Switzerland 2-1 Slovenia: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 3, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Switzerland 2-1 Slovenia.

90+1'

Slovenia

Offside, Slovenia.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

90'

Ž. Celar

Attempt saved. Ž. Celar (Slovenia), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

89'

D. Šturm

Substitution, Slovenia: T. Horvat comes on for D. Šturm.

87'

Z. Athekame

Substitution, Switzerland: A. Bajrami comes on for Z. Athekame.

87'

D. Ndoye

Substitution, Switzerland: F. Rieder comes on for D. Ndoye.

86'

Slovenia

Corner, Slovenia.

79'

E. Janža

Yellow card for E. Janža (Slovenia) for foul.

78'

D. Šturm

Attempt blocked. D. Šturm (Slovenia), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

78'

Ž. Vipotnik

Substitution, Slovenia: Ž. Celar comes on for Ž. Vipotnik.

78'

Slovenia

Corner, Slovenia.

77'

Z. Amdouni

Substitution, Switzerland: W. Boteli Mokango comes on for Z. Amdouni.

76'

Switzerland

Corner, Switzerland.

72'

M. Akanji

Attempt blocked. M. Akanji (Switzerland), header from a set piece. xG 0.04.

71'

Ž. Vipotnik

Attempt missed. Ž. Vipotnik (Slovenia), header. xG 0.03.

68'

Z. Amdouni

Attempt saved. Z. Amdouni (Switzerland), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

67'

R. Rodríguez

Substitution, Switzerland: S. Britschgi comes on for R. Rodríguez.

67'

M. Aebischer

Substitution, Switzerland: D. Sow comes on for M. Aebischer.

65'

D. Ndoye

Attempt blocked. D. Ndoye (Switzerland), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

64'

A. Matko

Substitution, Slovenia: T. Begić comes on for A. Matko.

64'

S. Lovrić

Substitution, Slovenia: A. G. Čerin comes on for S. Lovrić.

61'

J. Manzambi

Attempt saved. J. Manzambi (Switzerland), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

60'

J. Manzambi

Attempt saved. J. Manzambi (Switzerland), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

60'

D. Ndoye

Attempt missed. D. Ndoye (Switzerland), right-footed shot. xG 0.28.

58'

J. Bijol

Yellow card for J. Bijol (Slovenia) for foul.

50'

R. Freuler

Attempt blocked. R. Freuler (Switzerland), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.11.

50'

Switzerland

Corner, Switzerland.

46'

D. Šturm

Attempt blocked. D. Šturm (Slovenia), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

46'

V. Drkušić

Substitution, Slovenia: D. Brekalo comes on for V. Drkušić.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Switzerland 2-1 Slovenia.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

44'

A. Matko

Attempt missed. A. Matko (Slovenia), header. xG 0.07.

43'

A. Jashari

Attempt saved. A. Jashari (Switzerland), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

41'

E. Janža

Attempt missed. E. Janža (Slovenia), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

40'

M. Aebischer

Yellow card for M. Aebischer (Switzerland) for foul.

38'

D. Ndoye

Goal! Switzerland 2-1 Slovenia. D. Ndoye (Switzerland) scores.

29'

V. Drkušić

Yellow card for V. Drkušić (Slovenia) for foul.

28'

D. Zec

Yellow card for D. Zec (Slovenia) for foul.

23'

Ž. Vipotnik

Yellow card for Ž. Vipotnik (Slovenia) for foul.

22'

Switzerland

Corner, Switzerland.

21'

Switzerland

Offside, Switzerland.

17'

M. Zabukovnik

Attempt missed. M. Zabukovnik (Slovenia), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

17'

A. Matko

Attempt blocked. A. Matko (Slovenia), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

16'

Slovenia

Corner, Slovenia.

16'

Switzerland

Offside, Switzerland.

12'

Switzerland

Offside, Switzerland.

