← All matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Takuya Takagi
V-Varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-Varen Nagasaki
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Commentary
90'
Full-time. V-Varen Nagasaki 4-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
90+7'
Goal! V-Varen Nagasaki 4-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. K. Yasuda (V-Varen Nagasaki) scores, assisted by M. Jesus.
90+5'
V-Varen Nagasaki
Offside, V-Varen Nagasaki.
90+3'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
90+2'
Attempt missed. S. Ayukawa (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.
90+1'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
90'
6 minutes of added time.
88'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
87'
Attempt missed. K. Yasuda (V-Varen Nagasaki), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.21.
73'
Attempt blocked. J. Junior (V-Varen Nagasaki), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.06.
73'
Goal! V-Varen Nagasaki 3-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. K. Yasuda (V-Varen Nagasaki) scores, assisted by M. Jesus.
64'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
51'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Offside, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
48'
Attempt blocked. K. Hayao (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
47'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
47'
Attempt blocked. A. Naoto (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.09.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
45'
Goal! V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. M. Jesus (V-Varen Nagasaki) scores, assisted by S. Takashi.
36'
Goal! V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. O. Hijiri (V-Varen Nagasaki) scores, assisted by J. Junior.
33'
Attempt missed. H. Shunki (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.
21'
Attempt missed. A. Naoto (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
20'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
20'
Attempt missed. A. Suzuki (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.13.
20'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
19'
Attempt blocked. A. Naoto (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.
19'
Attempt blocked. T. Asano (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.05.
11'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
5'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
5'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
4'
Attempt missed. A. Suzuki (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.10.
1'
Kick-off: V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
86317 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
56.8%
-42.3 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
36.9%
+36.8 vs price
Draw
240.0 · implied 0.4%
6.4%
+6.0 vs price
Half time
859 EUR
Away
1.93 · implied 51.8%
93.0%
+41.2 vs price
Home
7.6 · implied 13.2%
4.5%
-8.7 vs price
Draw
2.64 · implied 37.9%
2.5%
-35.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
35889 EUR · live
Over
1.8 · implied 55.6%
69.0%
+13.5 vs price
Under
2.28 · implied 43.9%
31.1%
-12.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
829 EUR
Under
1.17 · implied 85.5%
90.6%
+5.2 vs price
Over
7.0 · implied 14.3%
9.4%
-4.9 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
23'
🔁
Y. Egawa ◂ T. Ominami
27'
O. Hijiri · Foul
36'
⚽
O. Hijiri · assist J. Junior1–0
Half-time · 2–0
45'
⚽
M. Jesus · assist S. Takashi2–0
46'
🔁
M. Kato ◂ T. Asano
46'
🔁
J. S. Kim ◂ D. Suga
53'
🔁
K. Yasuda ◂ S. Takashi
60'
J. Junior · Foul
62'
🔁
S. Ayukawa ◂ Y. Nakajima
65'
VAR
Card check · S. Haller
66'
S. Haller · Violent conduct
71'
🔁
T. Matsumoto ◂ A. Naoto
73'
⚽
K. Yasuda · assist M. Jesus3–0
76'
🔁
T. Kawamura ◂ A. Suzuki
76'
🔁
S. Ryosuke ◂ O. Hijiri
76'
🔁
Y. Ryogo ◂ J. Junior
76'
🔁
A. Masuyama ◂ Y. Shunya
Full-time · 4–0
90'+7
⚽
K. Yasuda · assist M. Jesus4–0
Coaches
Takuya TakagiBartosch Gaul 
Recent form
V-Varen NagasakiLAKashima Antlers0-2
DAJEF United Chiba1-1
LAShimizu S-Pulse1-2
DHCerezo Osaka1-1
WHNagoya Grampus2-0
Sanfrecce HiroshimaWHKyoto Sanga FC3-0
WATokyo Verdy2-0
WHIwaki FC4-0
WAAvispa Fukuoka1-0
WHCerezo Osaka6-1
About this match
**Sanfrecce Hiroshima rolls into Peace Stadium as an absolute juggernaut** — five straight wins, no blemishes, and they've outscored opponents 12-0 in their last three. V-Varen Nagasaki are limping in the opposite direction. 🔥
Nagasaki's form is rough: one win in five, conceding two+ goals in back-to-back losses to Kashima and Shimizu. Hiroshima? They've dismantled everyone in sight, including a 4-0 demolition of Iwaki FC. The H2H is brutal too — Hiroshima haven't lost to Nagasaki in their last four meetings.
