.5
↑ 44'
8
L. Comenencia
6.6
9
J. Perea
6.6
↑ 44'
14
N. D. Giusto
6.2
↑ 67'
19
P. P. Keny
6.8
Substitutes
28GF. Gebhardt
3DH. Delcroix↓ 80'7.4
18DJ. Bichsel
25MU. Bislimi↓ 70'7.3
23MG. Ajdin
22MB. Castro
11FR. Steffen↓ 80'9.2
91FK. Behrens↓ 70'8.0
24FE. Pihlstrom↓ 62'6.9
Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti
Substitutes
60GT. Pinthus
42DA. Hack
44DS. Walker
21ML. Schödler↓ 67'6.5
7MB. Krasniqi↓ 44'6.2
23MV. Berisha↓ 44'6.2
38MM. Reichmuth
11FU. Emmanuel↓ 67'5.8
49FD. Ramic
Coach: Marcel Koller
Top stats
62%Possession38%
2.39Expected goals (xG)0.86
16Total shots9
8Shots on target1
5Big chances3
5Corners2
Shots
5Shots off target7
3Blocked shots1
8Shots inside box7
8Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed3
0.33Goals prevented-2.29
Attack
19Touches in box23
48Final third entries32
2Offsides1
14Free kicks12
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
557Passes336
499Accurate passes288
17/39 (44%)Long balls25/37 (68%)
8/19 (42%)Crosses6/15 (40%)
12Throw-ins14
Duels
59Duels41
40/65 (62%)Ground duels25/65 (38%)
8/16 (50%)Aerial duels8/16 (50%)
6/11 (55%)Dribbles6/19 (32%)
3Dispossessed7
Defending
20Tackles8
70Tackles won75
7Interceptions9
14Clearances19
41Recoveries34
Discipline
12Fouls14
0Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
8Goal kicks8
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 19 bookmakers
Who winsLugano to win (DNB) 78% · 1.18 @ Betano
1X2Lugano to win 61% · 1.50 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.73 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61% · 1.57 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.45 @ Interwetten
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.18 @ Novibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 1.68 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 22% · 4.84 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.72 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 60% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle
1X2Zürich to win 17% · 6.82 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.44
FC Lugano ▲
4.58
Draw ▲
5.92
FC Zürich ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.12
FC Lugano or Draw
1.17
FC Lugano or FC Zürich
2.64
Draw or FC Zürich ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes
2.11
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
14.41
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.16
Over 1.50
5.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.55
Over 2.50 ▲
2.39
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.33
Over 3.50
1.59
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.80
Over 4.50
1.25
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.16
FC Lugano ▼
4.70
FC Zürich ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
11.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.09
Over 6.50
6.10
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.97
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.39
Over 8.50 ▼
2.76
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.67
Over 9.50
2.07
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.08
Over 10.50
1.66
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.63
Over 11.50 ▼
1.42
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
FC Lugano to win or draw
✓
83% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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