Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
Filipe Coelho
Casa Pia
FC Porto**Casa Pia are in freefall, and Porto arrive to remind them what a title contender looks like.** The visitors haven't lost a domestic game all season and are hunting silverware — this should be routine. 🔵
Casa Pia have managed just one draw in their last five, leaking two or more goals in three of those matches. Porto, meanwhile, breezed past Académico Viseu 3-0 last time out and own this fixture historically, winning seven of their last nine meetings. The gap feels enormous.
Key storylines:
- **FC Porto's midfield dominance**: G. Veiga and P. Rosario controlling tempo against a **Casa Pia** side that's struggled to keep possession
- **Pepê and W. Gomes in attack**: Porto's wing threats should find space in a fragile defensive setup
- **H. Araújo and J. Livolant's isolation**: Casa Pia's attacking duo will rarely see clean service
Expected lineups:
- **Casa Pia**: P. Sequeira, A. Conté, David Sousa, J. Goulart, S. Pérez, L. Ofori, S. Clúa, O. Osundina, H. Araújo
- **FC Porto**: D. Costa, J. Kiwior, J. Bednarek, D. Prpić, G. Veiga, P. Rosario, Pepê, D. Gül, W. Gomes
Prediction:
**Porto 3-0 Casa Pia.** Heavy favorites with a clinical edge. ⚪
Casa Pia
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
FC Porto
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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