Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Estonia and Iceland are locked in a fascinating deadlock** — these sides have drawn four of their last five meetings, and both just split the points in their last encounter. This is a cup decider vibes kind of Nations League clash. ⚽
Estonia's got solid recent form (2W-2D), while Iceland just demolished Bulgaria 3-0 to bounce back from a rougher patch. The home advantage in Tallinn could be the tiebreaker here, but expect a cagey affair.
Key storylines:
- **Estonia's defensive solidity** at the back with M. Schjonning-Larsen and M. Kuusk will be tested against Iceland's goal-hungry attack
- **Iceland's firepower** on display after thrashing Luxembourg and Bulgaria — can they break down a stubborn Estonian setup?
- **The draw curse** — four of the last five head-to-heads ending level suggests both sides know how to grind
Expected lineups:
- **Estonia**: K. Hein, M. Paskotsi, M. Schjonning-Larsen, M. Kuusk, K. Mets, M. Käit, K. Palumets, K. Mustmaa, R. Peetson, M. Männilaan, A. Tamm
- **Iceland**: H. R. Valdimarsson, V. Pálsson, D. Grétarsson, H. Magnússon, L. Tómasson, M. Ellertsson, H. Haraldsson, Í. B. Jóhannesson, S. T. Þórðarson, O. S. Óskarsson, A. Guðjohnsen
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — both sides have the chemistry and defensive know-how to cancel each other out. Classic Nations League stalemate.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.