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René Wagner
1. FC Köln
TSG Hoffenheim
1. FC Köln
4-3-3 · 4-4-2
TSG Hoffenheim
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
541094 EUR · live
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
60.2%
+60.1 vs price
Home
1.07 · implied 93.5%
25.2%
-68.3 vs price
Draw
14.0 · implied 7.1%
14.6%
+7.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
83367 EUR · live
Over
1.52 · implied 65.8%
69.6%
+3.8 vs price
Under
2.92 · implied 34.2%
30.4%
-3.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1149 EUR
Under
1.2 · implied 83.3%
89.7%
+6.4 vs price
Over
6.0 · implied 16.7%
10.2%
-6.5 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
27'
⚽
A. Daghim · assist B. Conté0–1
Half-time · 0–1
51'
⚽
S. El Mala1–1
53'
🔁
M. Moerstedt ◂ A. Hložek
53'
🔁
R. Hranáč ◂ Bernardo
65'
🔁
T. Dallinga ◂ R. Ache
65'
🔁
E. Skhiri ◂ P. Okon-Engstler
65'
🔁
L. Maina ◂ S. El Mala
67'
⚽
O. Kabak · assist V. Coufal1–2
71'
🔁
N. D. Cat ◂ P. Wimmer
72'
⚽
T. Dallinga · assist L. Maina2–2
82'
⚽
T. Dallinga3–2
83'
O. Kabak · Foul
87'
🔁
M. Rots ◂ A. Hajdari
87'
🔁
A. Kramarić ◂ A. Daghim
Full-time · 3–2
90'
🔁
M. Bülter ◂ T. Krauß
90'+3
🔁
J. Schmied ◂ A. Castro-Montes
90'+4
M. Moerstedt · Argument
Coaches
René WagnerChristian Ilzer 
Recent form
1. FC KölnWAFC Würzburger Kickers2-1
WHReal Sociedad2-1
DHHertha BSC2-2
WASV Bergisch Gladbach 098-0
WHFC Rheinsud Koln5-0
TSG HoffenheimWAErzgebirge Aue4-0
DATottenham Hotspur2-2
LATottenham Hotspur0-3
LHBorussia M'gladbach1-4
WHKarlsruher SC3-0
Where to watch
beIN Sports MAX 5
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Arena Sport 3 SRBSport Klub 1 HR
Disney+ Premium Chile
Canal GoatOneFootball
Sky Bundesliga HD 4
Disney+ Premium Chile
DAZNSky Bundesliga 3Sky Bundesliga 4Sky Bundesliga HD 4WOW
Viaplay
beIN Sports MAX 5
Viaplay
Viaplay
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Viaplay
FandangoPeacock
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Match facts
Stadium
RheinEnergieStadion
City
Cologne
Kickoff
29 Aug, 13:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Highlights & clips
1. FC Köln
4-3-3 · 4-4-2
TSG Hoffenheim
1
M. Schwäbe
7.4
2
J. Schmied
↑ 90'
22
J. Simpson-Pusey
5.9
24
L. Lochoshvili
6.7
14
G. Mensah
6.6
8
Í. B. Jóhannesson
7.2
30
M. Bülter
↑ 90'
37
L. Maina
6.8
↑ 65'
29
J. Thielmann
7.3
6
E. Skhiri
6.6
↑ 65'
27
T. Dallinga
9.1
↑ 65'
1
O. Baumann
7.8
34
V. Coufal
6.7
5
O. Kabak
7.5
39
M. Rots
6.7
↑ 87'
2
R. Hranáč
6.7
↑ 53'
17
N. D. Cat
6.4
↑ 71'
18
W. Burger
6.7
7
L. Avdullahu
6.8
27
A. Kramarić
6.5
↑ 87'
9
M. Moerstedt
6.1
↑ 53'
20
B. Conté
6.6
Substitutes
20GR. Zieler
33DR. v. d. Berg
39DJ. Friemel
10MS. El Mala↓ 65'7.4
5MT. Krauß↓ 90'7.2
23MP. Okon-Engstler↓ 65'6.6
17MA. Castro-Montes↓ 90'6.2
9FR. Ache↓ 65'6.9
11FR. Heskey
Coach: René Wagner
Substitutes
37GL. Philipp
13DBernardo↓ 53'7.2
21DA. Hajdari↓ 87'6.3
15DV. Gendrey
29DN. Abraha
8MP. Wimmer↓ 71'6.8
32MC. Lenz
14FA. Daghim↓ 87'7.5
10FA. Hložek↓ 53'7.0
Coach: Christian Ilzer
Top stats
41%Possession59%
1.95Expected goals (xG)1.88
18Total shots15
6Shots on target4
4Big chances3
6Corners7
Shots
7Shots off target7
5Blocked shots4
13Shots inside box8
5Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed3
-0.01Goals prevented-0.16
Attack
30Touches in box34
40Final third entries64
14Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
344Passes492
277Accurate passes425
26/62 (42%)Long balls31/52 (60%)
7/24 (29%)Crosses8/29 (28%)
17Throw-ins21
Duels
48Duels52
36/63 (57%)Ground duels27/63 (43%)
13/39 (33%)Aerial duels26/39 (67%)
4/8 (50%)Dribbles4/12 (33%)
9Dispossessed10
Defending
18Tackles13
72Tackles won62
8Interceptions8
36Clearances29
33Recoveries35
Discipline
11Fouls14
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
1Big saves2
12Goal kicks8
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 72 bookmakers
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 3.40 @ 888Sport
Who winsHoffenheim to win (DNB) 55% · 1.77 @ hardrock
BTTSBoth teams to score 64% · 2.62 @ Bet365
1X2Hoffenheim to win 42% · 2.60 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.66 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.35 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.77 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.85 @ tipico
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.78 @ Unibet
1X2Köln to win 32% · 3.30 @ fonbet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 59% · 1.68 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.85
1. FC Köln ▲
3.62
Draw ▼
2.28
TSG Hoffenheim ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.59
1. FC Köln or Draw
1.27
1. FC Köln or TSG Hoffenheim
1.40
Draw or TSG Hoffenheim
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.47
Yes ▲
2.53
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
4.50
YES
1.17
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.85
YES
1.22
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.90
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.90
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
16.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.15
Over 1.50
4.83
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.54
Over 2.50 ▲
2.37
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.34
Over 3.50
1.56
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.20
Over 4.50
1.21
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.07
1. FC Köln
1.68
TSG Hoffenheim
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
3.82
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.34
Over 8.50
2.83
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.61
Over 9.50
2.18
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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