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Michael Skubala
Bristol City
Millwall
Bristol City
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Millwall
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
200360 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
67.2%
-31.8 vs price
Home
250.0 · implied 0.4%
26.4%
+26.0 vs price
Draw
500.0 · implied 0.2%
7.0%
+6.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
60132 EUR · live
Under
1.09 · implied 91.7%
64.6%
-27.2 vs price
Over
8.4 · implied 11.9%
35.4%
+23.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4547 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
95.3%
-2.7 vs price
Over
48.0 · implied 2.1%
4.7%
+2.6 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
15'
J. Coburn · Simulation
23'
A. Randell · Foul
29'
🔁
K. Lisbie ◂ F. Azeez
36'
A. Randell · Foul
41'
⚽
J. Coburn0–1
Half-time · 0–1
45'
J. Metcalfe · Handball
46'
🔁
J. Williams ◂ Y. Hirakawa
50'
⚽
J. Coburn · assist J. Metcalfe0–2
56'
🔁
R. Cardines ◂ L. N. Eissat
64'
🔁
M. Sykes ◂ J. Metcalfe
64'
🔁
L. Cundle ◂ T. Arconte
64'
🔁
J. Wallace ◂ D. Ballard
64'
🔁
E. R. Jacobsen ◂ S. Greenwood
64'
🔁
S. Bell ◂ L. Tolaj
82'
🔁
D. Kelly ◂ Z. Sturge
83'
🔁
L. Dykes ◂ J. Coburn
Full-time · 0–2
Coaches
Michael SkubalaAlex Neil 
Recent form
Bristol CityLHWalsall0-1
DAExeter City1-1
DAPlymouth Argyle0-0
WHNewcastle United4-1
LAForest Green Rovers2-3
MillwallDAQueens Park Rangers1-1
WHRoyal Antwerp FC1-0
DABromley1-1
LAStevenage0-1
LAGillingham0-1
Match facts
Stadium
Ashton Gate
City
Bristol
Kickoff
15 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Bristol City
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Millwall
1
S. Tickle
6.4
19
G. Tanner
6.4
16
R. Dickie
7.4
5
R. Atkinson
6.3
21
R. Cardines
6.7
↑ 56'
12
J. Knight
6.7
4
A. Randell
5.5
8
J. Williams
7.2
↑ 46'
17
J. Wallace
6.6
↑ 64'
18
E. R. Jacobsen
6.3
↑ 64'
11
S. Bell
6.3
↑ 64'
1
L. Jensen
6.7
18
R. Leonard
7.5
6
C. Taylor
7.4
5
J. Cooper
7.6
16
D. Kelly
6.8
↑ 82'
25
L. Cundle
6.9
↑ 64'
24
C. De Norre
7.4
10
C. Neghli
6.6
22
K. Lisbie
7.0
↑ 29'
13
L. Dykes
6.1
↑ 83'
17
M. Sykes
6.5
↑ 64'
Substitutes
40GB. Collins
2DL. N. Eissat↓ 56'6.2
38DN. Eile
20MS. Greenwood↓ 64'6.5
27MG. Yah
7FY. Hirakawa↓ 46'6.7
9FL. Tolaj↓ 64'6.4
23FD. Ballard↓ 64'6.3
10FS. Twine
Coach: Michael Skubala
Top stats
34%Possession66%
0.52Expected goals (xG)3.4
8Total shots24
0Shots on target3
0Big chances5
6Corners6
Shots
6Shots off target10
2Blocked shots11
2Shots inside box18
6Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork2
0Big chances scored2
0Big chances missed3
0.3Goals prevented0.0
Attack
8Touches in box42
73Final third entries59
1Offsides3
12Free kicks8
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
263Passes513
156Accurate passes424
9/67 (13%)Long balls39/67 (58%)
0/14 (0%)Crosses13/36 (36%)
21Throw-ins23
Duels
48Duels52
28/55 (51%)Ground duels27/55 (49%)
21/48 (44%)Aerial duels27/48 (56%)
4/10 (40%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)
9Dispossessed9
Defending
14Tackles15
57Tackles won53
5Interceptions6
43Clearances39
40Recoveries47
Discipline
8Fouls12
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves0
11Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 71 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 60% · 1.66 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.35 @ Betsson
1X2Draw 29% · 2.58 @ efbet.net
1X2Millwall to win 35% · 3.11 @ efbet.net
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 1.79 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.96 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.36 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 1.33 @ betfair
Who winsBristol City to win (DNB) 51% · 1.85 @ merkurxtip
1X2Bristol City to win 36% · 2.99 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 51% · 1.88 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.54
Bristol City ▼
3.32
Draw
2.71
Millwall ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Bristol City or Draw
1.32
Bristol City or Millwall
1.49
Draw or Millwall
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.70
Yes
2.05
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.22
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50
3.44
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.92
Over 2.50 ▼
1.84
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.28
Over 3.50 ▼
1.30
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.40
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.81
Bristol City ▼
1.93
Millwall ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50
10.48
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50
7.45
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.16
Over 7.50
4.62
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.32
Over 8.50
3.09
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.55
Over 9.50 ▼
2.29
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.91
Over 10.50
1.79
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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