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Bartosch Gaul
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
173554 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
71.8%
-27.2 vs price
Draw
950.0 · implied 0.1%
17.4%
+17.3 vs price
Away
670.0 · implied 0.1%
12.0%
+11.8 vs price
Half time
1410 EUR · live
Home
2.62 · implied 38.2%
52.5%
+14.3 vs price
Draw
2.2 · implied 45.5%
40.7%
-4.8 vs price
Away
6.6 · implied 15.2%
6.7%
-8.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
70019 EUR · live
Under
1.25 · implied 80.0%
78.9%
-1.1 vs price
Over
5.4 · implied 18.5%
21.1%
+2.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3905 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
84.5%
-10.7 vs price
Over
18.0 · implied 5.6%
15.4%
+9.9 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
17'
S. Inagaki · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
S. Haller ◂ T. Kawamura
71'
⚽
M. Kato1–0
73'
🔁
Y. Nakajima ◂ K. Hayao
73'
🔁
S. Ayukawa ◂ M. Kato
74'
🔁
Y. Sato ◂ Y. Nogami
74'
🔁
T. Koyamatsu ◂ R. Izumi
74'
🔁
H. Koda ◂ Y. Asano
80'
⚽
A. Suzuki · assist S. Haller2–0
82'
🔁
K. Nagai ◂ Y. Yamagishi
85'
🔁
T. Shichi ◂ H. Shunki
87'
T. Matsumoto · Foul
Full-time · 3–0
90'
🔁
S. Koshimichi ◂ A. Suzuki
90'+1
⚽
S. Haller · assist S. Ayukawa3–0
90'+5
Y. Sato · Foul
Coaches
Mihailo Petrovic 
Recent form
DAGamba Osaka0-0
WHOkinawa SV4-1
DHKawasaki Frontale1-1
WAUrawa Red Diamonds4-1
WHJEF United Chiba3-0
WHFagiano Okayama2-1
LHGainare Tottori1-3
WHGamba Osaka3-1
LAKashima Antlers1-2
LHShimizu S-Pulse0-1
Match facts
Stadium
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
City
Hiroshima
Kickoff
02 Sep, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
99
I. Ouchi
6.9
15
S. Nakano
7.2
4
H. Araki
7.1
19
S. Sasaki
7.4
5
A. Naoto
7.3
35
Y. Nakajima
6.7
↑ 73'
14
T. Matsumoto
7.1
16
T. Shichi
6.5
↑ 85'
23
S. Ayukawa
6.6
↑ 73'
22
S. Haller
8.2
↑ 46'
32
S. Koshimichi
↑ 90'
35
A. Pisano
6.5
3
Y. Sato
6.1
↑ 74'
13
H. Fujii
6.4
55
S. Tokumoto
6.2
19
H. Koda
6.7
↑ 74'
15
S. Inagaki
6.8
31
T. Takamine
6.7
27
K. Nakayama
6.3
58
T. Koyamatsu
6.3
↑ 74'
22
Y. Kimura
6.6
18
K. Nagai
6.4
↑ 82'
Substitutes
1GK. Osako
37DJ. S. Kim
6MK. Hayao↓ 73'7.2
7MH. Shunki↓ 85'7.0
8MT. Kawamura↓ 46'6.4
46MR. Noguchi
18MD. Suga
10FA. Suzuki↓ 90'7.2
11FM. Kato↓ 73'7.0
Coach: Bartosch Gaul
Substitutes
16GY. Takeda
2DY. Nogami↓ 74'6.9
9MY. Asano↓ 74'6.4
49MS. Fukaya
30MS. Sugiura
41MM. Ono
33MT. Kikuchi
11FY. Yamagishi↓ 82'6.6
7FR. Izumi↓ 74'6.3
Coach: Mihailo Petrovic
Top stats
53%Possession47%
2.22Expected goals (xG)0.58
16Total shots3
7Shots on target1
2Big chances1
2Corners1
Shots
5Shots off target1
4Blocked shots1
9Shots inside box3
7Shots outside box0
0Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed1
Attack
24Touches in box17
81Final third entries52
2Offsides3
6Free kicks11
0Fouled in final third1
Passing
532Passes472
447Accurate passes386
17/49 (35%)Long balls24/60 (40%)
3/12 (25%)Crosses5/12 (42%)
23Throw-ins12
Duels
43Duels57
22/50 (44%)Ground duels28/50 (56%)
7/18 (39%)Aerial duels11/18 (61%)
8/12 (67%)Dribbles6/11 (55%)
7Dispossessed3
Defending
8Tackles11
38Tackles won82
8Interceptions7
18Clearances20
51Recoveries52
Discipline
11Fouls6
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
2Goal kicks4
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsSanfrecce to win (DNB) 79% · 1.22 @ Betsson
1X2Sanfrecce to win 62% · 1.85 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 3.25 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.77 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.00 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.61 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 21% · 2.99 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.97 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 59% · 1.69 @ Pinnacle
1X2Nagoya to win 16% · 5.20 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.50
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4.45
Draw
5.70
Nagoya Grampus
Double Chanceconsensus
1.12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
1.17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Nagoya Grampus
2.50
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.55
Yes
2.30
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.85
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
11.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
14.40
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.15
Over 1.50
4.97
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.50
Over 2.50
2.38
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.36
Over 3.50
1.58
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.12
Over 4.50
1.20
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.20
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4.05
Nagoya Grampus
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.12
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.52
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.81
Over 9.50
1.94
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.19
Over 10.50
1.56
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.77
Over 11.50
1.35
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win or draw
✓
84% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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