Germany 2-0 Serbia: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 1, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Germany 2-0 Serbia.

90'

2 minutes of added time.

90'

B. Conté

Attempt blocked. B. Conté (Germany), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

88'

S. El Mala

Attempt missed. S. El Mala (Germany), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.

88'

A. Pavlović

Substitution, Germany: V. Janelt comes on for A. Pavlović.

88'

N. Maksimović

Substitution, Serbia: V. Kostov comes on for N. Maksimović.

87'

M. Mittelstädt

Attempt missed. M. Mittelstädt (Germany), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

85'

B. Conté

Attempt saved. B. Conté (Germany), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.18.

81'

S. El Mala

Attempt missed. S. El Mala (Germany), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

81'

M. Thiaw

Attempt saved. M. Thiaw (Germany), header from a corner. xG 0.23.

80'

Germany

Corner, Germany.

79'

V. Paunović

Yellow card for V. Paunović (Serbia) for argument.

79'

N. Maksimović

Yellow card for N. Maksimović (Serbia) for foul.

78'

F. Kostić

Attempt saved. F. Kostić (Serbia), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

77'

Serbia

Corner, Serbia.

77'

D. Scherhant

Substitution, Germany: B. Conté comes on for D. Scherhant.

77'

N. Woltemade

Substitution, Germany: J. Burkardt comes on for N. Woltemade.

77'

T. Bischof

Substitution, Germany: M. Baur comes on for T. Bischof.

73'

N. Gudelj

Yellow card for N. Gudelj (Serbia) for foul.

68'

Serbia

Offside, Serbia.

68'

Serbia

Offside, Serbia.

67'

S. Eraković

Substitution, Serbia: S. Pavlović comes on for S. Eraković.

67'

S. Džodić

Substitution, Serbia: M. Cvetković comes on for S. Džodić.

67'

D. Tadić

Substitution, Serbia: S. Lukić comes on for D. Tadić.

66'

A. Živković

Substitution, Serbia: L. Samardžić comes on for A. Živković.

65'

T. Bischof

Attempt missed. T. Bischof (Germany), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

64'

D. Scherhant

Attempt missed. D. Scherhant (Germany), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

63'

D. Scherhant

Attempt blocked. D. Scherhant (Germany), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

61'

F. Wirtz

Goal! Germany 2-0 Serbia. F. Wirtz (Germany) scores, assisted by M. Mittelstädt.

59'

N. Woltemade

Attempt missed. N. Woltemade (Germany), right-footed shot. xG 0.44.

58'

S. El Mala

Attempt blocked. S. El Mala (Germany), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

58'

D. Scherhant

Attempt missed. D. Scherhant (Germany), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

57'

S. El Mala

Attempt blocked. S. El Mala (Germany), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

57'

M. Thiaw

Attempt blocked. M. Thiaw (Germany), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

57'

Germany

Corner, Germany.

55'

Germany

Corner, Germany.

54'

D. Scherhant

Attempt missed. D. Scherhant (Germany), right-footed shot. xG 0.19.

46'

S. Gnabry

Substitution, Germany: S. El Mala comes on for S. Gnabry.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Germany 1-0 Serbia.

45'

1 minute of added time.

44'

Germany

Corner, Germany.

43'

T. Bischof

Attempt saved. T. Bischof (Germany), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

43'

Germany

Corner, Germany.

41'

Germany

Corner, Germany.

41'

A. Pavlović

Attempt blocked. A. Pavlović (Germany), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.19.

39'

T. Bischof

Goal! Germany 1-0 Serbia. T. Bischof (Germany) scores.

39'

F. Wirtz

Off the woodwork! F. Wirtz (Germany), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

36'

S. Gnabry

Attempt saved. S. Gnabry (Germany), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

35'

F. Wirtz

Attempt saved. F. Wirtz (Germany), header. xG 0.20.

35'

Germany

Corner, Germany.

