1. FC Köln vs SV Werder Bremen — live & stats

Where the money is

2542659 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1405902 EUR · live

Home 24.0 · implied 4.2%

71.5%

+67.4 vs price

Draw 1.05 · implied 95.2%

23.8%

-71.4 vs price

Away 210.0 · implied 0.5%

4.7%

+4.2 vs price

Half time 14649 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

96.8%

-2.2 vs price

Away 110.0 · implied 0.9%

1.9%

+1.0 vs price

Draw 16.0 · implied 6.2%

1.3%

-5.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 784286 EUR · live

Under 1.05 · implied 95.2%

85.2%

-10.0 vs price

Over 18.0 · implied 5.6%

14.8%

+9.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1084 EUR

Under 1.23 · implied 81.3%

79.9%

-1.4 vs price

Over 5.6 · implied 17.9%

20.0%

+2.2 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

11' ⚽ L. Maina · assist E. Skhiri1–0

Half-time · 1–0

64' 🔁 R. Ache ◂ T. Dallinga

65' 🔁 S. Sebulonsen ◂ A. Castro-Montes

65' 🔁 Í. B. Jóhannesson ◂ L. Maina

69' ⚽ N. Füllkrug1–1

70' 🔁 D. Stalmach ◂ L. Reis

72' O. Deman · Foul

74' 🔁 S. El Mala ◂ M. Moore

81' 🔁 C. Itten ◂ N. Füllkrug

81' 🔁 M. Schmetgens ◂ Arthur

83' 🔁 P. Erevbenagie ◂ E. Dinkçi

83' 🔁 M. Weiser ◂ Y. Regeer

86' G. Mensah · Foul

Full-time · 1–1

90' 🔁 P. Okon-Engstler ◂ T. Krauß

90'⁺² P. Okon-Engstler · Foul

Coaches

René Wagner

Daniel Thioune

Recent form

1. FC Köln

LAVfB Stuttgart1-4

WHTSG Hoffenheim3-2

WAFC Würzburger Kickers2-1

WHReal Sociedad2-1

DHHertha BSC2-2

SV Werder Bremen

WHRB Leipzig3-1

LASC Freiburg1-4

WHSV Meppen3-1

WALSK Hansa Lüneburg3-0

LHAuxerre0-1

About this match

**Köln's looking to bounce back after that Stuttgart hammering, while Bremen ride a weird rollercoaster — can either side find consistency?** 🔴

Köln limped away from a 1-4 drubbing but steadied the ship with wins over Hoffenheim and Würzburger Kickers. Bremen grabbed a statement 3-1 win against Leipzig but then got demolished 1-4 at Freiburg. This is a classic **mid-table scramble** where form is basically a coin flip every week.

Key storylines:

- **Köln's strikeforce vs Bremen's backline**: R. Ache needs to replicate his sharpness from the Hoffenheim win, and L. Waldschmidt's creativity will be crucial to stretch a Bremen defense already thin from injuries (F. Agu and J. Stage sidelined).

- **Bremen's Chuky needs to impose himself**: The Bremen attack thrives when their midfield gets going — D. Stalmach and L. Reis will be tasked with controlling tempo against **Í. B. Jóhannesson and T. Krauß**.

- **Köln's home advantage matters**: Missing S. Sebulonsen, T. Dallinga, and T. Hübers stings, but RheinEnergieStadion can still be a fortress.

Expected lineups:

- **1. FC Köln**: M. Schwäbe, G. Mensah, J. Simpson-Pusey, J. Thielmann, Í. B. Jóhannesson, T. Krauß, M. Bülter, L. Waldschmidt, R. Ache

- **SV Werder Bremen**: K. Hein, O. Deman, A. Pieper, M. Friedl, D. Stalmach, L. Reis, M. Grüll, Chuky, N. Füllkrug

Prediction:

