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Julien Stéphan
Queens Park Rangers
Cardiff City
Queens Park Rangers
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Cardiff City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
800718 EUR · live
Home
1.06 · implied 94.3%
84.2%
-10.2 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
9.5%
+9.4 vs price
Draw
21.0 · implied 4.8%
6.3%
+1.5 vs price
Half time
3292 EUR · live
Home
1.11 · implied 90.1%
68.0%
-22.1 vs price
Draw
10.5 · implied 9.5%
21.5%
+12.0 vs price
Away
80.0 · implied 1.2%
10.4%
+9.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
110117 EUR · live
Under
2.2 · implied 45.5%
62.2%
+16.8 vs price
Over
1.83 · implied 54.6%
37.8%
-16.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
8630 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
94.1%
-4.9 vs price
Over
100.0 · implied 1.0%
5.9%
+4.9 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
36'
⚽
R. Burrell1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
K. Bielik ◂ C. Scanlon
46'
🔁
C. Willock ◂ C. Ashford
47'
O. Tanner · Foul
53'
⚽
R. Burrell · assist R. Edwards2–0
71'
🔁
J. Varane ◂ N. Madsen
72'
🔁
D. Cirkin ◂ G. Kamara
72'
🔁
K. Adamson ◂ A. S. Mbengue
72'
🔁
J. Clarke-Salter ◂ T. Lamptey
74'
⚽
P. Ng · assist O. Tanner2–1
77'
P. Ng · Handball
80'
🔁
J. Colwill ◂ J. Moylan
81'
🔁
I. Chair ◂ A. Lloyd
89'
🔁
I. Davies ◂ O. Tanner
89'
🔁
C. Robinson ◂ A. Robertson
Full-time · 2–1
Coaches
Julien StéphanBrian Barry-Murphy 
Recent form
Queens Park RangersWABlackburn Rovers2-1
DHBolton Wanderers0-0
WAPortsmouth3-1
DHMillwall1-1
WAAFC Wimbledon3-2
Cardiff CityDHSheffield United2-2
LHNorwich City1-2
DADerby County2-2
DHWrexham1-1
WHSwindon Town3-2
Where to watch
Viaplay
V Sport Football
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
V Sport FootballViaplay
Match facts
Stadium
Loftus Road Stadium
City
London
Kickoff
02 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Queens Park Rangers
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Cardiff City
1
P. Charles
7.0
6
J. Clarke-Salter
6.4
↑ 72'
3
J. Dunne
7.0
5
R. Edwards
6.8
19
D. Cirkin
6.6
↑ 72'
20
H. Vale
7.0
2
K. Adamson
6.5
↑ 72'
40
J. Varane
6.8
↑ 71'
14
K. Saito
6.9
10
I. Chair
6.5
↑ 81'
16
R. Burrell
8.9
1
N. Trott
6.7
38
P. Ng
7.9
4
G. Osho
7.8
3
J. Bagan
7.1
5
K. Bielik
6.4
↑ 46'
39
I. Davies
↑ 89'
16
C. Willock
6.7
↑ 46'
47
C. Robinson
↑ 89'
10
R. Colwill
6.2
27
J. Colwill
6.4
↑ 80'
9
Y. Salech
6.1
Substitutes
13GC. Ward
48DT. Lamptey↓ 72'7.5
27DA. S. Mbengue↓ 72'6.9
24MN. Madsen↓ 71'7.1
18MG. Kamara↓ 72'7.0
11MP. Smyth
15FA. Lloyd↓ 81'7.2
22FR. Kone
25FJ. Obikwu
Coach: Julien Stéphan
Substitutes
30GH. Tyrer
23DC. Scanlon↓ 46'6.6
44DR. Kpakio
8MJ. Moylan↓ 80'7.0
18MA. Robertson↓ 89'6.7
45MC. Ashford↓ 46'6.3
11MO. Tanner↓ 89'6.3
33MR. Tankiewicz
14MD. Turnbull
Coach: Brian Barry-Murphy
Top stats
37%Possession63%
2.09Expected goals (xG)0.6
20Total shots9
4Shots on target3
4Big chances1
3Corners4
Shots
9Shots off target4
7Blocked shots2
17Shots inside box5
3Shots outside box4
1Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed1
-0.1Goals prevented-0.45
Attack
32Touches in box24
43Final third entries80
2Offsides0
12Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
342Passes583
270Accurate passes515
20/47 (43%)Long balls43/66 (65%)
3/10 (30%)Crosses8/32 (25%)
16Throw-ins13
Duels
53Duels47
32/58 (55%)Ground duels26/58 (45%)
9/20 (45%)Aerial duels11/20 (55%)
8/13 (62%)Dribbles4/11 (36%)
7Dispossessed6
Defending
13Tackles12
69Tackles won58
16Interceptions15
38Clearances19
55Recoveries49
Discipline
10Fouls12
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
1Big saves0
4Goal kicks10
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsCardiff to win (DNB) 52% · 3.00 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.29 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.65 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 3.45 @ 10bet
1X2QPR to win 48% · 2.20 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.80 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 25% · 2.88 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.60 @ Pinnacle
1X2Cardiff to win 27% · 3.76 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 2.06 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.83
Queens Park Rangers
3.98
Draw
3.83
Cardiff City
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Queens Park Rangers or Draw
1.21
Queens Park Rangers or Cardiff City
1.91
Draw or Cardiff City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.52
Yes
2.40
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.10
YES
1.33
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
5.00
YES
1.14
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.80
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.14
Over 1.50
5.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.54
Over 2.50
2.37
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.43
Over 3.50
1.56
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.20
Over 4.50
1.20
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.37
Queens Park Rangers
2.88
Cardiff City
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.12
Over 7.50
5.20
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.24
Over 8.50
3.42
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.48
Over 9.50
2.46
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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