30'

S. Gnabry

Attempt saved. S. Gnabry (Germany), left-footed shot. xG 0.46.

30'

M. Thiaw

Attempt missed. M. Thiaw (Germany), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

28'

Germany

Corner, Germany.

26'

D. Scherhant

Attempt missed. D. Scherhant (Germany), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

24'

T. Bischof

Attempt missed. T. Bischof (Germany), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

19'

Germany

Corner, Germany.

18'

S. Gnabry

Attempt missed. S. Gnabry (Germany), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

16'

N. Woltemade

Attempt blocked. N. Woltemade (Germany), right-footed shot. xG 0.17.

16'

W. Anton

Attempt missed. W. Anton (Germany), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.13.

16'

Germany

Corner, Germany.

11'

N. Woltemade

Attempt missed. N. Woltemade (Germany), header. xG 0.20.

8'

A. Pavlović

Attempt missed. A. Pavlović (Germany), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

5'

Germany

Corner, Germany.

5'

M. Mittelstädt

Attempt missed. M. Mittelstädt (Germany), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

1'

Kick-off: Germany vs Serbia.

Where the money is

3209500 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1847879 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

95.0%

-4.0 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

3.4%

+3.3 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

1.6%

+1.5 vs price

Half time 28528 EUR · live

Home 4.1 · implied 24.4%

87.4%

+63.0 vs price

Draw 1.38 · implied 72.5%

9.8%

-62.6 vs price

Away 29.0 · implied 3.4%

2.8%

-0.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 301166 EUR · live

Under 1.07 · implied 93.5%

53.1%

-40.4 vs price

Over 15.0 · implied 6.7%

46.9%

+40.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 27201 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

87.6%

-11.4 vs price

Over 80.0 · implied 1.2%

12.4%

+11.1 vs price

19 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 3 clips

Player of the match

Match events

39' ⚽ T. Bischof1–0

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 S. El Mala ◂ S. Gnabry

61' ⚽ F. Wirtz · assist M. Mittelstädt2–0

66' 🔁 L. Samardžić ◂ A. Živković

67' 🔁 S. Lukić ◂ D. Tadić

67' 🔁 M. Cvetković ◂ S. Džodić

67' 🔁 S. Pavlović ◂ S. Eraković

73' N. Gudelj · Foul

77' 🔁 M. Baur ◂ T. Bischof

77' 🔁 J. Burkardt ◂ N. Woltemade

77' 🔁 B. Conté ◂ D. Scherhant

79' N. Maksimović · Foul

79' V. Paunović · Argument

88' 🔁 V. Kostov ◂ N. Maksimović

88' 🔁 V. Janelt ◂ A. Pavlović

Full-time · 2–0

Coaches

Jürgen Klopp

Veljko Paunović

Recent form

Germany

LHGreece0-1

DANetherlands1-1

DHParaguay1-1

LAEcuador1-2

WHCôte d'Ivoire2-1

Serbia

LHNetherlands1-2

LHGreece1-2

LAMexico1-5

LACabo Verde0-3

WHSaudi Arabia2-1

About this match

**Germany rolls into Munich hunting form, but Serbia's coming off a brutal run** — this is a Nations League clash where the home side desperately needs to stack wins. 🇩🇪

Germany's mixed lately (1W, 2D, 2L) but plays at the Allianz with real edge. Serbia's in freefall though — just one win in five and losses to Greece and Mexico by heavy margins. The hosts should have this, but recent form makes it no gimme.

