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Alex Neil
Millwall
Norwich City
Millwall
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Norwich City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
268954 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
62.0%
-37.1 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
29.9%
+29.8 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
8.1%
+8.0 vs price
Half time
3400 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
70.9%
-28.1 vs price
Away
25.0 · implied 4.0%
21.0%
+17.0 vs price
Draw
12.0 · implied 8.3%
8.0%
-0.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
65292 EUR · live
Under
1.59 · implied 62.9%
61.0%
-1.9 vs price
Over
2.7 · implied 37.0%
39.0%
+2.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
610 EUR
Under
1.15 · implied 87.0%
89.5%
+2.6 vs price
Over
8.0 · implied 12.5%
10.3%
-2.2 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
18'
⚽
T. Arconte1–0
25'
J. Córdoba · Foul
37'
H. Darling · Foul
40'
J. Metcalfe · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
58'
⚽
T. Arconte · assist J. Cooper2–0
60'
🔁
P. Diallo ◂ A. B. Slimane
60'
🔁
P. Mattsson ◂ S. Field
60'
🔁
J. Stacey ◂ K. Fisher
64'
J. Córdoba · Foul
65'
🔁
R. McConville ◂ O. Schwartau
71'
🔁
Z. Lovelace ◂ T. Arconte
73'
🔁
A. Musaba ◂ A. Brooks
77'
🔁
D. Kelly ◂ J. Metcalfe
78'
🔁
L. Dykes ◂ J. Coburn
78'
🔁
L. Cundle ◂ K. Lisbie
84'
⚽
L. Cundle · assist C. Neghli3–0
86'
🔁
J. Osei-Tutu ◂ C. De Norre
Full-time · 3–0
Coaches
Alex NeilPhilippe Clement 
Recent form
MillwallWABristol City2-0
DAQueens Park Rangers1-1
WHRoyal Antwerp FC1-0
DABromley1-1
LAStevenage0-1
Norwich CityLHWest Bromwich Albion1-2
WHMilton Keynes Dons4-1
DHCambridge United0-0
LHOsasuna1-2
WAFulham2-0
Where to watch
Betano
TV3 SportViaplay
TV3 Sport
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
TV3 Sport
TV3 Sport
TV2 PlayViaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
The Den
City
London
Kickoff
22 Aug, 11:30 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Millwall
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Norwich City
1
L. Jensen
7.4
17
M. Sykes
8.1
6
C. Taylor
7.1
5
J. Cooper
7.4
3
Z. Sturge
7.5
10
C. Neghli
8.1
2
J. Osei-Tutu
6.6
↑ 86'
16
D. Kelly
6.8
↑ 77'
29
Z. Lovelace
6.5
↑ 71'
25
L. Cundle
7.5
↑ 78'
13
L. Dykes
6.4
↑ 78'
1
V. Kovačević
6.3
3
J. Stacey
6.4
↑ 60'
6
H. Darling
6.7
33
J. Córdoba
6.4
14
B. Chrisene
6.0
23
K. McLean
6.6
19
P. Diallo
6.8
↑ 60'
49
A. Musaba
6.4
↑ 73'
7
P. Mattsson
6.6
↑ 60'
15
R. McConville
6.7
↑ 65'
21
M. Touré
6.6
Substitutes
15GM. Crocombe
23DD. Batth
12DE. Baggott
24MC. De Norre↓ 86'7.3
14MJ. Metcalfe↓ 77'7.0
22MK. Lisbie↓ 78'6.7
31MR. Bangura-Williams
7FT. Arconte↓ 71'8.4
19FJ. Coburn↓ 78'6.8
Coach: Alex Neil
Substitutes
32GD. Grimshaw
35DK. Fisher↓ 60'5.8
13DD. Yongwa
26MS. Field↓ 60'6.9
20MA. B. Slimane↓ 60'6.5
29MO. Schwartau↓ 65'6.4
11MA. Brooks↓ 73'6.4
16MJ. Wright
30FM. Kvistgaarden
Coach: Philippe Clement
Top stats
52%Possession48%
2.69Expected goals (xG)1.02
19Total shots8
7Shots on target2
5Big chances1
8Corners3
Shots
6Shots off target4
6Blocked shots2
15Shots inside box4
4Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed1
0.38Goals prevented-0.13
Attack
37Touches in box15
58Final third entries37
9Offsides0
8Free kicks14
4Fouled in final third1
Passing
348Passes329
266Accurate passes240
23/51 (45%)Long balls12/53 (23%)
6/23 (26%)Crosses1/11 (9%)
18Throw-ins25
Duels
48Duels52
28/62 (45%)Ground duels34/62 (55%)
14/26 (54%)Aerial duels12/26 (46%)
4/10 (40%)Dribbles3/7 (43%)
11Dispossessed12
Defending
16Tackles17
56Tackles won65
8Interceptions6
17Clearances39
52Recoveries34
Discipline
14Fouls8
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
1Big saves0
9Goal kicks12
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 74 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 61% · 1.63 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 71% · 1.33 @ Interwetten
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.17 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.55 @ fanatics
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.06 @ Novibet
Who winsMillwall to win (DNB) 59% · 1.65 @ merkurxtip
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.40 @ Bet365
1X2Millwall to win 44% · 2.62 @ merkurxtip
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.15 @ 888Sport
1X2Norwich to win 29% · 3.50 @ hardrock
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 50% · 1.93 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.20
Millwall ▲
3.39
Draw ▼
3.14
Norwich City ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.34
Millwall or Draw ▲
1.30
Millwall or Norwich City ▲
1.64
Draw or Norwich City ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.73
Yes ▲
2.01
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.90
YES
1.36
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.75
YES
1.22
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.85
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50 ▲
3.40
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.92
Over 2.50 ▲
1.83
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.25
Over 3.50 ▲
1.30
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.33
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.56
Millwall
2.29
Norwich City
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.00
Over 4.50
14.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50
10.75
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50
7.20
Under 6.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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