Cyprus 2-0 Armenia: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 2, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Cyprus 2-0 Armenia.

90+5'

E. Spertsyan

Attempt missed. E. Spertsyan (Armenia), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

90+2'

N. Hovhannisyan

Attempt blocked. N. Hovhannisyan (Armenia), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

90'

6 minutes of added time.

89'

Armenia

Corner, Armenia.

85'

K. Nalbandyan

Attempt saved. K. Nalbandyan (Armenia), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

84'

G. Kastanos

Substitution, Cyprus: K. Artymatas comes on for G. Kastanos.

84'

I. Pittas

Substitution, Cyprus: S. Georgiou comes on for I. Pittas.

81'

Armenia

Corner, Armenia.

80'

K. Nalbandyan

Attempt missed. K. Nalbandyan (Armenia), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

80'

Armenia

Corner, Armenia.

79'

K. Hovhannisyan

Attempt blocked. K. Hovhannisyan (Armenia), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

78'

G. Manvelyan

Substitution, Armenia: N. Hovhannisyan comes on for G. Manvelyan.

77'

K. Nalbandyan

Attempt blocked. K. Nalbandyan (Armenia), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

77'

U. Iwu

Attempt missed. U. Iwu (Armenia), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.21.

77'

Armenia

Corner, Armenia.

76'

N. Grigoryan

Attempt blocked. N. Grigoryan (Armenia), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

76'

Armenia

Corner, Armenia.

74'

I. Pittas

Attempt saved. I. Pittas (Cyprus), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

68'

L. Loizou

Substitution, Cyprus: M. Tzionis comes on for L. Loizou.

68'

M. Edwards

Substitution, Cyprus: A. Neophytou comes on for M. Edwards.

64'

N. Grigoryan

Attempt saved. N. Grigoryan (Armenia), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

64'

G. Manvelyan

Attempt missed. G. Manvelyan (Armenia), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

64'

Armenia

Corner, Armenia.

63'

E. Simonyan

Substitution, Armenia: U. Iwu comes on for E. Simonyan.

63'

A. Miranyan

Substitution, Armenia: K. Nalbandyan comes on for A. Miranyan.

61'

Armenia

Corner, Armenia.

58'

N. Grigoryan

Attempt missed. N. Grigoryan (Armenia), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

55'

Armenia

Corner, Armenia.

54'

A. Kakoullis

Substitution, Cyprus: G. Malekkidis comes on for A. Kakoullis.

52'

A. Bandikyan

Substitution, Armenia: D. Terteryan comes on for A. Bandikyan.

52'

K. Pileas

Red card! K. Pileas (Cyprus) is sent off for foul.

51'

K. Pileas

VAR: card upgraded for K. Pileas (Cyprus).

46'

E. Sevikyan

Substitution, Armenia: N. Grigoryan comes on for E. Sevikyan.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Cyprus 2-0 Armenia.

41'

L. Loizou

Attempt missed. L. Loizou (Cyprus), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

39'

L. Loizou

Attempt blocked. L. Loizou (Cyprus), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

37'

A. Bandikyan

Yellow card for A. Bandikyan (Armenia) for foul.

36'

Armenia

Corner, Armenia.

36'

E. Spertsyan

Cleared off the line! E. Spertsyan (Armenia), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

36'

E. Spertsyan

Attempt saved. E. Spertsyan (Armenia), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.

36'

E. Sevikyan

Cleared off the line! E. Sevikyan (Armenia), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.09.

35'

Armenia

Corner, Armenia.

34'

E. Spertsyan

Attempt blocked. E. Spertsyan (Armenia), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

31'

A. Kakoullis

Goal! Cyprus 2-0 Armenia. A. Kakoullis (Cyprus) scores, assisted by I. Pittas.

29'

L. Loizou

Attempt blocked. L. Loizou (Cyprus), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

26'

E. Sevikyan

Yellow card for E. Sevikyan (Armenia) for foul.

19'

L. Konomis

Goal! Cyprus 1-0 Armenia. L. Konomis (Cyprus) scores.

18'

Cyprus

Corner, Cyprus.

18'

M. Edwards

Attempt blocked. M. Edwards (Cyprus), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

16'

G. Manvelyan

Attempt missed. G. Manvelyan (Armenia), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

12'

E. Piloyan

Attempt missed. E. Piloyan (Armenia), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

8'

Cyprus

Offside, Cyprus.

1'

M. Edwards

Attempt saved. M. Edwards (Cyprus), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

1'

Kick-off: Cyprus vs Armenia.

Where the money is

1301797 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 591657 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