Key storylines:

- **Kai Havertz and Florian Wirtz** lead Germany's attack with a chance to exploit Serbia's leaky defense
- **Dusan Tadić** will need to orchestrate Serbia's midfield creativity against a Kimmich-anchored German engine
- Home advantage at the Allianz matters here — Germany's proven they can grind results out on familiar turf

Expected lineups:

- **Germany**: M. Neuer, N. Brown, N. Schlotterbeck, A. Rüdiger, J. Kimmich, A. Pavlović, F. Wirtz, K. Havertz, L. Sané
- **Serbia**: V. Milinković-Savić, S. Pavlović, A. Terzić, F. Kostić, A. Živković, L. Jović, D. Tadić

Prediction:

**Germany 2-0 Serbia** — the Serbs are fragile right now, and Germany's midfield should dominate possession. Lean Germany. ✅

Where to watch

DStv NowSuperSport GOtv Football

Match facts

Stadium

Allianz Arena

City

Munich

Referee

Espen Eskas

3.87 yellows/match · 55 matches

Kickoff

01 Oct, 18:45 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Highlights & clips

Germany 4-4-2 · 5-4-1 Serbia

1 J. Urbig 6.8 13 P. Treu 8.3 2 M. Thiaw 8.0 3 W. Anton 8.0 18 M. Mittelstädt 7.8 7 S. El Mala 6.8 ↑ 46' 23 V. Janelt ↑ 88' 14 M. Baur 6.7 ↑ 77' 19 B. Conté 6.8 ↑ 77' 10 J. Burkardt 6.5 ↑ 77' 17 F. Wirtz 9.2 1 Đ. Petrović 7.6 2 K. Nedeljković 7.0 3 S. Pavlović 6.6 ↑ 67' 6 N. Gudelj 6.3 15 S. Babić 6.3 11 F. Kostić 6.1 21 L. Samardžić 6.9 ↑ 66' 20 V. Kostov ↑ 88' 22 S. Lukić 6.9 ↑ 67' 18 M. Cvetković 6.7 ↑ 67' 8 L. Jović 6.7

Top stats

74%Possession26%

3.81Expected goals (xG)0.01

32Total shots1

8Shots on target1

7Big chances1

12Corners1

Shots

17Shots off target0

7Blocked shots0

21Shots inside box0

11Shots outside box1

1Hit woodwork0

2Big chances scored0

5Big chances missed1

0.1Goals prevented0.67

Attack

43Touches in box3

80Final third entries26

1Offsides1

11Free kicks10

1Fouled in final third1

Passing

739Passes265

675Accurate passes188

21/34 (62%)Long balls14/53 (26%)

7/28 (25%)Crosses1/3 (33%)

22Throw-ins15

Duels

55Duels45

35/68 (51%)Ground duels33/68 (49%)

17/27 (63%)Aerial duels10/27 (37%)

7/19 (37%)Dribbles3/9 (33%)

9Dispossessed11

Defending

17Tackles21

71Tackles won48

8Interceptions10

11Clearances31

60Recoveries39

Discipline

10Fouls11

0Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves6

0Big saves2

0Goal kicks20

0Punches3

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Germany 79%

14%

Serbia 8%

1X2Germany to win 79% · 1.44 @ William Hill

Who winsGermany to win (DNB) 86% · 1.06 @ Bwin

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 70% · 2.80 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 87% · 1.57 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.49 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.25 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.57 @ betfair

1X2Draw 14% · 3.96 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 54% · 2.02 @ Sbo

1X2Serbia to win 8% · 9.50 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.20

Germany

7.00

Draw

13.00

Serbia

Double Chanceconsensus

1.03

Germany or Draw

1.11

Germany or Serbia

4.40

Draw or Serbia

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.82

Yes

1.92

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.20

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

29.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

26.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.06

Over 1.50

7.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.30

Over 2.50

3.30

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.87

Over 3.50

1.94

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

2.95

Over 4.50

1.36

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.05

Germany

9.00

Serbia

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.29

Over 7.50

3.00

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.56

Over 8.50

2.31

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.96

Over 9.50

1.87

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.53

Over 10.50

1.49

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.23

Over 11.50

1.26

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Germany to win or draw

✓

92% confidence

Over 1.5 goals

✓

87% confidence

Germany to avoid defeat

✓

86% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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