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Gwi-jae Jo
Urawa Red Diamonds
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Urawa Red Diamonds
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
45576 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
81.2%
-17.8 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
9.7%
+9.6 vs price
Draw
380.0 · implied 0.3%
9.2%
+8.9 vs price
Half time
497 EUR · live
Away
1.22 · implied 82.0%
58.7%
-23.2 vs price
Draw
2.12 · implied 47.2%
36.6%
-10.6 vs price
Home
50.0 · implied 2.0%
4.4%
+2.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
9090 EUR · live
Over
1.24 · implied 80.6%
82.4%
+1.8 vs price
Under
5.6 · implied 17.9%
17.6%
-0.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4786 EUR · live
Under
1.87 · implied 53.5%
91.9%
+38.4 vs price
Over
2.12 · implied 47.2%
8.1%
-39.1 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
16'
⚽
A. Suzuki · assist K. Hayao0–1
22'
⚽
H. Araki1–1
22'
S. Sho · Foul
25'
K. Kudo · Foul
34'
Y. Miyamoto · Foul
Half-time · 1–2
45'+2
⚽
S. Tsukasa · assist Y. Nakajima1–2
46'
🔁
H. Komori ◂ A. Onaiwu
60'
🔁
J. Hayakawa ◂ S. Sasa
60'
🔁
K. Hayashi ◂ Y. Naganuma
61'
⚽
S. Haller · assist K. Mutsuki1–3
63'
🔁
T. Kawamura ◂ S. Haller
66'
🔁
R. Hidano ◂ H. Minamino
69'
🔁
T. Matsumoto ◂ H. Shunki
70'
🔁
A. Naoto ◂ Y. Nakajima
70'
🔁
S. Kobayashi ◂ K. Mutsuki
75'
⚽
A. Suzuki · assist S. Tsukasa1–4
76'
🔁
A. Inagaki ◂ R. Watanabe
88'
🔁
Y. Taichi ◂ K. Hayao
Full-time · 1–4
Coaches
Bartosch Gaul 
Recent form
LAGamba Osaka3-4
DHRB Omiya Ardija2-2
WHFujieda MYFC2-0
LAFC Ryukyu4-5
LHFagiano Okayama0-2
WHJEF United Chiba3-0
WHVerspah Oita4-0
WANK Slaven Belupo3-1
LASK Sturm Graz1-5
WAKawasaki Frontale1-0
Match facts
Stadium
Saitama Stadium 2002
City
Saitama
Kickoff
15 Aug, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
1
S. Nishikawa
7.2
3
D. Boza
5.9
2
Y. Miyamoto
6.6
15
K. Kudo
5.7
18
K. Hayashi
6.0
↑ 60'
39
J. Hayakawa
6.3
↑ 60'
25
K. Yasui
6.8
31
A. Inagaki
6.8
↑ 76'
7
T. Kaneko
6.7
17
H. Komori
6.7
↑ 46'
36
R. Hidano
6.5
↑ 66'
99
I. Ouchi
6.6
33
S. Tsukasa
8.1
4
H. Araki
5.4
19
S. Sho
7.4
15
S. Nakano
7.4
3
Y. Taichi
6.7
↑ 88'
5
A. Naoto
6.9
↑ 70'
14
T. Matsumoto
6.5
↑ 69'
45
S. Kobayashi
6.2
↑ 70'
10
A. Suzuki
9.1
8
T. Kawamura
6.8
↑ 63'
Substitutes
23GK. Fukui
33DS. Sasa↓ 60'6.4
88DY. Naganuma↓ 60'5.8
5DK. Nemoto
13MR. Watanabe↓ 76'6.5
37MH. Ueki
8MK. Mizunuma
42FH. Minamino↓ 66'6.7
45FA. Onaiwu↓ 46'6.5
Coach: Gwi-jae Jo
Substitutes
1GK. Osako
16DS. Takaaki
35MY. Nakajima↓ 70'7.5
7MH. Shunki↓ 69'7.0
6MK. Hayao↓ 88'7.0
18MD. Suga
22FS. Haller↓ 63'7.5
11FK. Mutsuki↓ 70'6.0
23FS. Ayukawa
Coach: Bartosch Gaul
Top stats
48%Possession52%
0.45Expected goals (xG)4.99
3Total shots26
1Shots on target9
1Big chances4
1Corners11
Shots
1Shots off target7
1Blocked shots10
2Shots inside box21
1Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork2
0Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed2
Attack
10Touches in box48
46Final third entries70
4Offsides3
7Free kicks17
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
342Passes358
249Accurate passes264
28/62 (45%)Long balls31/66 (47%)
4/14 (29%)Crosses10/30 (33%)
10Throw-ins21
Duels
44Duels56
25/62 (40%)Ground duels37/62 (60%)
25/51 (49%)Aerial duels26/51 (51%)
10/15 (67%)Dribbles6/13 (46%)
10Dispossessed2
Defending
9Tackles15
67Tackles won40
9Interceptions5
32Clearances16
54Recoveries48
Discipline
17Fouls7
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
5Saves1
1Big saves1
14Goal kicks7
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
Who winsSanfrecce to win (DNB) 66% · 1.53 @ merkurxtip
1X2Sanfrecce to win 49% · 2.40 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.85 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.55 @ Interwetten
1X2Draw 27% · 2.70 @ fonbet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 1.74 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 1.93 @ efbet.net
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 1.30 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.05 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle
1X2Urawa Reds to win 24% · 3.90 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.68
Urawa Red Diamonds
3.57
Draw
1.92
Sanfrecce Hiroshima ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.75
Urawa Red Diamonds or Draw
1.27
Urawa Red Diamonds or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.26
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes ▼
2.13
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
10.79
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50 ▼
3.91
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.74
Over 2.50
2.02
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.79
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.20
Over 4.50
1.16
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.66
Urawa Red Diamonds
1.43
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
9.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.13
Over 6.50
5.05
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50
3.57
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.52
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.78
Over 9.50
1.90
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.27
Over 10.50
1.56
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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