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Brian Barry-Murphy
Cardiff City
Wrexham
Cardiff City
4-1-4-1 · 3-5-2
Wrexham
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
951312 EUR · live
Away
200.0 · implied 0.5%
68.9%
+68.4 vs price
Home
430.0 · implied 0.2%
16.2%
+15.9 vs price
Draw
1.01 · implied 99.0%
15.0%
-84.0 vs price
Half time
5768 EUR · live
Away
1.33 · implied 75.2%
76.3%
+1.1 vs price
Draw
4.8 · implied 20.8%
15.1%
-5.7 vs price
Home
25.0 · implied 4.0%
8.6%
+4.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
281845 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
53.7%
-45.3 vs price
Over
100.0 · implied 1.0%
46.3%
+45.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
6453 EUR · live
Under
1.17 · implied 85.5%
70.8%
-14.7 vs price
Over
6.4 · implied 15.6%
29.2%
+13.6 vs price
18 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
3'
⚽
K. Moore · assist D. Imray0–1
33'
K. Moore · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
54'
D. Hyam · Foul
62'
🔁
R. Colwill ◂ O. Tanner
63'
🔁
J. Colwill ◂ C. Willock
67'
🔁
B. Whiteman ◂ O. Rathbone
72'
🔁
D. Keillor-Dunn ◂ N. Broadhead
72'
🔁
S. Smith ◂ K. Moore
75'
🔁
R. Longman ◂ D. Imray
75'
🔁
G. Dobson ◂ M. James
80'
🔁
I. Davies ◂ C. Ashford
80'
🔁
R. Kpakio ◂ C. Scanlon
80'
🔁
C. Robinson ◂ A. Robertson
Full-time · 1–1
90'
B. Barry-Murphy · Other reason
90'+8
⚽
R. Colwill1–1
90'+9
R. Colwill
Coaches
Phil Parkinson 
Recent form
WHSwindon Town3-2
WHAS Roma4-1
WAForest Green Rovers5-1
WACork City6-1
LHFC Midtjylland0-6
LAMiddlesbrough0-1
LASunderland0-1
LALiverpool FC0-1
WALeeds United3-2
WAManchester United1-0
Where to watch
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Disney+ESPN 4
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Arena Sport 2 HR
Sky Sports FootballSky Sports Main Event
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ESPN 5 Sur
Sport TV4
ESPN 5 Sur
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ESPN 5 Sur
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ESPN Africa
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DStv NowESPN Africa
Match facts
Stadium
Cardiff City Stadium
City
Cardiff
Kickoff
17 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
1
N. Trott
8.5
38
P. Ng
7.2
4
G. Osho
7.1
3
J. Bagan
7.4
44
R. Kpakio
6.5
↑ 80'
47
C. Robinson
6.7
↑ 80'
10
R. Colwill
7.7
↑ 62'
8
J. Moylan
6.6
39
I. Davies
6.5
↑ 80'
27
J. Colwill
7.1
↑ 63'
9
Y. Salech
6.6
22
A. Patterson
7.7
26
Z. Vyner
6.9
5
D. Hyam
6.6
2
C. Doyle
7.6
47
R. Longman
6.5
↑ 75'
8
B. Whiteman
6.6
↑ 67'
15
G. Dobson
6.5
↑ 75'
27
L. O'Brien
7.2
14
G. Thomason
7.0
28
S. Smith
6.6
↑ 72'
7
D. Keillor-Dunn
6.8
↑ 72'
Substitutes
30GH. Tyrer
23DC. Scanlon↓ 80'6.7
40DN. Anyadike
45MC. Ashford↓ 80'7.2
18MA. Robertson↓ 80'7.1
16MC. Willock↓ 63'6.9
11MO. Tanner↓ 62'6.8
33MR. Tankiewicz
14MD. Turnbull
Coach: Brian Barry-Murphy
Substitutes
21GD. Ward
30DD. Imray↓ 75'6.9
24DD. Scarr
4DM. Cleworth
37MM. James↓ 75'6.7
19FK. Moore↓ 72'7.5
33FN. Broadhead↓ 72'6.7
20FO. Rathbone↓ 67'6.3
11FB. Cadamarteri
Coach: Phil Parkinson
Top stats
67%Possession33%
0.9Expected goals (xG)1.55
11Total shots18
3Shots on target8
1Big chances2
9Corners9
Shots
6Shots off target7
2Blocked shots3
7Shots inside box12
4Shots outside box6
1Hit woodwork2
1Big chances missed2
0.81Goals prevented0.12
Attack
28Touches in box26
83Final third entries44
3Offsides1
13Free kicks9
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
542Passes259
482Accurate passes204
24/42 (57%)Long balls29/51 (57%)
7/36 (19%)Crosses1/21 (5%)
19Throw-ins8
Duels
50Duels50
35/69 (51%)Ground duels34/69 (49%)
16/33 (48%)Aerial duels17/33 (52%)
9/23 (39%)Dribbles5/11 (45%)
6Dispossessed8
Defending
14Tackles20
64Tackles won50
4Interceptions7
25Clearances40
44Recoveries51
Discipline
9Fouls13
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
7Saves2
2Big saves0
8Goal kicks6
3Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 72 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.70 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.45 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 1.61 @ William Hill
1X2Wrexham to win 35% · 3.00 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 1.77 @ bovada
1X2Draw 27% · 2.74 @ efbet.net
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.25 @ Betano
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.02 @ Bet365
Who winsCardiff to win (DNB) 51% · 1.87 @ merkurxtip
1X2Cardiff to win 37% · 2.90 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.70 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.47
Cardiff City ▲
3.48
Draw ▼
2.69
Wrexham ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Cardiff City or Draw ▼
1.29
Cardiff City or Wrexham ▼
1.52
Draw or Wrexham ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.55
Yes ▼
2.33
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.84
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50 ▼
4.19
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.68
Over 2.50 ▼
2.13
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.67
Over 3.50 ▼
1.43
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.20
Over 4.50
1.16
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.81
Cardiff City ▲
1.92
Wrexham ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
13.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
9.30
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50
6.00
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
4.01
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.39
Over 8.50
2.74
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.65
Over 9.50
2.08
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.06
Over 10.50
1.67
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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