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Chris Davies
Birmingham City
Bristol City
Birmingham City
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Bristol City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
319674 EUR · live
Home
300.0 · implied 0.3%
41.5%
+41.2 vs price
Away
1.11 · implied 90.1%
37.1%
-53.0 vs price
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
21.4%
-74.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
56267 EUR · live
Under
1.4 · implied 71.4%
60.1%
-11.3 vs price
Over
3.5 · implied 28.6%
39.9%
+11.3 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
32'
B. Osayi-Samuel · Off the ball foul
33'
⚽
S. Twine0–1
42'
⚽
S. Tickle1–1
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
E. Laird ◂ B. Osayi-Samuel
62'
🔁
D. Gray ◂ C. Vicente
62'
🔁
P. Roberts ◂ S. Paik
65'
🔁
T. Horvat ◂ J. Wallace
65'
🔁
D. Ballard ◂ L. Tolaj
71'
🔁
S. Greenwood ◂ S. Twine
71'
🔁
G. Yah ◂ J. Williams
78'
P. Roberts · Foul
79'
🔁
L. Vázquez ◂ A. Priske
84'
🔁
M. Ducksch ◂ J. Stansfield
85'
⚽
D. Ballard · assist R. Cardines1–2
Full-time · 2–2
90'+1
🔁
R. Atkinson ◂ Y. Hirakawa
90'+5
⚽
D. Gray (pen)2–2
90'+6
J. Knight · Argument
Coaches
Michael Skubala 
Recent form
DASheffield United0-0
WASwansea City1-0
DHFC Barcelona2-2
WACrewe Alexandra2-1
WANorthampton Town2-0
LHMillwall0-2
LHWalsall0-1
DAExeter City1-1
DAPlymouth Argyle0-0
WHNewcastle United4-1
Where to watch
Betano
Viaplay
V Sport Football
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
TV2 PlayViaplay
V Sport FootballViaplay
Paramount+
Match facts
Stadium
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
City
Birmingham
Kickoff
22 Aug, 11:30 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
1
J. Beadle
7.7
2
E. Laird
6.4
↑ 46'
5
P. Neumann
7.2
4
C. Klarer
6.5
20
A. Cochrane
6.7
24
T. Iwata
6.8
14
J. Solís
6.6
16
P. Roberts
6.3
↑ 62'
10
D. Gray
7.5
↑ 62'
33
M. Ducksch
6.5
↑ 84'
32
L. Vázquez
6.5
↑ 79'
1
S. Tickle
6.2
19
G. Tanner
6.6
16
R. Dickie
6.9
2
L. N. Eissat
6.5
21
R. Cardines
7.2
12
J. Knight
6.9
27
G. Yah
6.4
↑ 71'
14
T. Horvat
6.7
↑ 65'
20
S. Greenwood
6.3
↑ 71'
5
R. Atkinson
↑ 90'
23
D. Ballard
7.4
↑ 65'
Substitutes
21GR. Allsop
26DB. Osayi-Samuel↓ 46'6.0
25DK. Lund
23DD. Fry
8MS. Paik↓ 62'6.4
28MJ. Stansfield↓ 84'6.4
7MC. Vicente↓ 62'6.1
27MK. Fujimoto
9FA. Priske↓ 79'6.4
Coach: Chris Davies
Substitutes
40GB. Collins
38DN. Eile
17MJ. Wallace↓ 65'6.6
8MJ. Williams↓ 71'6.5
10FS. Twine↓ 71'7.8
7FY. Hirakawa↓ 90'6.9
9FL. Tolaj↓ 65'5.9
11FS. Bell
18FE. R. Jacobsen
Coach: Michael Skubala
Top stats
65%Possession35%
1.98Expected goals (xG)1.43
8Total shots14
2Shots on target6
3Big chances4
7Corners3
Shots
5Shots off target6
1Blocked shots2
6Shots inside box12
2Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed3
0.8Goals prevented-0.75
Attack
17Touches in box26
89Final third entries61
2Offsides1
11Free kicks13
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
468Passes257
355Accurate passes163
22/75 (29%)Long balls19/67 (28%)
6/23 (26%)Crosses5/13 (38%)
30Throw-ins19
Duels
46Duels54
25/54 (46%)Ground duels29/54 (54%)
23/51 (45%)Aerial duels28/51 (55%)
7/13 (54%)Dribbles4/6 (67%)
6Dispossessed5
Defending
7Tackles12
43Tackles won50
5Interceptions14
16Clearances53
45Recoveries44
Discipline
13Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
1Big saves0
10Goal kicks9
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 75 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.63 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.35 @ Interwetten
Who winsBirmingham to win (DNB) 70% · 1.43 @ forbet
1X2Birmingham to win 53% · 2.20 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.22 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.40 @ Betano
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.38 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.65 @ fonbet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.10 @ William Hill
1X2Bristol City to win 20% · 4.44 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 1.91 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.79
Birmingham City ▲
3.66
Draw ▲
4.23
Bristol City ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.21
Birmingham City or Draw ▲
1.26
Birmingham City or Bristol City ▲
1.95
Draw or Bristol City ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.72
Yes ▲
2.02
No ▲
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.65
YES
1.42
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.50
YES
1.17
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.33
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.62
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.24
Over 1.50
3.71
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.79
Over 2.50 ▲
1.96
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.93
Over 3.50 ▲
1.36
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.49
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.33
Birmingham City
3.06
Bristol City
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.00
Over 4.50
14.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50
10.25
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50
6.80
Under 6.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Birmingham City to win or draw
✓
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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