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Takashi Kiyama
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
188417 EUR · live
Home
1.07 · implied 93.5%
70.9%
-22.5 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
23.2%
+23.1 vs price
Draw
14.0 · implied 7.1%
5.9%
-1.2 vs price
Half time
679 EUR · live
Home
1.06 · implied 94.3%
68.8%
-25.6 vs price
Away
14.0 · implied 7.1%
30.3%
+23.2 vs price
Draw
2.1 · implied 47.6%
0.7%
-46.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
10470 EUR · live
Under
5.9 · implied 16.9%
50.3%
+33.3 vs price
Over
1.2 · implied 83.3%
49.7%
-33.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
6286 EUR · live
Under
1.94 · implied 51.5%
79.5%
+27.9 vs price
Over
2.0 · implied 50.0%
20.5%
-29.5 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
10'
⚽
K. Kawano · assist Lucao1–0
16'
O. Alionço
21'
⚽
K. Kawano · assist O. Alionço2–0
Half-time · 2–1
45'+2
⚽
S. Haller · assist M. Kato2–1
46'
🔁
S. Ayukawa ◂ A. Naoto
50'
⚽
K. Kawano · assist H. Motoyama3–1
58'
🔁
L. Gaúcho ◂ K. Kawano
58'
🔁
T. Kawamura ◂ M. Kato
61'
O. Alionço · Foul
64'
⚽
K. Hayao · assist A. Suzuki3–2
65'
🔁
Y. Kamiya ◂ Lucao
66'
🔁
S. Na ◂ A. Esaka
66'
🔁
E. Miyamoto ◂ I. Fujita
79'
🔁
T. Matsumoto ◂ Y. Nakajima
79'
🔁
S. Koshimichi ◂ H. Araki
86'
🔁
D. Suga ◂ H. Shunki
88'
🔁
D. Tagami ◂ K. Shirai
Full-time · 3–2
90'+3
E. Miyamoto · Foul
90'+9
🔁
S. Mori ◂ L. Gaúcho
Coaches
Takashi KiyamaBartosch Gaul 
Recent form
Fagiano OkayamaWAJEF United Chiba2-1
LANagoya Grampus1-2
WHBelugarosso Iwami3-0
DHTokyo Verdy0-0
WHV-Varen Nagasaki1-0
Sanfrecce HiroshimaWHNagoya Grampus3-0
DAGamba Osaka0-0
WHOkinawa SV4-1
DHKawasaki Frontale1-1
WAUrawa Red Diamonds4-1
Where to watch
DAZN
Match facts
Stadium
JFE Harenokuni Stadium
City
Okayama
Kickoff
06 Sep, 09:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Fagiano Okayama
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
L. Moser
7.0
6
H. Omori
6.8
48
Y. Tatsuta
6.4
43
Y. Suzuki
6.4
26
H. Motoyama
7.5
41
E. Miyamoto
6.7
↑ 66'
80
O. Alionço
6.1
18
D. Tagami
6.5
↑ 88'
9
L. Gaúcho
6.4
↑ 58'
10
S. Na
6.3
↑ 66'
33
Y. Kamiya
6.7
↑ 65'
99
I. Ouchi
6.3
15
S. Nakano
6.4
32
S. Koshimichi
6.4
↑ 79'
19
S. Sasaki
7.3
23
S. Ayukawa
6.0
↑ 46'
6
K. Hayao
7.8
14
T. Matsumoto
6.8
↑ 79'
18
D. Suga
6.6
↑ 86'
8
T. Kawamura
6.6
↑ 58'
10
A. Suzuki
5.4
22
S. Haller
6.7
Substitutes
77GG. Kawanami
51MK. Shirai↓ 88'7.0
24MI. Fujita↓ 66'6.1
44MS. Mori↑ 90'
79MN. Browne
88MT. Yamane
20FK. Kawano↓ 58'9.0
8FA. Esaka↓ 66'7.0
99FLucao↓ 65'6.9
Coach: Takashi Kiyama
Substitutes
1GK. Osako
4DH. Araki↓ 79'6.8
37DJ. S. Kim
35MY. Nakajima↓ 79'7.4
7MH. Shunki↓ 86'7.1
5MA. Naoto↓ 46'6.7
48MH. Ota
46MR. Noguchi
11FM. Kato↓ 58'6.4
Coach: Bartosch Gaul
Top stats
23%Possession77%
1.59Expected goals (xG)2.27
10Total shots21
5Shots on target7
4Big chances2
2Corners8
Shots
4Shots off target12
1Blocked shots2
8Shots inside box15
2Shots outside box6
3Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed1
Attack
18Touches in box38
54Final third entries127
2Offsides4
8Free kicks14
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
240Passes789
154Accurate passes705
18/67 (27%)Long balls33/51 (65%)
3/12 (25%)Crosses9/48 (19%)
9Throw-ins25
Duels
50Duels50
27/51 (53%)Ground duels24/51 (47%)
11/25 (44%)Aerial duels14/25 (56%)
8/15 (53%)Dribbles2/7 (29%)
2Dispossessed7
Defending
12Tackles9
75Tackles won56
18Interceptions8
41Clearances12
52Recoveries49
Discipline
14Fouls8
3Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
2Big saves0
18Goal kicks5
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsSanfrecce to win (DNB) 66% · 1.44 @ 888Sport
1X2Sanfrecce to win 49% · 2.25 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.00 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.00 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.00 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.35 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.60 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.60 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.85 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.43 @ Pinnacle
1X2Okayama to win 25% · 3.78 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.75
Fagiano Okayama
3.60
Draw
1.90
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Double Chanceconsensus
1.85
Fagiano Okayama or Draw
1.24
Fagiano Okayama or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.25
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.71
Yes
2.00
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.25
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.55
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
10.90
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
3.99
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.77
Over 2.50
2.05
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.88
Over 3.50
1.39
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.49
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.75
Fagiano Okayama
1.40
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.46
Over 7.50
2.46
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.85
Over 8.50
1.93
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.29
Over 9.50
1.56
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.85
Over 10.50
1.31
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.17
Over 11.50
1.28
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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