Burnley vs Bristol City — live & stats

Where the money is

234423 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 4 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 116792 EUR · live

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

50.1%

+50.0 vs price

Away 1.02 · implied 98.0%

38.1%

-60.0 vs price

Draw 50.0 · implied 2.0%

11.9%

+9.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 30992 EUR · live

Under 1.25 · implied 80.0%

69.8%

-10.2 vs price

Over 5.1 · implied 19.6%

30.2%

+10.6 vs price

8 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

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Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

Half-time · 0–0

45'⁺² H. Ekdal · Foul

46' 🔁 A. Ahmedhodžić ◂ H. Ekdal

46' 🔁 A. Broja ◂ A. Hountondji

56' ⚽ A. Ramsey · assist R. Hatate1–0

61' 🔁 D. Ballard ◂ G. Yah

61' 🔁 Y. Hirakawa ◂ J. Wallace

63' 🔁 Z. Amdouni ◂ R. Hatate

70' 🔁 J. Bruun Larsen ◂ L. Ramazani

72' 🔁 G. Tanner ◂ C. Pring

72' 🔁 S. Greenwood ◂ S. Twine

80' 🔁 E. Adebayo ◂ L. Tolaj

82' ⚽ R. Dickie · assist R. Cardines1–1

83' K. Walker · Foul

85' 🔁 H. Mejbri ◂ A. Ramsey

Full-time · 1–2

90'⁺¹ ⚽ Y. Hirakawa1–2

90'⁺⁴ A. Broja · Argument

Coaches

Nicky Hayen

Michael Skubala

Recent form

Burnley

DHMiddlesbrough1-1

LANorwich City1-4

DABradford City0-0

LAWest Bromwich Albion1-3

DHWest Ham United2-2

Bristol City

WAPreston North End3-1

WHPortsmouth2-1

DABirmingham City2-2

LHMillwall0-2

LHWalsall0-1

Where to watch

beIN Sports MAX 10

Match facts

Stadium

Turf Moor

City

Burnley

Referee

Gavin Ward

2.94 yellows/match · 33 matches

Kickoff

05 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Competition

Championship

Highlights & clips

Burnley 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Bristol City

1 M. Weiss 6.1 2 K. Walker 6.1 15 A. Ahmedhodžić 6.1 ↑ 46' 3 M. Alleyne 7.1 22 O. Sonne 6.2 8 U. Raghouber 7.4 29 J. Laurent 6.7 28 H. Mejbri 6.3 ↑ 85' 11 Z. Amdouni 6.7 ↑ 63' 7 J. Bruun Larsen 6.5 ↑ 70' 27 A. Broja 6.5 ↑ 46' 1 S. Tickle 6.5 21 R. Cardines 7.3 16 R. Dickie 8.1 2 L. N. Eissat 7.0 19 G. Tanner 7.0 ↑ 72' 12 J. Knight 6.6 8 J. Williams 7.1 7 Y. Hirakawa 7.5 ↑ 61' 23 D. Ballard 6.6 ↑ 61' 20 S. Greenwood 6.7 ↑ 72' 45 E. Adebayo 6.5 ↑ 80'

Substitutes

37GG. Coudert 18DH. Ekdal↓ 46'7.0 99DI. Júlio 14DC. Roberts 21MA. Ramsey↓ 85'7.7 5MR. Hatate↓ 63'6.6 19FL. Ramazani↓ 70'6.8 17FA. Hountondji↓ 46'6.3 30FL. Castell

Coach: Nicky Hayen

Substitutes

40GB. Collins 3DC. Pring↓ 72'6.6 38DN. Eile 17MJ. Wallace↓ 61'7.0 27MG. Yah↓ 61'6.7 4MA. Randell 14MT. Horvat 10FS. Twine↓ 72'6.5 9FL. Tolaj↓ 80'6.5

Coach: Michael Skubala

Top stats

53%Possession47%

0.26Expected goals (xG)1.06

8Total shots15

2Shots on target4

0Big chances3

5Corners8

Shots

3Shots off target8

3Blocked shots3

4Shots inside box10

4Shots outside box5

0Hit woodwork1

0Big chances missed3

-0.88Goals prevented-0.41

Attack

12Touches in box26

56Final third entries77

2Offsides2

7Free kicks13

1Fouled in final third2

Passing

469Passes422

392Accurate passes332

29/62 (47%)Long balls27/62 (44%)

0/16 (0%)Crosses4/20 (20%)

20Throw-ins17

Duels

40Duels60

28/66 (42%)Ground duels38/66 (58%)

11/32 (34%)Aerial duels21/32 (66%)

6/16 (38%)Dribbles7/13 (54%)

8Dispossessed11

Defending

17Tackles18

65Tackles won72

8Interceptions5

38Clearances22

42Recoveries40

Discipline

13Fouls7

3Yellow cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves1

1Big saves0

9Goal kicks6

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Burnley 49%

26%

Bristol City 25%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.80 @ betfair

CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.45 @ Unibet

1X2Burnley to win 49% · 2.25 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.25 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 26% · 2.65 @ Unibet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.50 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.36 @ 10bet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.05 @ William Hill

1X2Bristol City to win 25% · 4.00 @ William Hill

Who winsBurnley to win (DNB) 52% · 1.45 @ Novibet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.91

Burnley

3.60

Draw

3.77

Bristol City

Double Chanceconsensus

1.23

Burnley or Draw

1.25

Burnley or Bristol City

1.88

Draw or Bristol City

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.70

Yes

2.04

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

2.65

YES

1.42

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

4.50

YES

1.17

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.15

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

7.25

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

10.40

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.25

Over 1.50

3.75

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.83

Over 2.50

1.94

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.10

Over 3.50

1.35

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.00

Over 4.50

1.11

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.44

Burnley

2.65

Bristol City

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.22

Over 7.50

3.69

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.44

Over 8.50

2.57

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.74

Over 9.50

1.98

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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