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John Mousinho
Portsmouth
Cardiff City
Portsmouth
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Cardiff City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
90863 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
81.2%
-17.8 vs price
Away
450.0 · implied 0.2%
11.6%
+11.4 vs price
Draw
70.0 · implied 1.4%
7.1%
+5.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
109665 EUR · live
Under
1.06 · implied 94.3%
87.9%
-6.4 vs price
Over
2.22 · implied 45.0%
12.1%
-33.0 vs price
7 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
9'
K. Bielik · Foul
31'
⚽
C. Shaughnessy · assist T. Shade1–0
Half-time · 1–0
52'
⚽
M. Milovanović · assist A. Segecic2–0
60'
O. Tanner · Foul
63'
🔁
J. Colwill ◂ D. Turnbull
64'
🔁
R. Colwill ◂ C. Willock
65'
🔁
Z. Swanson ◂ J. Meghoma
65'
🔁
E. Adams ◂ R. Shein
69'
🔁
R. K.-McQueen ◂ T. Shade
69'
🔁
C. Bishop ◂ M. Milovanović
83'
🔁
C. Ashford ◂ O. Tanner
86'
A. Robertson · Foul
Full-time · 2–0
90'+1
🔁
C. Scanlon ◂ K. Bielik
90'+2
Y. Salech · Argument
90'+4
🔁
I. Mohamed ◂ M. Pack
Coaches
John MousinhoBrian Barry-Murphy 
Recent form
PortsmouthLHDerby County0-2
LABristol City1-2
WALincoln City3-1
LHQueens Park Rangers1-3
LAWest Ham United1-3
Cardiff CityLAQueens Park Rangers1-2
DHSheffield United2-2
LHNorwich City1-2
DADerby County2-2
DHWrexham1-1
Where to watch
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
Fratton Park
City
Portsmouth
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Portsmouth
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Cardiff City
31
D. Bielica
7.8
24
T. Devlin
7.1
2
B. Arthur
7.1
6
C. Shaughnessy
8.5
22
Z. Swanson
6.7
↑ 65'
37
I. Mohamed
↑ 90'
38
E. Adams
6.9
↑ 65'
11
A. Kamara
7.2
10
A. Segecic
8.1
25
R. K.-McQueen
7.0
↑ 69'
9
C. Bishop
7.1
↑ 69'
1
N. Trott
6.6
38
P. Ng
6.4
23
C. Scanlon
6.6
↑ 90'
4
G. Osho
6.7
3
J. Bagan
6.2
18
A. Robertson
6.8
27
J. Colwill
6.1
↑ 63'
45
C. Ashford
6.4
↑ 83'
8
J. Moylan
6.4
10
R. Colwill
6.4
↑ 64'
9
Y. Salech
5.8
Substitutes
1GN. Schmid
16DJ. Meghoma↓ 65'6.9
5DR. Poole
19MR. Shein↓ 65'7.0
7MM. Pack↓ 90'6.7
27MO. Bailey
32ME. Kenny
17FT. Shade↓ 69'7.1
29FM. Milovanović↓ 69'6.9
Coach: John Mousinho
Substitutes
41GM. Turner
30GH. Tyrer
5DK. Bielik↓ 90'7.3
44DR. Kpakio
16MC. Willock↓ 64'7.1
14MD. Turnbull↓ 63'6.8
11MO. Tanner↓ 83'6.4
33MR. Tankiewicz
47FC. Robinson
Coach: Brian Barry-Murphy
Top stats
36%Possession64%
2.07Expected goals (xG)1.37
15Total shots16
5Shots on target5
3Big chances2
5Corners7
Shots
7Shots off target7
3Blocked shots4
12Shots inside box13
3Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed2
0.9Goals prevented-0.14
Attack
24Touches in box38
59Final third entries72
5Offsides2
12Free kicks15
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
252Passes475
160Accurate passes389
22/67 (33%)Long balls25/59 (42%)
6/19 (32%)Crosses3/23 (13%)
14Throw-ins23
Duels
51Duels49
29/60 (48%)Ground duels31/60 (52%)
12/21 (57%)Aerial duels9/21 (43%)
2/7 (29%)Dribbles6/9 (67%)
5Dispossessed12
Defending
15Tackles10
47Tackles won40
8Interceptions6
26Clearances21
44Recoveries38
Discipline
15Fouls12
0Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
5Saves3
1Big saves2
8Goal kicks6
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.50 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.30 @ Unibet
Who winsCardiff to win (DNB) 52% · 2.10 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 2.90 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 3.90 @ 10bet
1X2Cardiff to win 33% · 3.20 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.70 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.95 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.46 @ Pinnacle
1X2Portsmouth to win 40% · 2.70 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 2.06 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.33
Portsmouth
3.50
Draw
2.86
Cardiff City
Double Chanceconsensus
1.38
Portsmouth or Draw
1.29
Portsmouth or Cardiff City
1.54
Draw or Cardiff City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.55
Yes
2.33
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.30
YES
1.28
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.95
YES
1.20
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.37
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
10.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
4.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.72
Over 2.50
2.10
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.88
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.40
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.72
Portsmouth
2.05
Cardiff City
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.11
Over 7.50
5.50
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.22
Over 8.50
3.59
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.44
Over 9.50
2.56
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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