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Mark Robins
Stoke City
Swansea City
Stoke City
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Swansea City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
128326 EUR · live
Away
1.06 · implied 94.3%
47.9%
-46.4 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
33.7%
+33.5 vs price
Draw
20.0 · implied 5.0%
18.5%
+13.5 vs price
Half time
920 EUR · live
Home
4.4 · implied 22.7%
42.4%
+19.7 vs price
Away
5.9 · implied 16.9%
37.1%
+20.1 vs price
Draw
2.3 · implied 43.5%
20.3%
-23.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
30063 EUR · live
Over
1.73 · implied 57.8%
75.0%
+17.1 vs price
Under
2.3 · implied 43.5%
25.1%
-18.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
135 EUR
Over
10.5 · implied 9.5%
89.8%
+80.3 vs price
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
9.7%
-80.4 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
10'
⚽
E. Bocat · assist T. Rigo1–0
22'
⚽
J. Opoku · assist Ž. Vipotnik1–1
36'
L. Graham · Foul
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
M. Talovierov ◂ B. Lawal
53'
F. Lissah · Foul
55'
🔁
J. Key ◂ F. Lissah
65'
🔁
M. Widell ◂ E. Just
65'
🔁
A. Idah ◂ Ž. Vipotnik
65'
🔁
J. Eom ◂ M. K. Yeo
66'
⚽
A. Idah · assist J. Tymon1–2
70'
🔁
D. Soumaré ◂ S. Ingelsson
70'
🔁
B. Jun-Ho ◂ T. Rigo
70'
🔁
R. Boženík ◂ S. Gallagher
84'
🔁
L. Walta ◂ J. Fulton
86'
M. Widell · Foul
Full-time · 1–2
90'+1
J. Tymon · Foul
Coaches
Mark RobinsVitor Matos 
Recent form
Stoke CityWHOldham Athletic2-0
DHValencia1-1
WHEverton1-0
WAChester FC1-0
DACrewe Alexandra1-1
Swansea CityLHBirmingham City0-1
WHLeganés1-0
LAMerthyr Town0-3
WHUdinese2-0
LAVfL Bochum 18480-2
Match facts
Stadium
bet365 Stadium
City
Stoke
Kickoff
15 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Stoke City
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Swansea City
1
V. Johansson
6.6
16
B. Wilmot
6.4
40
M. Talovierov
6.4
↑ 46'
5
L. Graham
6.2
17
E. Bocat
7.0
8
E. Galbraith
6.5
27
D. Soumaré
6.9
↑ 70'
42
M. Manhoef
6.5
10
B. Jun-Ho
6.3
↑ 70'
7
S. Thomas
6.8
9
R. Boženík
6.2
↑ 70'
22
L. Vigouroux
6.9
2
J. Key
6.9
↑ 55'
5
B. Cabango
6.9
23
S. Welsh
6.7
14
J. Tymon
7.2
21
L. Walta
6.7
↑ 84'
30
J. Opoku
7.8
7
M. Widell
6.6
↑ 65'
6
M. Stamenić
6.7
10
J. Eom
6.4
↑ 65'
33
A. Idah
7.4
↑ 65'
Substitutes
24GJ. Griffiths
18DB. Lawal↓ 46'6.4
23DB. Gibson
43DF. Anderson
6MS. Ingelsson↓ 70'6.5
19MT. Rigo↓ 70'6.4
4MB. Pearson
20FS. Gallagher↓ 70'6.1
58FT. Martin
Coach: Mark Robins
Substitutes
1GA. Fisher
26DF. Lissah↓ 55'6.3
50DC. Heywood
20DT. Parente
4MJ. Fulton↓ 84'6.8
8ME. Just↓ 65'6.6
49MM. K. Yeo↓ 65'6.6
35MRonald
9FŽ. Vipotnik↓ 65'6.7
Coach: Vitor Matos
Top stats
41%Possession59%
0.69Expected goals (xG)0.61
6Total shots7
2Shots on target3
0Big chances2
4Corners5
Shots
4Shots off target3
0Blocked shots1
6Shots inside box5
0Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored2
-0.67Goals prevented0.0
Attack
13Touches in box16
46Final third entries79
1Offsides1
9Free kicks14
0Fouled in final third1
Passing
277Passes424
198Accurate passes318
21/55 (38%)Long balls18/70 (26%)
4/22 (18%)Crosses6/18 (33%)
30Throw-ins32
Duels
38Duels62
25/64 (39%)Ground duels39/64 (61%)
13/36 (36%)Aerial duels23/36 (64%)
5/17 (29%)Dribbles3/9 (33%)
10Dispossessed5
Defending
11Tackles22
64Tackles won64
11Interceptions5
32Clearances35
43Recoveries46
Discipline
14Fouls9
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
1Saves1
9Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 73 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.88 @ betinasia
1X2Draw 29% · 2.55 @ fonbet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.04 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.82 @ betcity
1X2Swansea to win 30% · 3.41 @ efbet.net
Who winsStoke to win (DNB) 57% · 1.71 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Stoke to win 40% · 2.80 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 1.38 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.80 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.34
Stoke City
3.25
Draw
3.03
Swansea City
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
Stoke City or Draw
1.32
Stoke City or Swansea City
1.57
Draw or Swansea City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.76
Yes
1.98
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50 ▼
8.67
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.24
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.01
Over 2.50
1.76
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.51
Over 3.50 ▼
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.80
Over 4.50 ▼
1.11
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.66
Stoke City
2.14
Swansea City
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
13.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
11.80
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.09
Over 6.50
5.96
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
4.13
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.38
Over 8.50
2.82
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.66
Over 9.50
2.11
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.05
Over 10.50 ▼
1.69
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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