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Franclim Carvalho
Botafogo
Vitória
Botafogo
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Vitória
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
34'
E. Martinez · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
Caique ◂ E. Martinez
46'
🔁
R. Kayzer ◂ Renê
66'
🔁
L. Emanuel ◂ M. Martins
66'
🔁
D. Santos ◂ L. Villalba
66'
🔁
D. Tarzia ◂ Matheuzinho
78'
🔁
T. Pochettino ◂ Z. Vitor
79'
🔁
M. Ponte ◂ Vitinho
79'
🔁
S. Rodríguez ◂ Huguinho
79'
🔁
K. Barría ◂ A. Cabral
87'
🔁
Mateusinho ◂ Erick
Full-time · 0–0
90'+1
M. Ponte · Foul
Coaches
Franclim CarvalhoJair Ventura 
Recent form
BotafogoWHSantos2-1
LABahia1-2
WACaracas F.C.3-1
DASão Paulo1-1
WAClub Independiente Petrolero3-0
VitóriaWHVasco da Gama1-0
LASantos1-3
WHInternacional2-0
LARed Bull Bragantino0-2
WHFlamengo2-0
Where to watch
PremiereRecordYouTube - CazéTV
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Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Nilton Santos
City
Rio de Janeiro
Referee
Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro
Kickoff
23 Jul, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Botafogo
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Vitória
17
Warleson
6.9
4
M. Ponte
6.7
↑ 79'
34
G. Justino
7.4
21
Marçal
7.3
13
A. Telles
6.9
23
S. Rodríguez
6.4
↑ 79'
6
C. Medina
7.0
8
D. Santos
6.7
↑ 66'
10
Á. Montoro
7.3
79
L. Emanuel
6.3
↑ 66'
37
K. Barría
6.4
↑ 79'
1
L. Arcanjo
8.8
83
Jamerson
7.2
25
Cacá
6.9
36
L. Cândido
7.2
13
Ramon
6.8
44
G. Baralhas
6.7
98
Mateusinho
6.6
↑ 87'
12
D. Tarzia
6.6
↑ 66'
95
Caique
7.4
↑ 46'
8
T. Pochettino
6.6
↑ 78'
79
R. Kayzer
6.2
↑ 46'
Substitutes
12GG. Batista
2DVitinho↓ 79'8.0
63DHerick
33DL. Monzón
29DPaulinho
88DEdenilson
75MHuguinho↓ 79'7.0
77ML. Villalba↓ 66'6.5
59MK. Toledo
14MJ. Barrera
19FA. Cabral↓ 79'7.7
11FM. Martins↓ 66'7.3
Coach: Franclim Carvalho
Substitutes
71GY. Sena
26DEdenílson
70DF. Souza
2DE. Brítez
33MErick↓ 87'7.5
88MZ. Vitor↓ 78'7.3
6ME. Martinez↓ 46'6.4
10MMatheuzinho↓ 66'6.2
15MWalace
91FRenê↓ 46'6.3
7FMarinho
23FF. Santos
Coach: Jair Ventura
Top stats
57%Possession43%
1.38Expected goals (xG)0.39
19Total shots5
6Shots on target1
3Big chances1
9Corners3
Shots
7Shots off target2
6Blocked shots2
7Shots inside box4
12Shots outside box1
1Hit woodwork0
3Big chances missed1
0.1Goals prevented0.96
Attack
32Touches in box13
40Final third entries44
14Free kicks16
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
373Passes297
304Accurate passes227
23/43 (53%)Long balls27/55 (49%)
7/34 (21%)Crosses5/9 (56%)
18Throw-ins23
Duels
55Duels45
48/87 (55%)Ground duels39/88 (44%)
22/40 (55%)Aerial duels18/40 (45%)
17/26 (65%)Dribbles5/12 (42%)
10Dispossessed11
Defending
17Tackles19
76Tackles won68
8Interceptions8
26Clearances44
55Recoveries44
Discipline
16Fouls14
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
1Big saves2
7Goal kicks11
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 67 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 92% · 1.50 @ 1xBet
Who winsBotafogo to win (DNB) 72% · 1.35 @ betfair
1X2Draw 35% · 3.95 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.67 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.81 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 1.88 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.29 @ betfred
1X2Botafogo to win 44% · 1.84 @ ggbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.96 @ Pinnacle
1X2Vitória to win 21% · 5.05 @ betonline
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.75
Botafogo
3.61
Draw ▲
4.62
Vitória
Double Chanceconsensus
1.18
Botafogo or Draw
1.27
Botafogo or Vitória ▼
2.02
Draw or Vitória ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.71
Yes
2.04
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▼
11.40
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.24
Over 1.50 ▲
3.82
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.79
Over 2.50 ▲
1.98
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.92
Over 3.50 ▲
1.37
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.18
Over 4.50 ▼
1.16
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.29
Botafogo
3.33
Vitória
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
15.75
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
11.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
7.07
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.14
Over 6.50 ▼
5.02
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50 ▼
3.39
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.49
Over 8.50 ▼
2.43
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.82
Over 9.50 ▼
1.88
Under 9.50 ▲
1.9 – 0.9Expected goals
1-0Most likely score
~9Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 92% | 94% | 1.02 | Overpriced | high |
| Botafogo to win (DNB)Who wins | 72% | 72% | 1.29 | Overpriced | high |
| Draw1X2 | 35% | 35% | 2.59 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 61% | 62% | 1.49 | Overpriced | medium |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 54% | 54% | 1.71 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 53% | 53% | 1.79 | Fair | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 76% | 75% | 1.24 | Overpriced | high |
| Botafogo to win1X2 | 44% | 44% | 2.06 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 62% | 60% | 1.53 | Fair | medium |
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 51% | 49% | 1.87 | Fair | low |
| Vitória to win1X2 | 21% | 21% | 4.28 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Over 3.5 goals — we say 30%, they say 6%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 69% | +7% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 43% | +10% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 8% | 20% | -12% | No |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 48% | +6% | Yes |
| Home win | 44% | 48% | -4% | No |
| Draw | 35% | 27% | +8% | Yes |
| Away win | 21% | 25% | -4% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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