**Köln 2-1 Bremen**. Home soil edges out a Bremen side still finding their feet.

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 2

Match facts

Stadium

RheinEnergieStadion

City

Cologne

Referee

Florian Exner

4.71 yellows/match · 21 matches

Kickoff

12 Sep, 16:30 UTC

Competition

Bundesliga

Highlights & clips

1. FC Köln 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 SV Werder Bremen

1 M. Schwäbe 7.2 28 S. Sebulonsen 6.7 ↑ 65' 22 J. Simpson-Pusey 7.4 24 L. Lochoshvili 6.1 14 G. Mensah 6.3 6 E. Skhiri 7.8 23 P. Okon-Engstler ↑ 90' 8 Í. B. Jóhannesson 6.6 ↑ 65' 10 S. El Mala 7.1 ↑ 74' 30 M. Bülter 6.8 9 R. Ache 6.5 ↑ 64' 1 K. Hein 8.0 33 M. Schmetgens 6.8 ↑ 81' 5 A. Pieper 7.1 32 M. Friedl 7.4 2 O. Deman 7.3 8 M. Weiser 6.8 ↑ 83' 23 D. Stalmach 6.7 ↑ 70' 38 P. Erevbenagie 6.7 ↑ 83' 20 Chuky 6.7 17 M. Grüll 5.9 26 C. Itten 6.5 ↑ 81'

Substitutes

20GR. Zieler 2DJ. Schmied 37ML. Maina↓ 65'8.3 17MA. Castro-Montes↓ 65'6.7 5MT. Krauß↓ 90'6.0 3MB. Sosa 29MJ. Thielmann 47FM. Moore↓ 74'6.8 27FT. Dallinga↓ 64'6.0

Coach: René Wagner

Substitutes

30GA. Schlager 3DO. Wojcik 4DN. Stark 13MArthur↓ 81'6.9 15ML. Reis↓ 70'6.8 44MY. Regeer↓ 83'6.8 10FN. Füllkrug↓ 81'7.5 18FE. Dinkçi↓ 83'6.0 29FS. Musah

Coach: Daniel Thioune

Top stats

47%Possession53%

1.65Expected goals (xG)1.12

15Total shots14

6Shots on target5

1Big chances2

8Corners5

Shots

3Shots off target6

6Blocked shots3

9Shots inside box11

6Shots outside box3

0Hit woodwork1

0Big chances scored1

1Big chances missed1

-0.34Goals prevented0.58

Attack

27Touches in box25

52Final third entries61

1Offsides1

11Free kicks11

2Fouled in final third1

Passing

464Passes530

393Accurate passes462

20/46 (43%)Long balls23/45 (51%)

3/24 (13%)Crosses6/18 (33%)

18Throw-ins16

Duels

47Duels53

30/65 (46%)Ground duels35/65 (54%)

10/20 (50%)Aerial duels10/20 (50%)

8/18 (44%)Dribbles5/11 (45%)

9Dispossessed5

Defending

11Tackles19

45Tackles won74

7Interceptions7

19Clearances40

51Recoveries47

Discipline

11Fouls12

2Yellow cards1

Goalkeeping

4Saves5

0Big saves4

6Goal kicks5

0Punches3

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Köln 46%

25%

Bremen 29%

BTTSBoth teams to score 63% · 2.62 @ Bet365

CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61% · 3.50 @ 888Sport

CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.37 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.81 @ 1xBet

Who winsKöln to win (DNB) 62% · 1.57 @ 10bet

1X2Köln to win 46% · 2.40 @ 10bet

1X2Draw 25% · 2.80 @ Unibet

1X2Bremen to win 29% · 3.34 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.73 @ Unibet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.64 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.06

1. FC Köln

3.70

Draw

3.25

SV Werder Bremen

Double Chanceconsensus

1.30

1. FC Köln or Draw

1.25

1. FC Köln or SV Werder Bremen

1.75

Draw or SV Werder Bremen

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.47

Yes

2.55

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

3.55

YES

1.25

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

4.75

YES

1.15

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.17

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

16.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.16

Over 1.50

5.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.55

Over 2.50

2.36

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.39

Over 3.50

1.57

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.33

Over 4.50

1.20

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.51

1. FC Köln

2.40

SV Werder Bremen

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.19

Over 7.50

3.69

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.36

Over 8.50

2.74

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.65

Over 9.50

2.11

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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