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Sebastian Abreu
Club Tijuana
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Cruz Azul
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
139802 EUR · live
Home
1.04 · implied 96.2%
67.9%
-28.2 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
20.6%
+20.5 vs price
Draw
24.0 · implied 4.2%
11.6%
+7.4 vs price
Half time
1097 EUR · live
Away
3.35 · implied 29.9%
46.0%
+16.2 vs price
Draw
2.26 · implied 44.2%
36.7%
-7.6 vs price
Home
3.6 · implied 27.8%
17.1%
-10.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
41828 EUR · live
Over
1.36 · implied 73.5%
80.9%
+7.4 vs price
Under
3.75 · implied 26.7%
19.1%
-7.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1219 EUR · live
Under
1.09 · implied 91.7%
88.6%
-3.1 vs price
Over
11.5 · implied 8.7%
11.3%
+2.6 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
44'
⚽
I. Rivero · assist G. Mora1–0
Half-time · 1–1
45'+2
⚽
N. Ibáñez · assist L. Romero1–1
46'
🔁
J. Vega ◂ P. N. Ortíz
49'
O. Ebere · Foul
54'
⚽
G. Mora · assist J. Vega2–1
56'
A. Preciado · Foul
57'
I. Rivero · Argument
61'
A. Montes · Foul
65'
🔁
M. E. Ghezouani ◂ D. Abreu
68'
🔁
G. Fernández ◂ C. Rodríguez
68'
🔁
A. Montaño ◂ L. Romero
74'
J. Márquez · Foul
76'
🔁
R. González ◂ O. Ebere
80'
J. Paradela · Argument
81'
🔁
Y. Padilla ◂ R. Árciga
81'
🔁
F. González ◂ I. Tona
81'
🔁
Á. Zapata ◂ G. Mora
86'
🔁
J. Suárez ◂ J. Márquez
86'
🔁
A. Garcia ◂ A. Montes
Full-time · 2–1
Coaches
Sebastian AbreuJoel Huiqui 
Recent form
Club TijuanaDAAtlético San Luis0-0
WHClub León1-0
WHTigres UANL3-1
WASan Jose Earthquakes2-1
DACD Guadalajara0-0
Cruz AzulLHAtlante FC2-3
WHClub Puebla2-1
WAAtlético San Luis3-2
DAClub Atlético Morelia3-3
WAPumas UNAM2-1
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Caliente
City
Tijuana
Kickoff
17 Aug, 03:10 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
Club Tijuana
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Cruz Azul
2
A. Rodríguez
6.4
3
R. Fernández
6.7
12
J. Porozo
6.8
6
J. Gómez
6.9
16
J. Vega
7.0
↑ 46'
11
F. González
6.5
↑ 81'
20
Á. Zapata
6.6
↑ 81'
31
Y. Padilla
7.1
↑ 81'
15
I. Rivero
7.5
7
A. Preciado
6.5
9
M. E. Ghezouani
6.6
↑ 65'
23
K. Mier
6.4
17
A. Garcia
6.9
↑ 86'
66
J. Suárez
6.7
↑ 86'
5
J. Orozco
7.4
3
O. Campos
6.1
10
A. Montaño
6.6
↑ 68'
6
E. Lira
6.8
20
J. Paradela
6.1
21
G. Fernández
6.1
↑ 68'
55
R. González
6.3
↑ 76'
7
N. Ibáñez
7.4
Substitutes
29GJ. Hernández
33DP. N. Ortíz↓ 46'6.4
188DA. Magallon
10MG. Mora↓ 81'8.9
8MI. Tona↓ 81'7.1
17MR. Árciga↓ 81'6.7
34MF. Boya
26MA. Pérez
19FD. Abreu↓ 65'6.4
13FE. Manoel
Coach: Sebastian Abreu
Substitutes
1GA. Gudiño
12DA. Montes↓ 86'6.7
32DC. Jiménez
49DJ. Díaz
19MC. Rodríguez↓ 68'6.6
16MJ. Márquez↓ 86'6.3
18FL. Romero↓ 68'6.8
11FO. Ebere↓ 76'6.3
214FM. Levy
Coach: Joel Huiqui
Top stats
43%Possession57%
1.81Expected goals (xG)1.3
13Total shots15
4Shots on target6
6Big chances2
5Corners6
Shots
7Shots off target5
2Blocked shots4
9Shots inside box7
4Shots outside box8
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
5Big chances missed1
0.3Goals prevented0.0
Attack
18Touches in box28
36Final third entries67
6Offsides1
15Free kicks13
0Fouled in final third6
Passing
364Passes495
313Accurate passes404
33/56 (59%)Long balls26/51 (51%)
5/12 (42%)Crosses2/11 (18%)
14Throw-ins13
Duels
53Duels47
43/84 (51%)Ground duels41/84 (49%)
9/14 (64%)Aerial duels5/14 (36%)
9/18 (50%)Dribbles12/25 (48%)
7Dispossessed8
Defending
21Tackles16
48Tackles won69
17Interceptions2
36Clearances15
47Recoveries40
Discipline
13Fouls15
2Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
1Big saves0
9Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
Who winsCruz Azul to win (DNB) 58% · 1.70 @ forbet
1X2Cruz Azul to win 40% · 2.78 @ efbet.net
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 1.75 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.80 @ merkurxtip
1X2Draw 26% · 2.65 @ hardrock
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.32 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.67 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.44 @ Betway
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.74 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.40 @ betfair
1X2Tijuana to win 34% · 3.38 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.81
Club Tijuana ▼
3.28
Draw ▼
2.38
Cruz Azul ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.53
Club Tijuana or Draw ▼
1.30
Club Tijuana or Cruz Azul ▲
1.40
Draw or Cruz Azul ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.66
Yes ▼
2.09
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.26
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50 ▲
3.56
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.85
Over 2.50 ▼
1.88
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.08
Over 3.50 ▲
1.32
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.67
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.20
Club Tijuana ▲
1.61
Cruz Azul ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
15.00
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.02
Over 4.50
10.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
6.26
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.20
Over 6.50
4.08
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.35
Over 7.50
2.90
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.62
Over 8.50
2.13
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.04
Over 9.50
1.68
Under 9.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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