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Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Bartosch Gaul
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga FC
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-3
Kyoto Sanga FC
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 Kyoto Sanga FC.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
85'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
82'
Goal! Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 Kyoto Sanga FC. M. Kato (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) scores, assisted by A. Suzuki.
81'
Attempt missed. A. Naoto (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
78'
Goal! Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Kyoto Sanga FC. A. Suzuki (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) scores, assisted by T. Asano.
71'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
70'
Attempt saved. A. Naoto (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.
64'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
57'
Kyoto Sanga FC
Corner, Kyoto Sanga FC.
52'
Kyoto Sanga FC
Corner, Kyoto Sanga FC.
48'
Goal! Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Kyoto Sanga FC. D. Suga (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) scores, assisted by H. Shunki.
46'
Attempt blocked. A. Suzuki (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.08.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-0 Kyoto Sanga FC.
45'
4 minutes of added time.
45'
Attempt blocked. D. Suga (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
44'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
42'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
41'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
41'
Attempt missed. K. Hayao (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
32'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
28'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
21'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
20'
Attempt missed. S. Ayukawa (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.09.
14'
Kyoto Sanga FC
Corner, Kyoto Sanga FC.
14'
Attempt blocked. T. Shichi (Kyoto Sanga FC), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.12.
6'
Kyoto Sanga FC
Corner, Kyoto Sanga FC.
2'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Offside, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
1'
Kick-off: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga FC.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
92347 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.8%
-7.2 vs price
Away
500.0 · implied 0.2%
4.5%
+4.3 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
3.7%
+2.7 vs price
Half time
698 EUR · live
Home
2.64 · implied 37.9%
79.4%
+41.5 vs price
Draw
2.0 · implied 50.0%
18.5%
-31.5 vs price
Away
8.4 · implied 11.9%
1.9%
-10.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
17123 EUR · live
Under
1.62 · implied 61.7%
57.0%
-4.7 vs price
Over
2.62 · implied 38.2%
43.0%
+4.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5599 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
92.5%
-2.8 vs price
Over
34.0 · implied 2.9%
7.5%
+4.6 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
31'
K. Sato · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
48'
⚽
D. Suga · assist H. Shunki1–0
55'
🔁
T. Matsuda ◂ T. Shichi
55'
🔁
A. Souza ◂ R. Nakano
63'
🔁
T. Matsumoto ◂ Y. Nakajima
63'
🔁
M. Kato ◂ S. Ayukawa
64'
🔁
J. S. Kim ◂ D. Suga
67'
S. Haller · Argument
72'
🔁
J. Pedro ◂ S. Yoon
72'
🔁
M. Túlio ◂ T. Kato
73'
🔁
T. Asano ◂ S. Haller
78'
⚽
A. Suzuki · assist T. Asano2–0
80'
🔁
T. Yonemoto ◂ H. Morooka
82'
⚽
M. Kato · assist A. Suzuki3–0
86'
🔁
T. Kawamura ◂ A. Suzuki
Full-time · 3–0
Coaches
Bartosch GaulRanko Popović 
Recent form
Sanfrecce HiroshimaWATokyo Verdy2-0
WHIwaki FC4-0
WAAvispa Fukuoka1-0
WHCerezo Osaka6-1
LAFagiano Okayama2-3
Kyoto Sanga FCLHMachida Zelvia0-1
WHFujieda MYFC1-0
WAFagiano Okayama2-1
LHKashiwa Reysol2-3
LAFC Tokyo0-2
About this match
**Sanfrecce Hiroshima are on an absolute tear** — four wins in their last five, and they're hosting a Kyoto side that's been shaky at best. 🔥
Hiroshima's defensive shape has been immaculate, shutting out three straight opponents. Kyoto just took a loss at home to Machida and are searching for consistency; they've dropped three of five.
Key storylines:
- **Sanfrecce's front three** — T. Asano, H. Shunki, and A. Suzuki have been prolific in the run. Expect them to test Kyoto's backline early.
- **Kyoto's midfield under pressure** — J. Pedro and R. Nakano need to control tempo or Hiroshima will dominate possession.
- **H2H edge** — Hiroshima own this fixture, winning 8 of the last 15. Home advantage only amps that up.
