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Brian Barry-Murphy
Cardiff City
Swindon Town
Cardiff City
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Swindon Town
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
109780 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
85.9%
-13.1 vs price
Draw
12.0 · implied 8.3%
8.9%
+0.6 vs price
Away
500.0 · implied 0.2%
5.4%
+5.2 vs price
Half time
642 EUR · live
Home
8.0 · implied 12.5%
54.8%
+42.3 vs price
Away
1.8 · implied 55.6%
41.1%
-14.5 vs price
Draw
3.1 · implied 32.3%
3.9%
-28.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
9323 EUR · live
Under
1.22 · implied 82.0%
88.4%
+6.4 vs price
Over
4.8 · implied 20.8%
11.6%
-9.2 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
9'
⚽
G. Osho0–1
29'
⚽
Y. Salech (pen)1–1
43'
⚽
Y. Salech · assist C. Ashford2–1
Half-time · 2–1
46'
🔁
R. Tafazolli ◂ S. Inwood
58'
🔁
J. Debayo ◂ T. Nichols
58'
🔁
J. Hungbo ◂ L. Millard
58'
🔁
C. Willock ◂ I. Davies
58'
🔁
J. Colwill ◂ D. Turnbull
62'
⚽
P. Glatzel · assist J. Hungbo2–2
63'
🔁
O. Palmer ◂ M. Virtue-Thick
64'
🔁
L. Griffiths-Brown ◂ M. Clark
72'
🔁
J. Moylan ◂ O. Tanner
77'
⚽
J. Moylan · assist Y. Salech3–2
82'
J. Colwill · Foul
84'
J. Debayo · Foul
Full-time · 3–2
90'
J. Debayo · Foul
Coaches
Brian Barry-MurphyIan Holloway 
Recent form
Cardiff CityWHAS Roma4-1
WAForest Green Rovers5-1
WACork City6-1
LHFC Midtjylland0-6
LAMansfield Town4-5
Swindon TownWAForest Green Rovers4-1
WHLeyton Orient2-1
LHBristol City1-3
LACrystal Palace1-5
LAChippenham Town0-1
Where to watch
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
Match facts
Stadium
Cardiff City Stadium
City
Cardiff
Kickoff
08 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Cardiff City
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Swindon Town
1
N. Trott
6.6
44
R. Kpakio
6.0
38
P. Ng
7.1
4
G. Osho
6.2
3
J. Bagan
6.7
16
C. Willock
7.0
↑ 58'
18
A. Robertson
7.2
8
J. Moylan
7.2
↑ 72'
45
C. Ashford
6.8
27
J. Colwill
6.5
↑ 58'
9
Y. Salech
8.8
1
C. Ripley
6.9
38
L. Griffiths-Brown
6.0
↑ 64'
5
S. Negru
7.0
17
R. Tafazolli
6.6
↑ 46'
34
B. Kirkman
6.8
28
O. Palmer
7.0
↑ 63'
18
J. Debayo
5.8
↑ 58'
20
B. Middlemas
6.9
15
J. Hungbo
7.1
↑ 58'
23
A. Drinan
6.5
9
P. Glatzel
7.3
Substitutes
30GH. Tyrer
40DN. Anyadike
11MO. Tanner↓ 72'7.0
14MD. Turnbull↓ 58'6.8
43MP. Moreno
33MR. Tankiewicz
39FI. Davies↓ 58'6.5
47FC. Robinson
Coach: Brian Barry-Murphy
Substitutes
12GL. Ward
16DS. Inwood↓ 46'6.2
24MM. Virtue-Thick↓ 63'6.7
7MT. Nichols↓ 58'6.4
2MM. Clark↓ 64'6.4
39FL. Millard↓ 58'6.4
Coach: Ian Holloway
Top stats
61%Possession39%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
15Total shots13
4Shots on target1
4Big chances3
6Corners3
Shots
4Shots off target5
7Blocked shots7
13Shots inside box10
2Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed2
Attack
34Touches in box26
72Final third entries60
3Offsides3
16Free kicks8
4Fouled in final third1
Passing
536Passes324
450Accurate passes232
21/52 (40%)Long balls40/79 (51%)
4/19 (21%)Crosses5/23 (22%)
20Throw-ins20
Duels
45Duels55
41/85 (48%)Ground duels44/85 (52%)
8/23 (35%)Aerial duels15/23 (65%)
10/19 (53%)Dribbles13/19 (68%)
14Dispossessed9
Defending
15Tackles23
60Tackles won52
6Interceptions14
41Clearances29
55Recoveries47
Discipline
8Fouls17
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
0Saves2
0Big saves1
6Goal kicks11
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 34 bookmakers
Who winsCardiff to win (DNB) 85% · 1.12 @ Bet365
1X2Cardiff to win 71% · 1.34 @ Novibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.62 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.33 @ Interwetten
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 1.51 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.17 @ Betsson
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.80 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 18% · 6.00 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 59% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.98 @ Pinnacle
1X2Swindon to win 11% · 9.59 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.30
Cardiff City
5.43
Draw ▲
8.04
Swindon Town ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.06
Cardiff City or Draw
1.14
Cardiff City or Swindon Town
3.34
Draw or Swindon Town ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.76
Yes
1.97
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
15.00
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.16
Over 1.50
5.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.51
Over 2.50
2.50
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.25
Over 3.50
1.61
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.80
Over 4.50
1.25
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.09
Cardiff City ▲
6.61
Swindon Town ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
12.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50
6.50
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.16
Over 7.50
4.65
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.31
Over 8.50
3.17
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.53
Over 9.50
2.35
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.85
Over 10.50 ▼
1.84
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.33
Over 11.50
1.54
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Cardiff City to win or draw
✓
89% confidence
Cardiff City to avoid defeat
✓
85% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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