10'

M. Akanji

Attempt missed. M. Akanji (Switzerland), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

10'

R. Freuler

Attempt blocked. R. Freuler (Switzerland), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

10'

E. Janža

Goal! Switzerland 1-1 Slovenia. Own goal by E. Janža.

9'

Switzerland

Corner, Switzerland.

5'

M. Aebischer

Attempt blocked. M. Aebischer (Switzerland), header. xG 0.14.

5'

D. Šturm

Attempt saved. D. Šturm (Slovenia), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

2'

J. Manzambi

Attempt saved. J. Manzambi (Switzerland), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

2'

Ž. Vipotnik

Goal! Switzerland 0-1 Slovenia. Ž. Vipotnik (Slovenia) scores, assisted by A. Matko.

1'

Switzerland

Corner, Switzerland.

1'

Kick-off: Switzerland vs Slovenia.

Where the money is

2992352 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 3 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 2155598 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

93.8%

-5.2 vs price

Draw 90.0 · implied 1.1%

4.6%

+3.5 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

1.6%

+1.5 vs price

Half time 16997 EUR · live

Home 1.1 · implied 90.9%

82.3%

-8.6 vs price

Away 21.0 · implied 4.8%

9.2%

+4.4 vs price

Draw 12.0 · implied 8.3%

8.6%

+0.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 84905 EUR · live

Over 1.18 · implied 84.7%

69.4%

-15.3 vs price

Under 6.2 · implied 16.1%

30.6%

+14.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 38072 EUR · live

Under 1.42 · implied 70.4%

69.9%

-0.5 vs price

Over 3.4 · implied 29.4%

30.1%

+0.6 vs price

18 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

2' ⚽ Ž. Vipotnik · assist A. Matko0–1

10' ⚽ E. Janža1–1

23' Ž. Vipotnik · Foul

28' D. Zec · Foul

29' V. Drkušić · Foul

38' ⚽ D. Ndoye2–1

40' M. Aebischer · Foul

Half-time · 2–1

46' 🔁 D. Brekalo ◂ V. Drkušić

58' J. Bijol · Foul

64' 🔁 A. G. Čerin ◂ S. Lovrić

64' 🔁 T. Begić ◂ A. Matko

67' 🔁 D. Sow ◂ M. Aebischer

67' 🔁 S. Britschgi ◂ R. Rodríguez

77' 🔁 W. Boteli Mokango ◂ Z. Amdouni

78' 🔁 Ž. Celar ◂ Ž. Vipotnik

79' E. Janža · Foul

87' 🔁 F. Rieder ◂ D. Ndoye

87' 🔁 A. Bajrami ◂ Z. Athekame

89' 🔁 T. Horvat ◂ D. Šturm

Full-time · 2–1

Coaches

Murat Yakin

Bostjan Cesar

Recent form

Switzerland

WAScotland3-0

WANorth Macedonia3-0

LAArgentina1-3

DHColombia0-0

WHAlgeria2-0

Slovenia

WHNorth Macedonia2-0

DHScotland0-0

LACroatia1-2

DHCyprus1-1

WAMontenegro3-2

About this match

**Switzerland's in clinic mode, and Slovenia just walked into the wrong home.** The hosts are absolutely rolling — three wins in their last five, including back-to-back 3-0 demolitions. Slovenia's got defensive steel (**J. Oblaj** and **J. Bijol** have held firm), but this is a mismatch on paper. 🔥

Switzerland's offense is clicking, while Slovenia sits on a mixed run (2W-2D-1L). Head-to-head tells the story: Swiss are 3-0 in the last four meetings. That said, Slovenia's got discipline and won't roll over — but without **B. Šeško**, their bite is blunted.

