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Tony Mowbray
Blackburn Rovers
Middlesbrough
Blackburn Rovers
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Middlesbrough
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Half time
973 EUR · live
Away
1.22 · implied 82.0%
79.2%
-2.8 vs price
Home
44.0 · implied 2.3%
10.6%
+8.3 vs price
Draw
5.8 · implied 17.2%
10.1%
-7.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
38490 EUR · live
Over
1.35 · implied 74.1%
75.5%
+1.4 vs price
Under
3.85 · implied 26.0%
24.5%
-1.5 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
12'
⚽
J. Sarmiento · assist M. Whittaker0–1
24'
O. Afolayan · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
45'+2
S. McLoughlin · Foul
49'
⚽
A. Guðjohnsen · assist H. Pickering1–1
55'
⚽
T. Cantwell2–1
58'
S. Morsy · Foul
60'
🔁
R. McGree ◂ M. Peart-Harris
60'
🔁
K. Joseph ◂ J. Sarmiento
61'
🔁
M. Jørgensen ◂ R. Morishita
61'
🔁
J. Fevrier ◂ O. Afolayan
69'
🔁
Y. Ohashi ◂ A. Guðjohnsen
69'
🔁
A. Forshaw ◂ S. Morsy
76'
T. Cantwell · Foul
77'
🔁
N. Borges ◂ M. Arfsten
77'
🔁
L. Castledine ◂ S. Berhalter
80'
🔁
H. Carter ◂ T. Cantwell
Full-time · 2–1
90'
W. Lankshear · Foul
Coaches
Tony MowbrayKim Hellberg 
Recent form
Blackburn RoversDAWolverhampton2-2
WABurton Albion2-1
DAHuddersfield Town1-1
WARC Strasbourg2-0
LANottingham Forest0-3
MiddlesbroughWHLincoln City2-1
WHWrexham1-0
DHEspanyol3-3
LHHuddersfield Town1-3
DACeltic1-1
Where to watch
Viaplay
Viaplay
TV2 PlayViaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
Ewood Park
City
Blackburn
Kickoff
22 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Blackburn Rovers
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Middlesbrough
22
B. Tóth
8.2
2
R. Alebiousu
6.7
6
T. Atcheson
6.9
15
S. McLoughlin
6.7
3
H. Pickering
7.3
28
A. Forshaw
6.7
↑ 69'
31
K. Montgomery
6.9
11
J. Fevrier
6.6
↑ 61'
17
H. Carter
6.3
↑ 80'
29
M. Jørgensen
6.5
↑ 61'
23
Y. Ohashi
6.6
↑ 69'
1
R. Vítek
6.6
2
C. Brittain
6.3
12
L. Ayling
8.1
29
A. Malanda
6.5
30
N. Borges
6.7
↑ 77'
19
L. Castledine
6.4
↑ 77'
8
R. McGree
6.2
↑ 60'
10
A. Morris
7.3
22
K. Joseph
6.5
↑ 60'
11
M. Whittaker
7.2
7
W. Lankshear
6.2
Substitutes
1GA. Pears
4DY. Ribeiro
10MT. Cantwell↓ 80'7.7
8MS. Morsy↓ 69'6.7
25MR. Morishita↓ 61'6.5
5MS. Tavares
30MJ. Garrett
9FA. Guðjohnsen↓ 69'7.7
21FO. Afolayan↓ 61'6.4
Coach: Tony Mowbray
Substitutes
31GS. Brynn
5DA. Jones
16MJ. Sarmiento↓ 60'7.6
14MM. Peart-Harris↓ 60'7.2
6MS. Berhalter↓ 77'7.0
17MM. Arfsten↓ 77'6.5
42MA. Kanté
46MF. Cartwright
44FC. Ibeh
Coach: Kim Hellberg
Top stats
29%Possession71%
0.91Expected goals (xG)1.43
6Total shots22
5Shots on target3
3Big chances2
2Corners10
Shots
1Shots off target7
1Blocked shots12
5Shots inside box13
1Shots outside box9
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed1
0.89Goals prevented-0.76
Attack
15Touches in box36
39Final third entries80
3Offsides3
10Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
272Passes647
202Accurate passes584
29/68 (43%)Long balls15/27 (56%)
2/10 (20%)Crosses8/40 (20%)
15Throw-ins16
Duels
42Duels58
28/62 (45%)Ground duels34/62 (55%)
10/28 (36%)Aerial duels18/28 (64%)
6/16 (38%)Dribbles10/14 (71%)
4Dispossessed9
Defending
13Tackles14
69Tackles won71
9Interceptions4
43Clearances15
42Recoveries47
Discipline
10Fouls10
4Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
2Big saves0
12Goal kicks2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 75 bookmakers
Who winsMiddlesbrough to win (DNB) 62% · 1.58 @ forbet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.40 @ Interwetten
1X2Middlesbrough to win 41% · 2.60 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.17 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.05 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ hardrock
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 3.40 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.20 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.77 @ 10bet
1X2Blackburn to win 30% · 3.80 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.41
Blackburn Rovers ▼
3.33
Draw ▼
2.10
Middlesbrough ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.69
Blackburn Rovers or Draw ▲
1.30
Blackburn Rovers or Middlesbrough ▼
1.29
Draw or Middlesbrough ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.77
Yes ▼
1.94
No ▲
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.70
YES
1.22
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.75
YES
1.40
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.62
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.10
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50 ▼
3.23
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.98
Over 2.50 ▼
1.77
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.42
Over 3.50 ▲
1.28
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.72
Over 4.50
1.09
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.40
Blackburn Rovers ▲
1.50
Middlesbrough ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.00
Over 4.50
14.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
9.90
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.09
Over 6.50
6.50
Under 6.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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