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Shimizu S-Pulse
Shimizu S-Pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-Pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-Pulse
Bartosch Gaul
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-Pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Shimizu S-Pulse
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-0 Shimizu S-Pulse.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
87'
Shimizu S-Pulse
Corner, Shimizu S-Pulse.
84'
Shimizu S-Pulse
Corner, Shimizu S-Pulse.
78'
Attempt saved. A. Naoto (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
78'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
77'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
69'
Goal! Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 Shimizu S-Pulse. A. Suzuki (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) scores, assisted by T. Matsumoto.
65'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
57'
Shimizu S-Pulse
Corner, Shimizu S-Pulse.
50'
Goal! Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse. T. Asano (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) scores, assisted by D. Suga.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse.
45+3'
Attempt missed. S. Nakano (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.
45+3'
Attempt blocked. H. Araki (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.11.
45+1'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
45'
6 minutes of added time.
44'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
41'
Goal! Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse. T. Matsumoto (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) scores, assisted by D. Suga.
34'
Cleared off the line! S. Ayukawa (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.
33'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
33'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
32'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Corner, Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
29'
Shimizu S-Pulse
Corner, Shimizu S-Pulse.
20'
Attempt saved. A. Suzuki (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.
12'
Attempt blocked. K. Kosuke (Shimizu S-Pulse), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.
1'
Kick-off: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
33994 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
93.0%
-6.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.6%
+3.5 vs price
Draw
40.0 · implied 2.5%
3.4%
+0.9 vs price
Half time
1 EUR
Home
1.91 · implied 52.4%
89.4%
+37.1 vs price
Away
7.4 · implied 13.5%
84.3%
+70.8 vs price
Draw
2.88 · implied 34.7%
11.4%
-23.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
9467 EUR · live
Over
1.6 · implied 62.5%
63.5%
+1.0 vs price
Under
2.74 · implied 36.5%
36.6%
+0.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
542 EUR
Under
1.18 · implied 84.7%
89.9%
+5.1 vs price
Over
6.4 · implied 15.6%
14.6%
-1.0 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
17'
🔁
K. Hayao ◂ T. Kawamura
27'
🔁
K. Koizumi ◂ M. Yumiba
41'
⚽
T. Matsumoto · assist D. Suga1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
T. Fujii ◂ Capixaba
46'
🔁
T. Asano ◂ M. Kato
49'
🔁
K. Kozuka ◂ T. Hirato
49'
🔁
O. Se-Hun ◂ K. Kosuke
50'
⚽
T. Asano · assist D. Suga2–0
62'
R. Germain · Foul
69'
⚽
A. Suzuki · assist T. Matsumoto3–0
70'
🔁
H. Shunki ◂ D. Suga
70'
🔁
K. Yengi ◂ A. Suzuki
75'
⚽
S. Hasukawa4–0
82'
🔁
S. Kobayashi ◂ S. Ayukawa
87'
🔁
R. Ohata ◂ Y. Shimamoto
Full-time · 4–0
90'+3
H. Araki · Foul
Coaches
Bartosch GaulTakayuki Yoshida 
Recent form
Sanfrecce HiroshimaLAV-Varen Nagasaki0-4
WHKyoto Sanga FC3-0
WATokyo Verdy2-0
WHIwaki FC4-0
WAAvispa Fukuoka1-0
Shimizu S-PulseLHMachida Zelvia0-5
DHGamba Osaka2-2
WAMito Hollyhock2-1
WHV-Varen Nagasaki2-1
WHJEF United Chiba2-1
About this match
**Sanfrecce Hiroshima rolling hot, and Shimizu S-Pulse is the weekend test.** Hiroshima's 5-0 unbeaten streak (all wins) has them looking untouchable; Shimizu's draw with Gamba last time out shows cracks forming.
Hiroshima's defense is locked in—three consecutive shutouts heading into this. **Shimizu** can still score (2+ goals in each of their last four), but stopping this Hiroshima attack is the real puzzle 🔥
Key storylines:
- **Hiroshima's clean-sheet run vs Shimizu's attacking threat** — can the visitors find space against a rested, confident backline?