Key storylines:

- **B. Embolo** leading the Swiss attack against a backline that's solid but stretched
- **J. Oblaj** will need every bit of his reflexes; Switzerland's creating chances for fun
- Slovenia's missing **B. Šeško** upfront — that's a huge creativity loss they can't ignore

Expected lineups:

- **Switzerland**: G. Kobel, R. Rodríguez, M. Akanji, N. Elvedi, E. Cömert, R. Freuler, G. Xhaka, D. Ndoye, F. Rieder, C. Fassnacht, B. Embolo
- **Slovenia**: J. Oblaj, V. Drkušić, J. Bijol, D. Brekalo, E. Janža, Ž. Karničnik, D. Šturm, A. G. Čerin, T. M. Elšnik, S. Lovrić, Ž. Vipotnik

Prediction:

**Switzerland 2–0 Slovenia.** Swiss lean heavy at home with momentum; Slovenia's defensive and missing their main outlet.

Where to watch

SuperSport 3 Albania

Match facts

Stadium

Swissporarena

City

Lucerne

Referee

Ivan Kružliak

4.17 yellows/match · 24 matches

Kickoff

03 Oct, 18:45 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Highlights & clips

Switzerland 4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1 Slovenia

1 G. Kobel 6.0 3 A. Bajrami ↑ 87' 4 N. Elvedi 7.4 5 M. Akanji 7.5 2 S. Britschgi 6.7 ↑ 67' 8 R. Freuler 7.0 14 A. Jashari 6.8 15 D. Sow 6.8 ↑ 67' 9 J. Manzambi 7.3 22 F. Rieder ↑ 87' 19 W. Boteli Mokango 6.5 ↑ 77' 1 J. Oblak 6.8 2 Ž. Karničnik 6.0 23 D. Brekalo 7.4 ↑ 46' 6 J. Bijol 7.0 17 D. Zec 6.4 13 E. Janža 5.8 22 A. G. Čerin 6.5 ↑ 64' 4 M. Zabukovnik 6.9 9 T. Begić 6.5 ↑ 64' 19 T. Horvat ↑ 89' 11 Ž. Celar 6.3 ↑ 78'

Top stats

67%Possession33%

1.05Expected goals (xG)0.42

13Total shots10

6Shots on target3

3Big chances0

4Corners3

Shots

2Shots off target4

5Blocked shots3

10Shots inside box7

3Shots outside box3

1Big chances scored0

2Big chances missed0

-0.11Goals prevented-1.13

Attack

33Touches in box12

94Final third entries24

3Offsides2

15Free kicks8

8Fouled in final third1

Passing

583Passes289

516Accurate passes216

30/48 (63%)Long balls17/46 (37%)

5/20 (25%)Crosses4/7 (57%)

19Throw-ins21

Duels

54Duels46

33/62 (53%)Ground duels29/62 (47%)

10/18 (56%)Aerial duels8/18 (44%)

6/20 (30%)Dribbles1/8 (13%)

7Dispossessed5

Defending

12Tackles21

67Tackles won57

6Interceptions7

6Clearances29

44Recoveries44

Discipline

8Fouls15

1Yellow cards5

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves6

9Goal kicks4

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Switzerland 73%

18%

Slovenia 9%

1X2Switzerland to win 73% · 1.73 @ William Hill

Who winsSwitzerland to win (DNB) 74% · 1.10 @ Unibet

BTTSBTTS: No 61% · 1.18 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.40 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.70 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.34 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.75 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.16 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.87 @ betfair

1X2Draw 18% · 2.85 @ 1xBet

1X2Slovenia to win 9% · 8.50 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.33

Switzerland

5.00

Draw

9.60

Slovenia

Double Chanceconsensus

1.06

Switzerland or Draw

1.14

Switzerland or Slovenia

3.30

Draw or Slovenia

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.30

Yes

1.55

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

1.91

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

15.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

11.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.25

Over 1.50

3.68

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.90

Over 2.50

1.92

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.25

Over 3.50

1.30

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.58

Over 4.50

1.08

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.09

Switzerland

7.00

Slovenia

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.46

Over 7.50

2.68

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.78

Over 8.50

2.04

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.25

Over 9.50

1.65

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

3.10

Over 10.50

1.31

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

4.33

Over 11.50

1.16

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Switzerland to win or draw

✓

91% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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