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Tonda Eckert
Southampton
Stoke City
Southampton
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Stoke City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
236484 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
72.1%
-26.9 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
14.9%
+14.8 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
13.0%
+12.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
23318 EUR · live
Over
4.3 · implied 23.3%
56.3%
+33.0 vs price
Under
1.3 · implied 76.9%
43.7%
-33.2 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
8'
⚽
C. Larin · assist F. Downes1–0
19'
J. Bree · Foul
26'
⚽
E. Galbraith · assist S. Gallagher1–1
38'
S. Gallagher · Foul
Half-time · 1–1
50'
F. Downes · Foul
53'
R. Manning · Foul
62'
🔁
R. Boženík ◂ G. Hirst
62'
E. Galbraith · Foul
70'
🔁
S. Ingelsson ◂ S. Gallagher
78'
🔁
L. Dobbin ◂ L. Scienza
78'
🔁
D. Mubama ◂ C. Larin
81'
🔁
M. Talovierov ◂ E. Bocat
81'
🔁
T. Rigo ◂ D. Soumaré
82'
M. Talovierov · Foul
86'
S. Ingelsson · Argument
89'
⚽
D. Mubama · assist F. Azaz2–1
Full-time · 3–1
90'
🔁
S. Edozie ◂ T. Fellows
90'+3
S. Ingelsson · Foul
90'+4
⚽
R. Manning (pen)3–1
90'+5
🔁
C. Bragg ◂ K. Matsuki
90'+5
🔁
R. Akachukwu ◂ F. Azaz
Coaches
Tonda EckertMark Robins 
Recent form
SouthamptonLAWatford1-2
WAColchester United2-0
WAPreußen Münster2-1
LASC Paderborn 071-2
WAEintracht Braunschweig1-0
Stoke CityLHSwansea City1-2
WHOldham Athletic2-0
DHValencia1-1
WHEverton1-0
WAChester FC1-0
Where to watch
Viaplay
Viaplay
TV2 PlayViaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
St. Mary's Stadium
City
Southampton
Referee
Kickoff
22 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Southampton
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Stoke City
1
D. Peretz
5.9
14
J. Bree
6.6
15
N. Wood
7.2
5
J. Stephens
7.2
3
R. Manning
7.6
4
F. Downes
6.9
26
C. Bragg
↑ 90'
29
R. Akachukwu
↑ 90'
23
S. Edozie
↑ 90'
11
L. Dobbin
6.5
↑ 78'
28
D. Mubama
7.5
↑ 78'
1
V. Johansson
6.1
2
B. Johnson
5.9
16
B. Wilmot
6.3
23
B. Gibson
6.7
40
M. Talovierov
6.0
↑ 81'
19
T. Rigo
6.3
↑ 81'
8
E. Galbraith
7.1
6
S. Ingelsson
4.8
↑ 70'
10
B. Jun-Ho
7.3
7
S. Thomas
6.6
9
R. Boženík
6.4
↑ 62'
Substitutes
25GG. Long
17DJ. Quarshie
34DWelington
10MF. Azaz↓ 90'7.2
18MT. Fellows↓ 90'7.1
7ML. Scienza↓ 78'7.0
27MK. Matsuki↓ 90'6.6
9FC. Larin↓ 78'7.7
19FC. Archer
Coach: Tonda Eckert
Substitutes
24GJ. Griffiths
17DE. Bocat↓ 81'6.9
5DL. Graham
52DL. Giani
27MD. Soumaré↓ 81'6.6
42MM. Manhoef
4MB. Pearson
20FS. Gallagher↓ 70'6.7
15FG. Hirst↓ 62'6.4
Coach: Mark Robins
Top stats
58%Possession42%
2.32Expected goals (xG)0.93
18Total shots15
5Shots on target2
3Big chances1
4Corners2
Shots
6Shots off target6
7Blocked shots7
11Shots inside box12
7Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored1
-0.67Goals prevented-0.81
Attack
28Touches in box17
64Final third entries41
2Offsides2
20Free kicks10
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
474Passes329
410Accurate passes265
20/50 (40%)Long balls15/46 (33%)
3/15 (20%)Crosses6/24 (25%)
22Throw-ins8
Duels
52Duels48
40/64 (63%)Ground duels24/64 (38%)
9/30 (30%)Aerial duels21/30 (70%)
5/10 (50%)Dribbles3/9 (33%)
6Dispossessed8
Defending
14Tackles11
71Tackles won55
8Interceptions10
14Clearances22
38Recoveries45
Discipline
10Fouls21
3Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
0Big saves1
8Goal kicks12
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 73 bookmakers
Who winsSouthampton to win (DNB) 74% · 1.37 @ forbet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.57 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.30 @ Unibet
1X2Southampton to win 55% · 2.01 @ forbet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.25 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.52 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 25% · 2.85 @ forbet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 1.95 @ 888Sport
1X2Stoke to win 20% · 4.85 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.96 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.64
Southampton ▲
4.01
Draw ▲
4.78
Stoke City ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.17
Southampton or Draw
1.23
Southampton or Stoke City ▲
2.18
Draw or Stoke City ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.67
Yes ▲
2.09
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.55
YES
1.45
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
5.50
YES
1.11
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
9.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50
4.20
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.65
Over 2.50 ▼
2.16
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.60
Over 3.50 ▲
1.45
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.00
Over 4.50
1.16
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.26
Southampton
3.57
Stoke City
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50
4.80
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50
3.30
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.53
Over 9.50
2.39
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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