- **T. Asano and A. Suzuki leading the charge** — Hiroshima's forward pair has been clinical; Shimizu's M. Brunetti and defense will feel the heat
- **H2H edge matters** — Sanfrecce holds 15 wins to Shimizu's 7 across 31 meetings, a serious comfort blanket at home
Expected lineups:
- **Sanfrecce Hiroshima**: K. Osako, S. Nakano, H. Araki, A. Naoto, T. Matsumoto, Y. Nakajima, T. Asano, A. Suzuki
- **Shimizu S-Pulse**: T. Umeda, Y. Yoshida, Y. Honda, M. Brunetti, H. Sugai, R. Germain, K. Matsuzaki, Capixaba
Prediction:
**Hiroshima 2-1 Shimizu** — Sanfrecce's rhythm is too much to derail, but Shimizu won't roll over. Slight favorite to Hiroshima.
Match facts
Stadium
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
City
Hiroshima
Kickoff
24 Oct, 05:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Shimizu S-Pulse
1
K. Osako
7.3
15
S. Nakano
7.2
4
H. Araki
7.6
37
J. S. Kim
7.1
5
A. Naoto
6.9
14
T. Matsumoto
9.5
6
K. Hayao
7.4
↑ 17'
7
H. Shunki
6.4
↑ 70'
29
T. Asano
8.4
↑ 46'
9
K. Yengi
6.0
↑ 70'
45
S. Kobayashi
6.8
↑ 82'
16
T. Umeda
5.8
24
H. Sugai
6.6
14
S. Park
6.0
4
S. Hasukawa
5.8
25
M. Brunetti
7.3
97
R. Ohata
6.6
↑ 87'
37
K. Koizumi
6.7
↑ 27'
13
R. Germain
5.6
81
K. Kozuka
6.8
↑ 49'
50
T. Fujii
6.4
↑ 46'
9
O. Se-Hun
6.5
↑ 49'
Substitutes
99GI. Ouchi
18MD. Suga↓ 70'7.4
8MT. Kawamura↓ 17'6.7
35MY. Nakajima
46MR. Noguchi
32MS. Koshimichi
10FA. Suzuki↓ 70'7.9
23FS. Ayukawa↓ 82'7.2
11FM. Kato↓ 46'6.3
Coach: Bartosch Gaul
Substitutes
1GY. Oki
39DH. Hidaka
28DY. Yoshida
17MM. Yumiba↓ 27'6.6
47MY. Shimamoto↓ 87'6.6
7MCapixaba↓ 46'6.3
18MT. Hirato↓ 49'6.1
41MK. Suzuki
19FK. Kosuke↓ 49'7.1
Coach: Takayuki Yoshida
Top stats
59%Possession41%
1.91Expected goals (xG)0.7
16Total shots10
7Shots on target2
1Big chances2
7Corners4
Shots
5Shots off target5
4Blocked shots3
13Shots inside box5
3Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed2
Attack
40Touches in box23
57Final third entries60
12Free kicks16
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
515Passes356
414Accurate passes270
19/53 (36%)Long balls33/69 (48%)
6/19 (32%)Crosses6/16 (38%)
18Throw-ins23
Duels
54Duels46
38/72 (53%)Ground duels34/72 (47%)
23/40 (57%)Aerial duels17/40 (43%)
7/15 (47%)Dribbles4/17 (24%)
7Dispossessed10
Defending
23Tackles15
57Tackles won53
14Interceptions11
22Clearances38
52Recoveries49
Discipline
16Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
0Big saves1
7Goal kicks7
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsSanfrecce to win (DNB) 85% · 1.14 @ 888Sport
1X2Sanfrecce to win 67% · 1.75 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 3.75 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.85 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.41 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.67 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 2.09 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 20% · 2.99 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle
1X2Shimizu to win 13% · 5.85 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.40
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4.80
Draw
7.00
Shimizu S-Pulse
Double Chanceconsensus
1.10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
1.17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Shimizu S-Pulse
2.84
Draw or Shimizu S-Pulse
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.78
Yes
1.95
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
13.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
12.30
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.17
Over 1.50
4.80
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.57
Over 2.50
2.34
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.47
Over 3.50
1.53
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.47
Over 4.50
1.19
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.14
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5.25
Shimizu S-Pulse
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.70
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.41
Over 8.50
2.65
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.70
Over 9.50
2.06
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.12
Over 10.50
1.65
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.65
Over 11.50
1.40
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win or draw
✓
87% confidence
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to avoid defeat
✓
85% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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