Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**The Dutch are back at the Cruijff to face a Greece side that's proven they can hang with anyone.** A rematch of their 2-2 draw just weeks ago, so neither team is walking into this blind. 🇳🇱
Netherlands are unbeaten in their last five but oddly short on wins — three draws will haunt them if they slip up here. Greece have the form to trouble anyone, coming off a shock 1-0 away win over Germany. Both sides know each other well now.
Key storylines:
- **Frenkie de Jong and Teun Reijnders** anchor the Dutch midfield without the injured **Nico Aké**, forcing a more creative burden on their ball recyclers
- **Greece's backline vs. the Dutch attack** — with both teams drawing 2-2 last time, expect another cagey affair with chances at a premium
- **Home advantage at the Cruijff** gives the Netherlands a slight edge, but Greece's resilience (2W in last 5) means they won't fold
Expected lineups:
- **Netherlands**: Verbruggen, Timber, van Dijk, van de Ven, Dumfries, Reijnders, de Jong, Gakpo, Summerville, Malen, Tzolakis
- **Greece**: Tzolakis, Tsimikas, Mavropanos, Retsos, Vagiannidis, Tzolis, Kourbelis, Triantis, Masouras, Pavlidis, Tetteh
Prediction:
**Netherlands 2-1 Greece.** Dutch edge at home, but Greece make them sweat. ⚽
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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