Serbia 1-2 Netherlands: Stats, xG & Lineups – Sep 27, 2026

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UEFA Nations League ·Sun 27 Sep

Serbia

1–2

HT 0–1

Full time

Netherlands

Stadium Rajko Mitić, Belgrade · Ref: Szymon Marciniak

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Serbia 1-2 Netherlands.

90+2'

L. Jović

Attempt missed. L. Jović (Serbia), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

90+2'

C. Summerville

Attempt saved. C. Summerville (Netherlands), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

90+1'

Serbia

Corner, Serbia.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

90'

R. van Bommel

Attempt saved. R. van Bommel (Netherlands), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.33.

89'

F. Kostić

Attempt saved. F. Kostić (Serbia), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

89'

L. Jović

Attempt saved. L. Jović (Serbia), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

89'

Serbia

Corner, Serbia.

85'

J. Timber

Yellow card for J. Timber (Netherlands).

84'

Serbia

Offside, Serbia.

82'

J. Veerman

Attempt blocked. J. Veerman (Netherlands), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

81'

Serbia

Offside, Serbia.

80'

M. Meerdink

Substitution, Netherlands: Q. Timber comes on for M. Meerdink.

80'

D. Dumfries

Substitution, Netherlands: J. Timber comes on for D. Dumfries.

80'

Netherlands

Offside, Netherlands.

78'

L. Jović

Attempt missed. L. Jović (Serbia), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

77'

Serbia

Corner, Serbia.

77'

L. Jović

Attempt blocked. L. Jović (Serbia), header. xG 0.04.

76'

G. Til

Attempt blocked. G. Til (Netherlands), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

76'

Netherlands

Corner, Netherlands.

72'

K. Taylor

Attempt missed. K. Taylor (Netherlands), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

71'

S. Pavlović

Substitution, Serbia: F. Kostić comes on for S. Pavlović.

69'

M. Meerdink

Goal! Serbia 1-2 Netherlands. M. Meerdink (Netherlands) scores, assisted by G. Til.

68'

C. Summerville

Attempt blocked. C. Summerville (Netherlands), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

67'

T. Reijnders

Substitution, Netherlands: K. Taylor comes on for T. Reijnders.

67'

R. Gravenberch

Substitution, Netherlands: G. Til comes on for R. Gravenberch.

65'

R. Gravenberch

Attempt saved. R. Gravenberch (Netherlands), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

64'

T. Reijnders

Attempt missed. T. Reijnders (Netherlands), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

62'

M. Meerdink

Attempt blocked. M. Meerdink (Netherlands), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

59'

T. Reijnders

Attempt missed. T. Reijnders (Netherlands), right-footed shot. xG 0.25.

59'

A. Stanković

Substitution, Serbia: N. Maksimović comes on for A. Stanković.

59'

K. Nedeljković

Substitution, Serbia: S. Eraković comes on for K. Nedeljković.

56'

R. van Bommel

Attempt blocked. R. van Bommel (Netherlands), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

56'

T. Reijnders

Attempt blocked. T. Reijnders (Netherlands), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

53'

R. van Bommel

Off the woodwork! R. van Bommel (Netherlands), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

51'

T. Reijnders

Attempt blocked. T. Reijnders (Netherlands), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

46'

L. Jović

Goal! Serbia 1-1 Netherlands. L. Jović (Serbia) scores, assisted by S. Lukić.

46'

L. Jović

Attempt saved. L. Jović (Serbia), left-footed shot. xG 0.36.

46'

A. Živković

Attempt saved. A. Živković (Serbia), right-footed shot. xG 0.21.

46'

S. Lukić

Attempt missed. S. Lukić (Serbia), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

46'

S. Milinković-Savić

Substitution, Serbia: D. Tadić comes on for S. Milinković-Savić.

46'

D. Joveljić

Substitution, Serbia: L. Jović comes on for D. Joveljić.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Serbia 0-1 Netherlands.

45'

1 minute of added time.

38'

D. Dumfries

Attempt saved. D. Dumfries (Netherlands), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

38'

J. P. van Hecke

Attempt missed. J. P. van Hecke (Netherlands), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

38'

Netherlands

Corner, Netherlands.

35'

Netherlands

Corner, Netherlands.

35'

T. Reijnders

Attempt blocked. T. Reijnders (Netherlands), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.08.

31'

Serbia

Offside, Serbia.

30'

M. Meerdink

Goal! Serbia 0-1 Netherlands. M. Meerdink (Netherlands) converts the penalty.

26'

R. Gravenberch

Attempt missed. R. Gravenberch (Netherlands), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

21'

R. van Bommel

Attempt blocked. R. van Bommel (Netherlands), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

20'

Netherlands

Corner, Netherlands.

20'

Serbia

Offside, Serbia.

20'

T. Reijnders

Attempt saved. T. Reijnders (Netherlands), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

18'

M. Meerdink

Attempt saved. M. Meerdink (Netherlands), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

17'

D. Joveljić

Attempt saved. D. Joveljić (Serbia), right-footed shot. xG 0.25.

17'

C. Gakpo

Substitution, Netherlands: R. van Bommel comes on for C. Gakpo.

15'

M. Meerdink

Attempt missed. M. Meerdink (Netherlands), header. xG 0.16.

12'

S. Lukić

Yellow card for S. Lukić (Serbia) for foul.

S. Milinković-Savić

Attempt missed. S. Milinković-Savić (Serbia), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

C. Gakpo

Attempt blocked. C. Gakpo (Netherlands), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

Kick-off: Serbia vs Netherlands.

