Spain vs England Prediction, Odds & Lineups – Nov 15, 2026

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UEFA Nations League ·Sun 15 Nov

Spain

19:45UTC

Upcoming

England

Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid · Ref: Clement Turpin

Where the money is

211995 EUR matched · captured 0 minutes ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 151111 EUR

Home 2.0 · implied 50.0%

69.5%

+19.5 vs price

Away 3.9 · implied 25.6%

21.8%

-3.9 vs price

Draw 4.2 · implied 23.8%

8.8%

-15.0 vs price

Half time 722 EUR

Home 2.6 · implied 38.5%

56.0%

+17.6 vs price

Draw 2.66 · implied 37.6%

34.3%

-3.3 vs price

Away 4.2 · implied 23.8%

9.7%

-14.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 7612 EUR

Over 1.64 · implied 61.0%

81.4%

+20.4 vs price

Under 2.58 · implied 38.8%

18.6%

-20.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 877 EUR

Under 1.18 · implied 84.7%

86.7%

+2.0 vs price

Over 6.4 · implied 15.6%

14.1%

-1.6 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Coaches

Luis De La Fuente

Thomas Tuchel

Injuries & suspensions

Spain

B. Iglesias

Calf Injury · back 2026-11-30

injured

D. Olmo

Thigh Injury · back 2026-11-30

injured

Rodri

Hamstring Injury · back 2026-11-30

injured

England

B. Saka

Muscle Injury · back 2026-11-30

injured

M. Guéhi

Muscle Injury · back 2026-11-30

injured

R. James

Knee Injury · back 2027-01-20

injured

Recent form

Spain

WACzechia2-0

WACroatia2-1

WHCzechia3-1

WHCroatia4-1

WAEngland3-2

England

WHCroatia2-1

WHCzechia3-0

WACroatia7-0

WACzechia2-0

LHSpain2-3

About this match

**Spain's on an absolute tear, but England's depth might be the dark horse here.** Both teams roll into Madrid off hot streaks, though Spain's perfect five-game run edges it slightly. 🔥

Spain's looking scary with **Pedri** and **Fabian Ruiz** dictating midfield, while England's banking on freshness from their bench depth. The injury lists are genuinely brutal on both sides — **Rodri, Yamal, Olmo** out for Spain; **Saka, Guéhi, James** out for England. That's a lot of firepower benched.

Key storylines:

- **Spain's perfect run** vs England's single loss: form favors the hosts, who haven't dropped points in five.
- **Pedri and Ruiz's midfield mastery** will need to outwork **Rice and Anderson** if Spain want to control tempo.
- **Kane and Gordon** on the break could slice through Spain's back line if the possession balance tips.

Expected lineups:

- **Spain**: U. Simón, M. Cucurella, P. Cubarsí, A. Laporte, P. Porro, Pedri, F. Ruiz, N. Williams, M. Merino, V. Muñoz, M. Oyarzabal
- **England**: J. Pickford, N. O'Reilly, J. Quansah, J. Stones, M. Rogers, E. Anderson, D. Rice, A. Gordon, J. Bellingham, N. Madueke, H. Kane

Prediction:

**Spain 1–1 England**. Lean to the draw — both teams too balanced and too wounded to break through.

Where to watch

RTVE PlayTVE La 1

Match facts

Stadium

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

City

Madrid

Referee

Clement Turpin

3.36 yellows/match · 75 matches

Kickoff

15 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Spain 54%

24%

England 22%

Who winsSpain to win (DNB) 70% · 1.47 @ Betano

1X2Spain to win 54% · 2.15 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 3.60 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 2.88 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.88 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 24% · 2.79 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.81 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle

1X2England to win 22% · 4.15 @ 1xBet

Odds consensusnext update 11:50 UTC

1X2consensus

1.75

Spain

3.98

Draw

4.20

England

Double Chanceconsensus

1.22

Spain or Draw

1.22

Spain or England

2.05

Draw or England

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.55

Yes

2.30

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.25

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

9.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

13.30

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.17

Over 1.50

4.80

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.60

Over 2.50

2.35

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.50

Over 3.50

1.51

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.50

Over 4.50

1.19

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.43

Spain

2.67

England

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.30

Over 7.50

2.94

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.60

Over 8.50

2.22

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.00

Over 9.50

1.79

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.53

Over 10.50

1.45

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.39

Over 11.50

1.23

Under 11.50

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Where the money is

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