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Julien Stéphan
Queens Park Rangers
Middlesbrough
Queens Park Rangers
4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Middlesbrough
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
107859 EUR · live
Away
1.06 · implied 94.3%
71.2%
-23.2 vs price
Home
120.0 · implied 0.8%
20.5%
+19.7 vs price
Draw
17.5 · implied 5.7%
8.3%
+2.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
30666 EUR · live
Over
42.0 · implied 2.4%
53.9%
+51.5 vs price
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
46.1%
-52.9 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
14'
🔁
K. Saito ◂ I. Chair
20'
⚽
W. Lankshear · assist C. Brittain0–1
39'
🔁
R. Burrell ◂ R. Kone
Half-time · 0–1
55'
🔁
M. Peart-Harris ◂ W. Lankshear
55'
🔁
T. Conway ◂ R. McGree
58'
A. Malanda · Foul
67'
🔁
G. Kamara ◂ J. Clarke-Salter
67'
🔁
N. Madsen ◂ K. Poku
67'
🔁
T. Lamptey ◂ D. Cirkin
71'
🔁
A. Jones ◂ M. Arfsten
72'
🔁
L. Ayling ◂ A. Phillips
76'
C. Brittain · Foul
84'
🔁
R. Pukštas ◂ S. Berhalter
Full-time · 0–1
90'+6
G. Kamara · Foul
Coaches
Julien StéphanKim Hellberg 
Recent form
Queens Park RangersWHCardiff City2-1
WABlackburn Rovers2-1
DHBolton Wanderers0-0
WAPortsmouth3-1
DHMillwall1-1
MiddlesbroughDABurnley1-1
WHWest Bromwich Albion3-1
WADoncaster Rovers3-1
LABlackburn Rovers1-2
WHLincoln City2-1
Where to watch
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
Loftus Road Stadium
City
London
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Queens Park Rangers
4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Middlesbrough
1
P. Charles
7.6
27
A. S. Mbengue
6.9
3
J. Dunne
7.2
48
T. Lamptey
6.9
↑ 67'
24
N. Madsen
6.6
↑ 67'
18
G. Kamara
7.0
↑ 67'
20
H. Vale
7.5
5
R. Edwards
6.6
11
P. Smyth
7.7
16
R. Burrell
6.2
↑ 39'
14
K. Saito
6.5
↑ 14'
1
R. Vítek
8.1
12
L. Ayling
6.8
↑ 72'
29
A. Malanda
7.6
30
N. Borges
7.4
2
C. Brittain
7.3
21
R. Pukštas
6.5
↑ 84'
10
A. Morris
7.5
5
A. Jones
6.8
↑ 71'
22
K. Joseph
6.0
14
M. Peart-Harris
6.9
↑ 55'
9
T. Conway
6.8
↑ 55'
Substitutes
13GC. Ward
19DD. Cirkin↓ 67'7.0
6DJ. Clarke-Salter↓ 67'6.6
2DK. Adamson
10MI. Chair↓ 14'6.7
17MK. Poku↓ 67'6.4
40MJ. Varane
22FR. Kone↓ 39'6.3
15FA. Lloyd
Coach: Julien Stéphan
Top stats
52%Possession48%
1.03Expected goals (xG)2.53
16Total shots16
5Shots on target6
1Big chances5
12Corners3
Shots
9Shots off target3
2Blocked shots7
9Shots inside box9
7Shots outside box7
1Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed4
1.45Goals prevented0.99
Attack
33Touches in box23
61Final third entries56
1Offsides1
8Free kicks3
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
455Passes440
381Accurate passes379
19/47 (40%)Long balls28/52 (54%)
5/30 (17%)Crosses6/15 (40%)
23Throw-ins19
Duels
49Duels51
27/55 (49%)Ground duels28/55 (51%)
11/22 (50%)Aerial duels11/22 (50%)
5/12 (42%)Dribbles6/11 (55%)
12Dispossessed9
Defending
14Tackles19
29Tackles won42
5Interceptions7
21Clearances40
37Recoveries36
Discipline
3Fouls8
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
5Saves5
0Big saves2
7Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsMiddlesbrough to win (DNB) 60% · 1.61 @ Novibet
1X2Middlesbrough to win 43% · 2.50 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.77 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.39 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 2.90 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.20 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.65 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.95 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.44 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.70 @ Unibet
1X2QPR to win 30% · 3.35 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.10
Queens Park Rangers
3.50
Draw
2.20
Middlesbrough
Double Chanceconsensus
1.65
Queens Park Rangers or Draw
1.27
Queens Park Rangers or Middlesbrough
1.33
Draw or Middlesbrough
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes
2.25
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
4.20
YES
1.18
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.10
YES
1.33
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.90
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.95
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
10.55
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.24
Over 1.50
3.85
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.73
Over 2.50
2.06
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.88
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.44
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.25
Queens Park Rangers
1.58
Middlesbrough
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.18
Over 7.50
3.84
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.38
Over 8.50
2.75
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.70
Over 9.50
2.08
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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