Where the money is

4306050 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 2 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 3126508 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

93.5%

-5.5 vs price

Draw 130.0 · implied 0.8%

4.0%

+3.2 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

2.6%

+2.5 vs price

Half time 17015 EUR · live

Away 2.92 · implied 34.2%

57.2%

+23.0 vs price

Home 8.4 · implied 11.9%

21.5%

+9.5 vs price

Draw 1.88 · implied 53.2%

21.3%

-31.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 318470 EUR · live

Over 1.52 · implied 65.8%

51.5%

-14.3 vs price

Under 2.94 · implied 34.0%

48.5%

+14.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 8229 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

92.9%

-5.2 vs price

Over 38.0 · implied 2.6%

7.1%

+4.5 vs price

17 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 7 clips

Player of the match

Match events

12' S. Lukić · Foul

17' 🔁 R. van Bommel ◂ C. Gakpo

30' ⚽ M. Meerdink (pen)0–1

Half-time · 0–1

46' ⚽ L. Jović · assist S. Lukić1–1

46' 🔁 L. Jović ◂ D. Joveljić

46' 🔁 D. Tadić ◂ S. Milinković-Savić

59' 🔁 S. Eraković ◂ K. Nedeljković

59' 🔁 N. Maksimović ◂ A. Stanković

67' 🔁 G. Til ◂ R. Gravenberch

67' 🔁 K. Taylor ◂ T. Reijnders

69' ⚽ M. Meerdink · assist G. Til1–2

71' 🔁 F. Kostić ◂ S. Pavlović

80' 🔁 J. Timber ◂ D. Dumfries

80' 🔁 Q. Timber ◂ M. Meerdink

85' J. Timber

Full-time · 1–2

Coaches

Veljko Paunović

Xavi

Recent form

Serbia

LHGreece1-2

LAMexico1-5

LACabo Verde0-3

WHSaudi Arabia2-1

LASpain0-3

Netherlands

DHGermany1-1

DHMorocco1-1

WATunisia3-1

WHSweden5-1

DHJapan2-2

About this match

**Serbia's meltdown tour meets the Dutch steadiness machine** — one team's crisis mode, one team's grinding consistency. Expect a **heavy-handed home crowd** to make this messier than the scoreline suggests. 🔥

Serbia's bleeding out: four losses in five, conceding 12 goals in the process. Netherlands? Unbeaten in five and tighter at the back, though draws against Germany and Morocco hint they're not unstoppable either.

Key storylines:

- **A. Mitrović** carries Serbia's attacking hopes despite the defensive chaos around him — clinical finishing needed.
- **V. van Dijk** anchors the Dutch backline against a desperate Serbian attack that has plenty of pride but no rhythm.
- Serbia's home fury vs. Netherlands' cool professionalism — Belgrade's intensity could rattle, or just tire the hosts faster.

Expected lineups:

- **Serbia**: Đ. Petrović, A. Terzić, S. Pavlović, N. Milenković, A. Mitrović, L. Samardžić, S. Mitrović
- **Netherlands**: B. Verbruggen, V. van Dijk, J. P. van Hecke, L. Geertruida, T. Reijnders, C. Gakpo, M. Depay

Prediction:

**Netherlands 2–1 Serbia.** The Dutch have the structure and discipline to weather a hostile atmosphere; Serbia has desperation but not the defensive stability to hold it together.

Where to watch

A Spor

Match facts

Stadium

Stadium Rajko Mitić

City

Belgrade

Referee

Szymon Marciniak

3.91 yellows/match · 75 matches

Kickoff

27 Sep, 16:00 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Top stats

33%Possession67%

1.32Expected goals (xG)2.74

11Total shots25

6Shots on target8

4Big chances6

3Corners4

Shots

4Shots off target7

1Blocked shots10

10Shots inside box15

1Shots outside box10

0Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored2

3Big chances missed4

0.98Goals prevented0.64

Attack

15Touches in box40

40Final third entries75

4Offsides2

10Free kicks6

0Fouled in final third2

Passing

303Passes634

234Accurate passes572

17/40 (43%)Long balls17/33 (52%)

4/11 (36%)Crosses6/17 (35%)

26Throw-ins19

Duels

43Duels57

26/55 (47%)Ground duels29/55 (53%)

10/29 (34%)Aerial duels19/29 (66%)

0/5 (0%)Dribbles9/17 (53%)

9Dispossessed9

Defending

17Tackles14

65Tackles won57

9Interceptions7

19Clearances29

41Recoveries41

Discipline

7Fouls10

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

6Saves5

1Big saves0

8Goal kicks4

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 36 bookmakers

Serbia 14%

20%

Netherlands 67%

1X2Netherlands to win 67% · 2.07 @ marathonbet

Who winsNetherlands to win (DNB) 72% · 1.33 @ granmadrid

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 4.50 @ marathonbet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.83 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69% · 1.29 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.40 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.91 @ betfair

1X2Draw 20% · 3.02 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62% · 1.02 @ granmadrid

1X2Serbia to win 14% · 6.00 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

4.20

Serbia ▼

3.66

Draw ▼

1.68

Netherlands

Double Chanceconsensus

2.06

Serbia or Draw

1.25

Serbia or Netherlands

1.21

Draw or Netherlands

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.79

Yes

1.91

Home Win to Nilconsensus

13.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

2.40

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

17.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.26

Over 1.50

3.53

Under 1.50 ▲

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.85

Over 2.50

1.92

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.08

Over 3.50 ▲

1.33

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.20

Over 4.50

1.21

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

3.40

Serbia

1.29

Netherlands

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.50

Over 7.50

2.41

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.91

Over 8.50

1.91

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.38

Over 9.50

1.50

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

3.29

Over 10.50

1.27

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

4.62

Over 11.50

1.13

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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