89.7%

-9.3 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

5.9%

+5.8 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

4.5%

+4.4 vs price

Half time 4447 EUR · live

Home 1.26 · implied 79.4%

48.8%

-30.6 vs price

Draw 6.2 · implied 16.1%

43.1%

+27.0 vs price

Away 44.0 · implied 2.3%

8.1%

+5.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 407813 EUR · live

Under 1.05 · implied 95.2%

79.5%

-15.8 vs price

Over 18.0 · implied 5.6%

20.5%

+15.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 15501 EUR · live

Under 1.13 · implied 88.5%

96.5%

+8.0 vs price

Over 7.0 · implied 14.3%

3.5%

-10.8 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

19' ⚽ L. Konomis1–0

26' E. Sevikyan · Foul

31' ⚽ A. Kakoullis · assist I. Pittas2–0

37' A. Bandikyan · Foul

Half-time · 2–0

46' 🔁 N. Grigoryan ◂ E. Sevikyan

51' VAR Card check · K. Pileas

52' 🔁 D. Terteryan ◂ A. Bandikyan

52' K. Pileas · Foul

54' 🔁 G. Malekkidis ◂ A. Kakoullis

63' 🔁 K. Nalbandyan ◂ A. Miranyan

63' 🔁 U. Iwu ◂ E. Simonyan

68' 🔁 A. Neophytou ◂ M. Edwards

68' 🔁 M. Tzionis ◂ L. Loizou

78' 🔁 N. Hovhannisyan ◂ G. Manvelyan

84' 🔁 S. Georgiou ◂ I. Pittas

84' 🔁 K. Artymatas ◂ G. Kastanos

Full-time · 2–0

Coaches

Akis Mantzios

Yeghishe Melikyan

Recent form

Cyprus

DALatvia0-0

LAMontenegro1-2

WALiechtenstein2-0

DASlovenia1-1

WHMoldova3-2

Armenia

LHMontenegro2-3

WHLatvia2-0

DHMoldova1-1

DHKazakhstan1-1

LHBelarus1-2

About this match

**Cyprus hosts Armenia in a Nations League scrap where home advantage could be the difference.** Both teams are hovering around .500, but the hosts have that extra W in their back pocket. 🏟️

Cyprus are the sharper side lately, winning two of their last five with a solid defensive shape. Armenia wobbled against Montenegro but showed teeth with back-to-back clean sheets before that. The head-to-head is split: Cyprus want to break their winless streak against these opponents.

Key storylines:

- **Cyprus's attacking threat** hinges on M. Edwards and A. Kakoullis linking up front, especially with C. Sotiriou unavailable through suspension
- **Armenia's defensive setup** under O. Čančarević will need to hold firm; they've got five at the back but are missing A. Serobyan's influence
- **Midfield control** becomes crucial — G. Kastanos and L. Loizou versus E. Spertsyan's creativity could decide tempo and rhythm

Expected lineups:

- **Cyprus**: Fabiano, N. Panagiotou, G. Malekkidis, K. Pileas, L. Konomis, G. Kastanos, L. Loizou, M. Tzionis, I. Pittas, M. Edwards, A. Kakoullis
- **Armenia**: O. Čančarević, N. Tiknizyan, E. Piloyan, G. Harutyunyan, A. Petrosyan, E. Simonyan, E. Spertsyan, U. Iwu, A. Bandikyan, K. Muradyan, A. Gharibyan

Prediction:

**Cyprus 2–1 Armenia.** Home turf and form give the Cypriots a slight edge; Armenia's five-back feels cautious, and that screams counterattack vulnerability. ⚽

Where to watch

DStv Now

Match facts

Stadium

GSP Stadium

City

Nicosia

Referee

Mohammad Al-Emara

3.50 yellows/match · 56 matches

Kickoff

02 Oct, 16:00 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Highlights & clips

Cyprus 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1 Armenia

1 Fabiano 7.6 15 L. Konomis 8.0 4 H. Kyprianou 7.2 3 N. Panagiotou 8.3 2 K. Pileas 6.0 16 P. Andreou 7.5 18 K. Artymatas 6.6 ↑ 84' 21 M. Tzionis 6.9 ↑ 68' 7 A. Neophytou 6.4 ↑ 68' 14 G. Malekkidis 7.4 ↑ 54' 19 S. Georgiou 6.6 ↑ 84' 12 A. Beglaryan 5.4 3 E. Piloyan 6.7 6 U. Iwu 6.7 ↑ 63' 4 G. Harutyunyan 7.0 20 D. Terteryan 6.9 ↑ 52' 8 K. Hovhannisyan 7.6 10 E. Spertsyan 7.4 21 N. Tiknizyan 6.7 11 N. Grigoryan 6.0 ↑ 46' 23 N. Hovhannisyan 6.6 ↑ 78' 15 K. Nalbandyan 7.3 ↑ 63'

Top stats

32%Possession68%

0.57Expected goals (xG)0.95

8Total shots17

4Shots on target5

2Big chances3

1Corners11

Shots

1Shots off target7

3Blocked shots5

6Shots inside box7

2Shots outside box10

1Big chances scored0

1Big chances missed3

0.52Goals prevented-1.19

Attack

9Touches in box27

28Final third entries85

1Offsides1

10Free kicks6

1Fouled in final third3

Passing

310Passes627

253Accurate passes564

12/35 (34%)Long balls29/42 (69%)

1/4 (25%)Crosses5/34 (15%)

19Throw-ins26

Duels

52Duels48

37/71 (52%)Ground duels34/71 (48%)

10/19 (53%)Aerial duels9/19 (47%)

9/21 (43%)Dribbles8/18 (44%)

8Dispossessed8

Defending

18Tackles20

67Tackles won55

9Interceptions6

42Clearances13

41Recoveries46

Discipline

6Fouls10

1Yellow cards2

1Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

3Big saves0

7Goal kicks2

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Cyprus 41%

29%

Armenia 30%

Who winsCyprus to win (DNB) 68% · 1.58 @ Unibet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.14 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 29% · 2.40 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.29 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.80 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.31 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.75 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle

1X2Armenia to win 30% · 3.52 @ 1xBet

1X2Cyprus to win 41% · 2.62 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.35 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.25

Cyprus

3.29

Draw

3.10

Armenia

Double Chanceconsensus

1.33

Cyprus or Draw

1.30

Cyprus or Armenia

1.60

Draw or Armenia

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.80

Yes

1.93

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

9.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.33

Over 1.50

3.15

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.08

Over 2.50

1.74

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.77

Over 3.50

1.25

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.75

Over 4.50

1.06

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.55

Cyprus

2.30

Armenia

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.43

Over 7.50

2.54

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.79

Over 8.50

1.98

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.25

Over 9.50

1.57

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.88

Over 10.50

1.31

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.65

Over 11.50

1.16

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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