Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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**Standard's been a mess lately, but they've got the history here** — and that counts for something on home turf, even if both teams are sliding 🔴
Standard Liège are 1W in their last five and dropping points at the Dufrasne feels unthinkable given their dominance in the H2H. Kortrijk are somehow worse (same record, tougher losses) and traveling to one of Belgium's toughest atmospheres.
Key storylines:
- **Standard's home form vs. Kortrijk's away woes** — the Liege faithful expect wins here, and Kortrijk's 0-3 beatings suggest they fold on the road
- **Both teams desperate to halt the skid** — a point might feel like a win for either, but Standard's pedigree gives them the edge
- **Midfield battle: Nielsen and Trouillet have to control** the tempo against Kortrijk's Dejaegere and the work rate around Mehssatou
Expected lineups:
- **Standard Liège**: M. Epolo, G. Mortensen, I. Hautekiet, M. Fossey, S. Drammeh, A. Trouillet, C. Nielsen, D. Eckert Ayensa, B. Nguene
- **KV Kortrijk**: M. Ilić, J. Ndjeungoue, R. Kohon, G. Ruyssen, H. Murray-Campbell, B. Dejaegere, T. Ambrose, S. Podgoreanu
Prediction:
**Standard Liège 2–0 KV Kortrijk**
Slight lean to the hosts; Kortrijk's away form is dire and Standard are due a win at home.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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