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Mark Robins
Stoke City
Charlton Athletic
Stoke City
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
Charlton Athletic
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
88715 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
76.4%
-22.6 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
15.5%
+15.4 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
8.1%
+8.0 vs price
Half time
1340 EUR · live
Draw
5.7 · implied 17.5%
49.4%
+31.9 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
26.3%
+26.2 vs price
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
24.3%
-74.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
11039 EUR · live
Under
7.6 · implied 13.2%
63.4%
+50.2 vs price
Over
1.15 · implied 87.0%
36.6%
-50.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
330 EUR
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
84.0%
-6.9 vs price
Over
11.5 · implied 8.7%
15.8%
+7.1 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
15'
⚽
J. Devenny (pen)1–0
22'
⚽
E. Galbraith2–0
25'
⚽
G. Hirst · assist E. Bocat3–0
26'
🔁
D. McNamara ◂ T. Campbell
34'
🔁
R. Boženík ◂ S. Gallagher
40'
⚽
J. Devenny · assist E. Bocat4–0
Half-time · 4–0
45'+3
M. Leaburn · Foul
45'+5
E. Galbraith · Foul
46'
🔁
C. Coventry ◂ T. Ouma
48'
D. McNamara · Foul
50'
D. McNamara · Argument
57'
🔁
L. Cissé ◂ G. Hirst
58'
🔁
M. Talovierov ◂ B. Lawal
58'
🔁
J. McGlynn ◂ J. Devenny
62'
C. Coventry · Foul
72'
🔁
M. Alli ◂ J. Rankin-Costello
72'
🔁
M. Mbick ◂ M. Leaburn
79'
🔁
B. Pearson ◂ D. Soumaré
79'
🔁
R. Apter ◂ K. Grant
Full-time · 4–0
Coaches
Mark RobinsNathan Jones 
Recent form
Stoke CityWHNorwich City1-0
LAWolverhampton1-4
DHHull City1-1
LASouthampton1-3
LHSwansea City1-2
Charlton AthleticDAWest Bromwich Albion1-1
WHPreston North End1-0
LATottenham Hotspur1-5
WAWest Ham United2-1
WHDerby County2-1
Where to watch
Betano
Viaplay
V Sport Football
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
V Sport FootballViaplay
Match facts
Stadium
bet365 Stadium
City
Stoke
Kickoff
05 Sep, 11:30 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Stoke City
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
Charlton Athletic
1
V. Johansson
7.2
16
B. Wilmot
7.4
40
M. Talovierov
7.3
↑ 58'
5
L. Graham
7.3
2
B. Johnson
7.1
7
J. McGlynn
6.8
↑ 58'
4
B. Pearson
6.8
↑ 79'
8
E. Galbraith
7.6
17
E. Bocat
7.7
9
R. Boženík
6.6
↑ 34'
11
L. Cissé
6.6
↑ 57'
13
A. Okonkwo
6.3
18
I. Mesík
5.8
5
L. Jones
6.0
44
T. Bindon
5.9
17
A. Bell
6.2
6
C. Coventry
6.8
↑ 46'
34
O. Skipp
6.6
30
R. Apter
6.5
↑ 79'
19
M. Alli
6.9
↑ 72'
20
D. McNamara
4.2
↑ 26'
33
M. Mbick
6.3
↑ 72'
Substitutes
24GJ. Griffiths
18DB. Lawal↓ 58'6.7
21DL. Bombino
13MJ. Devenny↓ 58'8.1
27MD. Soumaré↓ 79'6.5
19MT. Rigo
10MB. Jun-Ho
15FG. Hirst↓ 57'7.1
20FS. Gallagher↓ 34'6.5
Coach: Mark Robins
Substitutes
21GT. Brooks
26MJ. Rankin-Costello↓ 72'6.4
9MK. Grant↓ 79'6.3
16MT. Ouma↓ 46'5.8
32MA. Nwamba
8MH. Knibbs
14MS. Carey
11FM. Leaburn↓ 72'7.0
7FT. Campbell↓ 26'6.6
Coach: Nathan Jones
Top stats
63%Possession37%
2.14Expected goals (xG)0.61
17Total shots13
8Shots on target3
2Big chances0
5Corners3
Shots
5Shots off target7
4Blocked shots3
10Shots inside box10
7Shots outside box3
2Big chances scored0
0.28Goals prevented-1.06
Attack
21Touches in box19
57Final third entries44
1Offsides3
12Free kicks20
4Fouled in final third4
Passing
501Passes288
429Accurate passes221
14/46 (30%)Long balls15/40 (38%)
5/23 (22%)Crosses7/22 (32%)
16Throw-ins16
Duels
46Duels54
34/68 (50%)Ground duels34/68 (50%)
9/26 (35%)Aerial duels17/26 (65%)
4/8 (50%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)
6Dispossessed12
Defending
17Tackles10
41Tackles won50
5Interceptions7
25Clearances29
38Recoveries39
Discipline
20Fouls13
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves4
8Goal kicks7
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.14 @ 10bet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.77 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.46 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.26 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 29% · 2.43 @ Unibet
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.28 @ 10bet
1X2Stoke to win 44% · 2.50 @ 10bet
1X2Charlton to win 27% · 3.84 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.34 @ 1xBet
Who winsStoke to win (DNB) 53% · 1.50 @ Bwin
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.67 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.11
Stoke City
3.24
Draw
3.50
Charlton Athletic
Double Chanceconsensus
1.28
Stoke City or Draw
1.31
Stoke City or Charlton Athletic
1.69
Draw or Charlton Athletic
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.91
Yes
1.80
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.60
YES
1.44
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.55
YES
1.25
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.47
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.38
Over 1.50
3.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.15
Over 2.50
1.67
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.90
Over 3.50
1.24
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.44
Stoke City
2.65
Charlton Athletic
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.76
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50
2.61
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.75
Over 9.50
2.00
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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