Key storylines:
- **Sanfrecce Hiroshima's defensive wall** has been immense, blanking Kyoto Sanga and Tokyo Verdy; **K. Osako** will be crucial keeping that going
- **N. Campbell and T. Santana** need to unlock something for Nagasaki upfront, but Hiroshima's backline is suffocating everyone
- Missing **K. Yengi** won't slow Hiroshima much — their depth and momentum are simply too much right now
Expected lineups:
- **V-Varen Nagasaki**: G. Masaaki, K. Takahata, S. Ryosuke, Y. Egawa, A. Ikki, Y. Hotaru, O. Hijiri, Y. Shunya, M. Hasegawa, T. Santana, N. Campbell
- **Sanfrecce Hiroshima**: K. Osako, H. Araki, S. Sasaki, S. Tsukasa, J. S. Kim, S. Nakano, H. Shunki, K. Hayao, A. Suzuki, M. Kato, S. Ayukawa
Prediction:
**0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.** Hiroshima's form is untouchable right now; expect another clinical, low-scoring masterclass. 🎯
Where to watch
DAZN
Match facts
Stadium
Peace Stadium
City
Nagasaki
Kickoff
21 Oct, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
V-Varen Nagasaki
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
G. Masaaki
7.4
6
Y. Egawa
6.9
↑ 23'
29
A. Ikki
7.4
31
K. Doi
7.5
50
S. Ryosuke
6.9
↑ 76'
5
Y. Hotaru
6.9
41
M. Hasegawa
7.0
88
A. Masuyama
6.5
↑ 76'
10
M. Jesus
9.6
7
K. Yasuda
9.3
↑ 53'
18
Y. Ryogo
6.6
↑ 76'
1
K. Osako
5.1
15
S. Nakano
6.3
4
H. Araki
6.4
7
H. Shunki
6.6
14
T. Matsumoto
↑ 71'
6
K. Hayao
7.2
23
S. Ayukawa
5.8
↑ 62'
37
J. S. Kim
6.6
↑ 46'
11
M. Kato
6.6
↑ 46'
8
T. Kawamura
6.5
↑ 76'
22
S. Haller
5.6
Substitutes
13GH. Go
25DT. Ominami↓ 23'6.6
22MO. Hijiri↓ 76'7.3
23MY. Shunya↓ 76'7.1
19MS. Takashi↓ 53'7.0
24MR. Yamada
21MD. Pituca
34MT. Matsumoto↑ 71'
99FJ. Junior↓ 76'6.9
Coach: Takuya Takagi
Substitutes
99GI. Ouchi
35MY. Nakajima↓ 62'7.0
18MD. Suga↓ 46'6.9
5MA. Naoto↓ 71'6.9
45MS. Kobayashi
32MS. Koshimichi
29FT. Asano↓ 46'6.6
10FA. Suzuki↓ 76'6.5
9FK. Yengi
Coach: Bartosch Gaul
Top stats
26%Possession74%
1.14Expected goals (xG)1.09
12Total shots18
4Shots on target2
2Big chances2
0Corners10
Shots
6Shots off target8
2Blocked shots8
10Shots inside box8
2Shots outside box10
2Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed2
Attack
20Touches in box35
39Final third entries118
2Offsides1
13Free kicks14
0Fouled in final third5
Passing
257Passes719
181Accurate passes636
20/52 (38%)Long balls28/51 (55%)
1/8 (13%)Crosses7/32 (22%)
13Throw-ins24
Duels
51Duels49
28/59 (47%)Ground duels31/59 (53%)
15/25 (60%)Aerial duels10/25 (40%)
6/16 (38%)Dribbles3/10 (30%)
4Dispossessed3
Defending
10Tackles14
80Tackles won50
12Interceptions6
32Clearances11
49Recoveries47
Discipline
14Fouls13
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves0
1Big saves0
9Goal kicks4
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsSanfrecce to win (DNB) 79% · 1.17 @ Betano
1X2Sanfrecce to win 64% · 1.80 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 3.60 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.85 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.25 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.45 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.63 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 2.00 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 20% · 2.95 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62% · 1.53 @ 1xBet
1X2Nagasaki to win 16% · 5.30 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
6.00
V-Varen Nagasaki
4.50
Draw
1.46
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Double Chanceconsensus
2.62
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
1.17
V-Varen Nagasaki or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.12
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.82
Yes
1.87
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
12.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
2.75
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
14.90
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.16
Over 1.50
4.80
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.58
Over 2.50
2.36
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.47
Over 3.50
1.52
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.55
Over 4.50
1.19
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
5.10
V-Varen Nagasaki
1.14
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.50
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.45
Over 8.50
2.50
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.77
Over 9.50
1.97
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.20
Over 10.50
1.60
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.80
Over 11.50
1.36
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win or draw
✗
84% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.