Expected lineups:
- **Sanfrecce Hiroshima**: I. Ouchi, S. Nakano, H. Araki, S. Sasaki, A. Naoto, T. Matsumoto, K. Hayao, Y. Nakajima, H. Shunki, A. Suzuki, T. Asano
- **Kyoto Sanga FC**: Halls, K. Sato, Y. Suzuki, K. Nagata, R. Kato, J. Pedro, R. Nakano, Maceió, S. Yoon, A. Souza, Rafael Elias
Prediction:
**Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Kyoto Sanga FC**
The home side are a different beast right now — lean Hiroshima to extend the winning streak.
Match facts
Stadium
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
City
Hiroshima
Kickoff
17 Oct, 05:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-3
Kyoto Sanga FC
1
K. Osako
7.0
15
S. Nakano
7.6
4
H. Araki
7.7
7
H. Shunki
7.4
5
A. Naoto
6.9
6
K. Hayao
7.3
14
T. Matsumoto
6.9
↑ 63'
37
J. S. Kim
6.6
↑ 64'
8
T. Kawamura
6.5
↑ 86'
11
M. Kato
7.5
↑ 63'
29
T. Asano
6.9
↑ 73'
90
Halls
5.5
40
Y. Ishida
7.0
50
Y. Suzuki
6.4
15
K. Nagata
6.1
44
K. Sato
6.4
6
J. Pedro
6.8
↑ 72'
8
T. Yonemoto
6.4
↑ 80'
17
A. Souza
6.4
↑ 55'
18
T. Matsuda
6.6
↑ 55'
11
M. Túlio
6.4
↑ 72'
77
H. Arai
6.6
Substitutes
99GI. Ouchi
35MY. Nakajima↓ 63'7.4
18MD. Suga↓ 64'7.3
45MS. Kobayashi
32MS. Koshimichi
10FA. Suzuki↓ 86'8.0
22FS. Haller↓ 73'7.2
23FS. Ayukawa↓ 63'6.4
9FK. Yengi
Coach: Bartosch Gaul
Substitutes
1GG. Ota
62DT. Shichi↓ 55'6.7
5DH. A. Tawiah
43DWeverton
24MH. Morooka↓ 80'6.9
48MR. Nakano↓ 55'6.4
25MS. Yoon↓ 72'5.9
60MR. Yamanaka
23FT. Kato↓ 72'7.2
Coach: Ranko Popović
Top stats
63%Possession37%
2.33Expected goals (xG)0.89
24Total shots7
7Shots on target2
3Big chances1
9Corners4
Shots
10Shots off target3
7Blocked shots2
13Shots inside box6
11Shots outside box1
2Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed1
Attack
37Touches in box14
60Final third entries53
1Offsides0
14Free kicks6
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
510Passes305
412Accurate passes220
21/57 (37%)Long balls24/60 (40%)
3/25 (12%)Crosses5/11 (45%)
16Throw-ins14
Duels
54Duels46
31/56 (55%)Ground duels25/56 (45%)
20/39 (51%)Aerial duels19/39 (49%)
7/14 (50%)Dribbles4/12 (33%)
8Dispossessed2
Defending
10Tackles15
80Tackles won53
6Interceptions9
8Clearances34
57Recoveries48
Discipline
6Fouls14
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
0Big saves2
3Goal kicks10
0Punches3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Sanfrecce to win 69% · 1.67 @ William Hill
Who winsSanfrecce to win (DNB) 81% · 1.13 @ Betano
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 65% · 3.25 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.67 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.36 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.67 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 18% · 3.22 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 57% · 1.73 @ 1xBet
1X2Kyoto Sanga to win 13% · 6.00 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.35
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5.12
Draw
7.46
Kyoto Sanga FC
Double Chanceconsensus
1.08
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
1.14
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Kyoto Sanga FC
3.10
Draw or Kyoto Sanga FC
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.68
Yes
2.05
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.60
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
15.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
15.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.12
Over 1.50
5.88
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.44
Over 2.50
2.60
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.15
Over 3.50
1.69
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.55
Over 4.50
1.27
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5.50
Kyoto Sanga FC
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.18
Over 7.50
3.49
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.36
Over 8.50
2.68
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.65
Over 9.50
2.11
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.05
Over 10.50
1.69
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.53
Over 11.50
1.40
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win or draw
✓
87% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
84% confidence
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to avoid defeat
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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